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2/15 4th try
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


IAU 10.00%SPMO 9.00%38 positions 81.00%CommodityCommodityEquityEquity
PositionCategory/SectorTarget Weight
DBEF
Xtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF
Hedge Fund
2%
DBEU
Xtrackers MSCI Europe Hedged Equity Fund
Europe Equities
3%
DLN
WisdomTree US LargeCap Dividend ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities, Dividend
3%
DYNF
BlackRock U.S. Equity Factor Rotation ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities, Actively Managed
3%
EPS
WisdomTree U.S. LargeCap Fund
Large Cap Growth Equities
3%
FCOM
Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
3%
FDMO
Fidelity Momentum Factor ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
3%
FELC
Fidelity Enhanced Large Cap Core ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
1.50%
FELG
Fidelity Enhanced Large Cap Growth ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
2.50%
FFLC
Fidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF
Large Cap Blend Equities
1.50%
FMDE
Fidelity Enhanced Mid Cap ETF
Mid Cap Blend Equities
1.50%
GARP
iShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
2%
IAI
iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
Financials Equities
3%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
Gold, Precious Metals
10%
IETC
iShares Evolved U.S. Technology ETF
Technology Equities, Actively Managed
3%
IOO
iShares Global 100 ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
2%
IVV
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
S&P 500
2%
IWP
iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth ETF
Mid Cap Growth Equities
2%
IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
Consumer Discretionary Equities
0.50%
KCE
SPDR S&P Capital Markets ETF
Financials Equities
0.50%
LRGF
iShares MSCI USA Multifactor ETF
Large Cap Blend Equities
3%
MGV
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF
Large Cap Value Equities
1.50%
OEF
iShares S&P 100 ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
3%
QGRO
American Century STOXX U.S. Quality Growth ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
1.50%
QTUM
Defiance Quantum ETF
Technology Equities
3%
RING
iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF
Materials
1%
SCHG
Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF
Large Cap Growth Equities
3%
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
Technology Equities
2%
SMLF
iShares MSCI USA Small-Cap Multifactor ETF
Small Cap Blend Equities
0.50%
SPHQ
Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF
S&P 500, Large Cap Value Equities
2%
SPMO
Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF
S&P 500
9%
SPYG
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF
S&P 500, Large Cap Growth Equities
2%
USMF
WisdomTree US Multifactor Fund
Mid Cap Blend Equities, Multi-factor
2%
UTES
Virtus Reaves Utilities ETF
Utilities Equities, Actively Managed
2%
VFH
Vanguard Financials ETF
Financials Equities
2%
VFMO
Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF
Mid Cap Blend Equities, Actively Managed
1.50%
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
Dividend
3%
WTV
WisdomTree US Value ETF
Large Cap Value Equities
2%
XLC
Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund
Large Cap Growth Equities
3%
XMMO
Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF
Mid Cap Growth Equities
1%

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2/15 4th try, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 20, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of FMDE

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.63%-3.84%-1.98%29.73%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
2/15 4th try
-0.10%-3.81%-0.94%1.31%38.85%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
-1.94%-9.01%8.34%20.10%50.07%32.68%21.72%14.14%
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
0.11%-3.01%3.80%5.95%22.37%14.92%11.04%11.27%
SPMO
Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF
0.21%-4.32%-3.57%-3.95%30.58%28.37%17.71%17.43%
XMMO
Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF
-0.06%-0.69%6.80%9.40%35.00%25.66%12.61%18.43%
VFH
Vanguard Financials ETF
0.40%-3.44%-8.83%-6.63%8.19%18.18%9.42%12.40%
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
0.65%-4.33%14.15%5.21%57.24%
GARP
iShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF
0.15%-4.33%-4.65%-1.78%33.90%25.75%15.51%
DYNF
BlackRock U.S. Equity Factor Rotation ETF
0.10%-3.49%-3.06%-0.20%26.92%22.75%13.05%
IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
-0.36%-5.49%-5.89%-6.36%14.07%15.27%5.66%11.10%
WTV
WisdomTree US Value ETF
0.19%-3.79%1.97%4.41%22.66%19.14%12.78%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 21, 2023, 2/15 4th try's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +1.89%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.1 years.

Historically, 83% of months were positive and 17% were negative. The best month was May 2025 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -6.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, 2/15 4th try closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.8%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.8%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20263.33%1.25%-6.37%1.13%-0.94%
20254.63%-1.14%-3.86%1.18%6.85%4.84%1.83%2.32%5.18%1.60%0.35%0.70%26.83%
20241.70%5.70%4.46%-3.41%5.01%2.64%1.73%2.49%2.42%0.44%6.06%-2.12%30.16%
20230.70%4.97%5.70%

Benchmark Metrics

2/15 4th try has an annualized alpha of 9.02%, beta of 0.93, and R² of 0.93 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 21, 2023.

  • This portfolio captured 119.27% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 65.61% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 9.02% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.93 and R² of 0.93, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
9.02%
Beta
0.93
0.93
Upside Capture
119.27%
Downside Capture
65.61%

Expense Ratio

2/15 4th try has an expense ratio of 0.22%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Top 10 holdings

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

2/15 4th try ranks 67 for risk / return — better than 67% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


2/15 4th try Risk / Return Rank: 6767
Overall Rank
2/15 4th try Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6565
Sharpe Ratio Rank
2/15 4th try Sortino Ratio Rank: 6666
Sortino Ratio Rank
2/15 4th try Omega Ratio Rank: 7070
Omega Ratio Rank
2/15 4th try Calmar Ratio Rank: 6767
Calmar Ratio Rank
2/15 4th try Martin Ratio Rank: 6969
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.43

0.88

+0.55

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.06

1.37

+0.69

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.31

1.21

+0.11

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.32

1.39

+0.93

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

9.81

6.43

+3.37


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
791.782.211.332.589.32
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
581.151.651.251.596.96
SPMO
Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF
561.011.551.231.916.68
XMMO
Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF
701.251.801.252.2910.83
VFH
Vanguard Financials ETF
130.110.281.040.220.63
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
892.262.921.393.8311.11
GARP
iShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF
581.041.591.221.957.02
DYNF
BlackRock U.S. Equity Factor Rotation ETF
641.151.701.261.878.80
IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
230.380.721.090.762.47
WTV
WisdomTree US Value ETF
440.881.341.201.295.55

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

2/15 4th try Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.43
  • All Time: 1.75

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 2/15 4th try compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

2/15 4th try provided a 1.13% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.13%1.08%0.87%1.27%1.65%1.01%1.12%1.22%1.37%1.29%1.38%1.10%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
2.37%2.44%2.74%3.12%3.01%2.76%3.18%3.03%3.40%2.80%2.91%3.22%
SPMO
Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF
0.88%0.73%0.48%1.63%1.66%0.52%1.27%1.39%1.05%0.77%1.94%0.36%
XMMO
Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF
0.70%0.78%0.34%0.80%1.43%0.41%0.61%0.60%0.19%0.21%0.22%0.64%
VFH
Vanguard Financials ETF
1.60%1.55%1.75%2.08%2.31%1.87%2.21%2.17%2.30%1.53%1.63%2.00%
SHLD
Global X Defense Tech ETF
0.48%0.55%0.53%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GARP
iShares MSCI USA Quality GARP ETF
0.31%0.31%0.38%0.75%1.85%0.67%0.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DYNF
BlackRock U.S. Equity Factor Rotation ETF
1.02%1.01%0.65%1.11%1.66%2.89%1.52%1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IYC
iShares U.S. Consumer Discretionary ETF
0.53%0.51%0.47%0.68%0.68%0.39%0.65%0.89%0.90%0.92%1.10%1.03%
WTV
WisdomTree US Value ETF
1.79%1.59%1.54%1.62%2.08%1.55%1.63%1.44%1.94%0.41%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2/15 4th try. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 2/15 4th try was 16.74%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 27 trading sessions.

The current 2/15 4th try drawdown is 6.45%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-16.74%Feb 19, 202535Apr 8, 202527May 16, 202562
-10.47%Jan 30, 202641Mar 30, 2026
-8.2%Jul 17, 202414Aug 5, 202419Aug 30, 202433
-4.97%Oct 28, 202518Nov 20, 20259Dec 4, 202527
-4.29%Sep 3, 20244Sep 6, 20246Sep 16, 202410

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 40 assets, with an effective number of assets of 26.49, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkIAURINGUTESSHLDDBEUXLCVFHFCOMDBEFMGVIAIVYMWTVKCEUSMFQTUMIETCIYCDLNXMMOFELGSMLFSCHGIOOSPYGSPMOSPHQFMDEGARPIWPVFMOOEFQGROFDMODYNFFFLCFELCEPSIVVLRGFPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.120.250.450.450.630.730.660.760.730.720.710.730.720.720.740.790.870.840.810.790.930.800.930.940.940.900.890.830.930.850.840.970.890.930.970.960.980.981.000.980.95
IAU0.121.000.780.160.250.090.120.040.120.150.140.090.150.110.100.130.170.080.070.150.130.070.150.080.120.090.080.130.150.100.120.180.090.110.120.100.110.120.120.130.130.31
RING0.250.781.000.300.320.230.180.130.200.280.250.190.280.220.210.230.280.190.190.260.270.180.270.190.240.200.200.230.270.200.250.310.200.230.250.220.240.230.240.250.250.41
UTES0.450.160.301.000.350.340.280.370.310.370.440.420.480.470.430.400.360.330.350.470.530.340.470.350.370.380.440.390.520.390.490.520.380.440.460.420.460.420.440.440.450.51
SHLD0.450.250.320.351.000.380.260.400.280.430.430.470.440.450.460.460.430.440.390.430.520.370.500.390.380.390.450.420.510.420.530.550.390.490.490.420.470.440.440.450.470.54
DBEU0.630.090.230.340.381.000.460.560.470.900.620.530.610.610.550.590.560.480.570.640.560.520.600.510.620.520.540.630.620.560.570.570.560.580.560.590.620.610.650.630.630.63
XLC0.730.120.180.280.260.461.000.520.960.550.490.520.500.550.540.600.540.630.720.580.530.710.580.720.690.700.650.640.620.670.630.600.730.690.680.730.700.740.750.730.720.72
VFH0.660.040.130.370.400.560.521.000.510.590.830.830.820.830.850.790.470.440.660.820.680.460.760.480.500.470.550.670.790.530.680.680.560.630.580.620.640.650.740.660.690.66
FCOM0.760.120.200.310.280.470.960.511.000.570.460.550.480.520.560.560.610.690.730.550.570.760.620.770.730.750.700.630.630.730.670.650.770.720.730.760.750.760.770.760.740.76
DBEF0.730.150.280.370.430.900.550.590.571.000.660.580.660.660.610.640.660.580.650.690.640.620.690.630.720.630.640.700.710.670.660.680.670.680.670.690.720.710.740.730.730.74
MGV0.720.140.250.440.430.620.490.830.460.661.000.680.970.890.730.820.540.460.660.960.700.470.770.490.560.500.570.790.810.560.670.690.610.610.600.650.680.700.790.730.730.71
IAI0.710.090.190.420.470.530.520.830.550.580.681.000.690.700.910.710.600.590.640.710.720.580.770.610.590.600.660.640.780.640.770.760.630.720.700.670.700.700.730.710.730.74
VYM0.730.150.280.480.440.610.500.820.480.660.970.691.000.900.760.820.580.490.660.950.730.490.810.500.580.510.580.770.830.580.700.720.610.630.620.660.690.700.790.730.750.73
WTV0.720.110.220.470.450.610.550.830.520.660.890.700.901.000.800.870.560.480.740.880.780.490.860.510.550.500.560.750.890.580.760.740.590.690.620.650.690.700.780.720.750.72
KCE0.720.100.210.430.460.550.540.850.560.610.730.910.760.801.000.760.620.580.680.750.780.570.850.590.580.580.630.660.850.640.790.790.620.720.680.670.710.700.750.710.750.75
USMF0.740.130.230.400.460.590.600.790.560.640.820.710.820.870.761.000.560.560.730.840.770.550.810.570.580.560.590.770.880.620.780.740.620.760.660.670.690.720.790.740.770.74
QTUM0.790.170.280.360.430.560.540.470.610.660.540.600.580.560.620.561.000.790.660.590.710.750.750.770.750.770.760.720.720.810.780.810.750.770.800.760.780.770.740.790.790.83
IETC0.870.080.190.330.440.480.630.440.690.580.460.590.490.480.580.560.791.000.670.550.680.920.650.930.860.930.900.740.670.920.790.770.890.850.900.880.860.870.800.870.870.85
IYC0.840.070.190.350.390.570.720.660.730.650.660.640.660.740.680.730.660.671.000.720.710.750.770.760.720.740.700.780.810.770.800.730.780.810.750.790.770.820.830.830.830.79
DLN0.810.150.260.470.430.640.580.820.550.690.960.710.950.880.750.840.590.550.721.000.730.590.790.600.680.610.660.840.840.650.720.730.710.690.690.750.760.790.860.820.820.79
XMMO0.790.130.270.530.520.560.530.680.570.640.700.720.730.780.780.770.710.680.710.731.000.670.890.680.660.690.750.760.890.750.860.900.690.830.790.760.800.770.790.780.830.83
FELG0.930.070.180.340.370.520.710.460.760.620.470.580.490.490.570.550.750.920.750.590.671.000.650.990.950.980.910.770.670.940.760.750.960.850.920.940.900.930.860.920.910.87
SMLF0.800.150.270.470.500.600.580.760.620.690.770.770.810.860.850.810.750.650.770.790.890.651.000.660.660.660.690.760.940.730.880.890.690.810.750.740.780.780.820.800.840.83
SCHG0.930.080.190.350.390.510.720.480.770.630.490.610.500.510.590.570.770.930.760.600.680.990.661.000.940.980.910.780.680.950.790.770.970.870.920.940.910.930.870.930.910.88
IOO0.940.120.240.370.380.620.690.500.730.720.560.590.580.550.580.580.750.860.720.680.660.950.660.941.000.950.870.800.680.900.730.740.960.810.890.930.910.930.890.940.910.88
SPYG0.940.090.200.380.390.520.700.470.750.630.500.600.510.500.580.560.770.930.740.610.690.980.660.980.951.000.930.790.680.950.780.770.970.860.930.950.920.930.870.940.910.89
SPMO0.900.080.200.440.450.540.650.550.700.640.570.660.580.560.630.590.760.900.700.660.750.910.690.910.870.931.000.800.710.910.800.820.900.860.930.920.910.900.850.900.900.89
SPHQ0.890.130.230.390.420.630.640.670.630.700.790.640.770.750.660.770.720.740.780.840.760.770.760.780.800.790.801.000.810.840.790.790.820.840.820.860.850.880.890.890.890.86
FMDE0.830.150.270.520.510.620.620.790.630.710.810.780.830.890.850.880.720.670.810.840.890.670.940.680.680.680.710.811.000.750.910.880.720.850.780.770.800.820.860.830.870.85
GARP0.930.100.200.390.420.560.670.530.730.670.560.640.580.580.640.620.810.920.770.650.750.940.730.950.900.950.910.840.751.000.840.820.920.900.930.920.910.930.880.930.920.91
IWP0.850.120.250.490.530.570.630.680.670.660.670.770.700.760.790.780.780.790.800.720.860.760.880.790.730.780.800.790.910.841.000.900.770.920.860.810.840.840.840.850.890.88
VFMO0.840.180.310.520.550.570.600.680.650.680.690.760.720.740.790.740.810.770.730.730.900.750.890.770.740.770.820.790.880.820.901.000.760.870.880.820.860.830.830.840.870.90
OEF0.970.090.200.380.390.560.730.560.770.670.610.630.610.590.620.620.750.890.780.710.690.960.690.970.960.970.900.820.720.920.770.761.000.840.910.960.930.960.930.970.940.90
QGRO0.890.110.230.440.490.580.690.630.720.680.610.720.630.690.720.760.770.850.810.690.830.850.810.870.810.860.860.840.850.900.920.870.841.000.910.880.880.890.870.890.920.90
FDMO0.930.120.250.460.490.560.680.580.730.670.600.700.620.620.680.660.800.900.750.690.790.920.750.920.890.930.930.820.780.930.860.880.910.911.000.940.940.930.890.930.930.93
DYNF0.970.100.220.420.420.590.730.620.760.690.650.670.660.650.670.670.760.880.790.750.760.940.740.940.930.950.920.860.770.920.810.820.960.880.941.000.950.960.950.970.960.93
FFLC0.960.110.240.460.470.620.700.640.750.720.680.700.690.690.710.690.780.860.770.760.800.900.780.910.910.920.910.850.800.910.840.860.930.880.940.951.000.950.940.960.950.93
FELC0.980.120.230.420.440.610.740.650.760.710.700.700.700.700.700.720.770.870.820.790.770.930.780.930.930.930.900.880.820.930.840.830.960.890.930.960.951.000.960.980.970.94
EPS0.980.120.240.440.440.650.750.740.770.740.790.730.790.780.750.790.740.800.830.860.790.860.820.870.890.870.850.890.860.880.840.830.930.870.890.950.940.961.000.980.970.93
IVV1.000.130.250.440.450.630.730.660.760.730.730.710.730.720.710.740.790.870.830.820.780.920.800.930.940.940.900.890.830.930.850.840.970.890.930.970.960.980.981.000.980.95
LRGF0.980.130.250.450.470.630.720.690.740.730.730.730.750.750.750.770.790.870.830.820.830.910.840.910.910.910.900.890.870.920.890.870.940.920.930.960.950.970.970.981.000.95
Portfolio0.950.310.410.510.540.630.720.660.760.740.710.740.730.720.750.740.830.850.790.790.830.870.830.880.880.890.890.860.850.910.880.900.900.900.930.930.930.940.930.950.951.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 21, 2023