Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 25, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of VMFXX
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds | 0.43% | -2.12% | -0.08% | 1.34% | 10.22% | 8.79% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VFTAX Vanguard FTSE Social Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.93% | -3.82% | -6.67% | -4.98% | 15.27% | 18.26% | 10.64% | — |
VFWAX Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Index Fund Admiral Shares | 1.59% | -2.18% | 3.43% | 7.36% | 28.45% | 16.03% | 7.69% | 9.12% |
VBTLX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.00% | -1.53% | -0.28% | 0.29% | 3.77% | 3.51% | 0.19% | 1.62% |
VTABX Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.00% | -1.54% | -0.45% | -0.09% | 2.39% | 3.81% | 0.15% | 1.79% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.59% | 1.58% | 3.75% | 3.32% | — | — |
VGSLX Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.37% | -5.68% | 1.69% | -0.29% | 1.58% | 6.53% | 2.85% | 4.67% |
VFIRX Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Fund Admiral Shares | 0.00% | -0.70% | -0.01% | 0.94% | 3.52% | 3.83% | 1.48% | 1.68% |
VTRIX Vanguard International Value Fund | 1.27% | -2.85% | 2.43% | 6.63% | 26.75% | 12.77% | 6.82% | 8.51% |
VAIPX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund Admiral Shares | -0.13% | -1.16% | 0.22% | 0.10% | 2.94% | 3.04% | 1.31% | 2.54% |
VVIAX Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.22% | -3.19% | 3.53% | 6.55% | 15.88% | 15.15% | 10.89% | 11.82% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 26, 2021, 12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.35%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 16.5 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +5.8%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -6.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, 12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +3.0%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -2.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.64% | 1.94% | -3.98% | 0.43% | -0.08% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.77% | 1.11% | -1.35% | 0.47% | 1.88% | 2.35% | 0.08% | 1.97% | 1.79% | 0.84% | 0.55% | 0.37% | 12.43% |
| 2024 | -0.30% | 1.17% | 1.84% | -2.63% | 2.44% | 0.89% | 2.33% | 1.76% | 1.75% | -2.13% | 1.94% | -2.11% | 6.98% |
| 2023 | 4.67% | -2.51% | 2.24% | 0.83% | -1.18% | 2.34% | 1.55% | -1.56% | -2.86% | -1.69% | 5.75% | 4.07% | 11.78% |
| 2022 | -2.56% | -1.84% | -0.44% | -4.52% | 0.23% | -4.30% | 4.03% | -3.24% | -6.11% | 2.39% | 5.43% | -2.43% | -13.16% |
| 2021 | 0.31% | 0.52% | 1.06% | 0.85% | -2.29% | 2.16% | -0.99% | 2.05% | 3.65% |
Benchmark Metrics
12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds has an annualized alpha of 0.07%, beta of 0.38, and R² of 0.78 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 26, 2021.
- This portfolio participated in 59.21% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 44.37% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.38 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 0.07%
- Beta
- 0.38
- R²
- 0.78
- Upside Capture
- 44.37%
- Downside Capture
- 59.21%
Expense Ratio
12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds ranks 60 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.46 | 0.88 | +0.58 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.05 | 1.37 | +0.68 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.30 | 1.21 | +0.09 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.98 | 1.39 | +0.59 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.93 | 6.43 | +1.49 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VFTAX Vanguard FTSE Social Index Fund Admiral Shares | 35 | 0.83 | 1.31 | 1.19 | 1.37 | 5.28 |
VFWAX Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Index Fund Admiral Shares | 85 | 1.80 | 2.39 | 1.36 | 2.58 | 9.94 |
VBTLX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares | 31 | 0.85 | 1.23 | 1.15 | 1.46 | 4.08 |
VTABX Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares | 24 | 0.80 | 1.12 | 1.15 | 0.93 | 3.79 |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | — | 3.51 | — | — | — | — |
VGSLX Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares | 5 | 0.13 | 0.29 | 1.04 | 0.18 | 0.69 |
VFIRX Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Fund Admiral Shares | 81 | 1.55 | 2.56 | 1.33 | 2.51 | 8.80 |
VTRIX Vanguard International Value Fund | 79 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.27 | 8.54 |
VAIPX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund Admiral Shares | 20 | 0.68 | 0.95 | 1.12 | 1.00 | 3.00 |
VVIAX Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 50 | 1.12 | 1.60 | 1.24 | 1.44 | 6.46 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds provided a 4.00% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.00% | 4.19% | 3.50% | 3.17% | 2.50% | 2.35% | 1.84% | 2.66% | 2.55% | 1.96% | 2.04% | 1.91% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VFTAX Vanguard FTSE Social Index Fund Admiral Shares | 0.95% | 0.85% | 0.99% | 1.10% | 1.34% | 0.94% | 1.21% | 1.43% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VFWAX Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Index Fund Admiral Shares | 2.85% | 3.05% | 3.20% | 3.28% | 3.07% | 3.03% | 1.97% | 3.07% | 3.24% | 2.67% | 2.96% | 2.95% |
VBTLX Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund Admiral Shares | 3.61% | 3.87% | 3.69% | 3.10% | 2.59% | 1.96% | 2.39% | 2.74% | 2.57% | 2.56% | 2.53% | 2.82% |
VTABX Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund Admiral Shares | 4.21% | 4.36% | 4.33% | 4.39% | 1.48% | 3.70% | 1.08% | 4.28% | 3.00% | 2.23% | 1.80% | 1.64% |
VMFXX Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund | 3.68% | 4.14% | 1.63% | 4.53% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VGSLX Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund Admiral Shares | 3.92% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.91% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.92% | 3.39% | 4.73% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
VFIRX Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Fund Admiral Shares | 3.57% | 3.99% | 4.49% | 4.07% | 2.03% | 0.60% | 2.30% | 2.49% | 2.21% | 1.25% | 1.28% | 0.93% |
VTRIX Vanguard International Value Fund | 17.67% | 18.10% | 8.53% | 2.78% | 2.75% | 4.35% | 1.58% | 2.96% | 6.24% | 1.86% | 2.29% | 2.13% |
VAIPX Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund Admiral Shares | 4.46% | 4.74% | 4.17% | 4.31% | 8.45% | 5.13% | 1.38% | 2.29% | 3.12% | 2.41% | 3.49% | 0.88% |
VVIAX Vanguard Value Index Fund Admiral Shares | 2.01% | 2.04% | 2.30% | 2.45% | 2.51% | 2.14% | 2.55% | 2.49% | 2.72% | 2.29% | 2.45% | 2.60% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds was 18.29%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 397 trading sessions.
The current 12_11_25 Michael's Conservative Chat GPT 40/56/4 Vanguard 6-Fund Portfolio with 5% cash and 5% short term bonds drawdown is 3.57%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -18.29% | Nov 10, 2021 | 234 | Oct 14, 2022 | 397 | May 15, 2024 | 631 |
| -6.27% | Mar 3, 2025 | 27 | Apr 8, 2025 | 23 | May 12, 2025 | 50 |
| -5.34% | Mar 2, 2026 | 20 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -3.55% | Dec 9, 2024 | 23 | Jan 13, 2025 | 22 | Feb 13, 2025 | 45 |
| -2.71% | Sep 3, 2021 | 21 | Oct 4, 2021 | 23 | Nov 4, 2021 | 44 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.07, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | VMFXX | VFIRX | VTABX | VAIPX | VBTLX | VGSLX | VVIAX | VFTAX | VTRIX | VFWAX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.61 | 0.81 | 0.99 | 0.74 | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| VMFXX | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.08 | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.03 | 0.08 |
| VFIRX | 0.04 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.33 |
| VTABX | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.79 | 0.28 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.41 |
| VAIPX | 0.16 | 0.04 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.81 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.44 |
| VBTLX | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.46 |
| VGSLX | 0.61 | 0.08 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.58 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| VVIAX | 0.81 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| VFTAX | 0.99 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.58 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.85 |
| VTRIX | 0.74 | -0.03 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.57 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.97 | 0.84 |
| VFWAX | 0.77 | -0.03 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.75 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Portfolio | 0.86 | 0.08 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 1.00 |