Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Short-Term Bond | 20% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 20% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | Gold, Precious Metals | 15% |
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | Energy Equities | 15% |
XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF | Financials Equities | 15% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | Nasdaq-100 | 15% |
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Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in AWP, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the AWP returned 8.30% Year-To-Date and 13.18% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio AWP | 0.53% | -0.68% | 8.30% | 8.39% | 22.03% | 19.19% | 13.94% | 13.18% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.06% | -9.52% | -2.47% | -2.25% | 22.21% | 28.89% | 17.08% | 12.15% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.59% | 0.22% | 17.57% | 17.85% | 37.55% | 26.43% | 16.85% | 21.79% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.02% | 0.19% | 0.55% | 0.80% | 3.29% | 4.15% | 1.74% | 1.65% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.54% | -0.86% | 9.07% | 9.42% | 25.67% | 20.86% | 13.36% | 15.42% |
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.75% | -0.90% | 29.56% | 28.37% | 34.84% | 16.18% | 20.12% | 9.91% |
XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.37% | 4.00% | -2.11% | -2.09% | 8.41% | 18.86% | 9.15% | 13.33% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 18, 2004, AWP's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.83%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.0 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +10.2%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -13.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, AWP closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 28, 2008 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -7.3%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.12% | 2.04% | -2.25% | 4.06% | 1.22% | -1.00% | 8.30% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.28% | 0.57% | -0.70% | -1.43% | 3.21% | 3.24% | 1.08% | 2.56% | 3.59% | 1.33% | 1.53% | 0.81% | 20.65% |
| 2024 | 0.83% | 2.95% | 4.48% | -1.91% | 2.72% | 1.42% | 2.31% | 1.54% | 1.25% | 0.80% | 4.31% | -2.87% | 19.04% |
| 2023 | 5.33% | -2.90% | 2.31% | 1.41% | -0.82% | 3.84% | 3.49% | -0.89% | -2.74% | -0.92% | 5.78% | 3.18% | 17.91% |
| 2022 | 0.08% | 0.71% | 2.96% | -5.56% | 3.19% | -8.28% | 5.69% | -1.62% | -6.72% | 8.68% | 4.08% | -3.08% | -1.37% |
| 2021 | -0.36% | 4.81% | 2.44% | 3.55% | 2.75% | 0.60% | -0.39% | 1.76% | -1.11% | 5.85% | -1.89% | 2.63% | 22.31% |
Benchmark Metrics
AWP has an annualized alpha of 3.45%, beta of 0.67, and R2 of 0.88 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 18, 2004.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (74.46%) than losses (65.96%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.45% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.67 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 3.45%
- Beta
- 0.67
- R²
- 0.88
- Upside Capture
- 74.46%
- Downside Capture
- 65.96%
Expense Ratio
AWP has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
AWP ranks 84 for risk / return — in the top 84% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for AWP and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.46 | 1.86 | +0.59 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.28 | 2.53 | +0.75 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.47 | 1.34 | +0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.06 | 2.53 | +2.53 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 18.01 | 11.37 | +6.64 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 26 | 0.87 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 2.81 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 69 | 2.09 | 2.73 | 1.37 | 3.01 | 11.22 |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 85 | 2.43 | 3.97 | 1.50 | 3.64 | 14.45 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 67 | 1.98 | 2.68 | 1.36 | 2.74 | 12.39 |
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 58 | 1.82 | 2.40 | 1.30 | 3.10 | 8.63 |
XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF | 15 | 0.42 | 0.67 | 1.08 | 0.42 | 1.08 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
AWP provided a 1.61% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.61% | 1.73% | 1.82% | 1.76% | 1.57% | 1.23% | 1.72% | 2.17% | 1.73% | 1.36% | 4.21% | 1.47% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.39% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.68% | 3.81% | 3.92% | 2.99% | 1.30% | 0.26% | 0.94% | 2.12% | 1.72% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.54% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 2.59% | 3.28% | 3.36% | 3.55% | 3.68% | 4.21% | 5.62% | 6.72% | 3.54% | 3.03% | 2.26% | 3.39% |
XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.49% | 1.31% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 2.04% | 1.63% | 2.03% | 1.87% | 2.08% | 1.48% | 21.10% | 1.95% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the AWP. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the AWP was 39.07%, occurring on Mar 9, 2009. Recovery took 420 trading sessions.
The current AWP drawdown is 1.76%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Financial crisis2007–2009 | -39.07%Mar 2009 | 1y 4mo | 1y 8mo | 3y 4dNov 2007 - Nov 2010 |
COVID crash2020 | -25.44%Mar 2020 | 1mo 2d | 4mo 16d | 5mo 18dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -14.85%Sep 2022 | 6mo 2d | 8mo 9d | 1y 2moMar 2022 - Jun 2023 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -14.49%Dec 2018 | 10mo 29d | 3mo 29d | 1y 2moJan 2018 - Apr 2019 |
2011 correction2011 | -13.87%Oct 2011 | 5mo 4d | 4mo 3d | 9mo 7dMay 2011 - Feb 2012 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.88, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.68 | 1.45 | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.31 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.31, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
AWP correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.76 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.84 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.88 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 18, 2004 | 0.90 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while SHY has the lowest at -0.18.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what AWP is missing
See which holdings overlap, where AWP is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification