Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
QQQJ Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 20% |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | Dividend | 30% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 40% |
VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Small Cap Blend Equities | 10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Experimentation Antibubble, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Oct 13, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of QQQJ
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Experimentation Antibubble | 0.34% | -3.36% | -1.50% | -0.21% | 24.39% | 15.87% | 8.44% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.97% | -3.13% | -1.30% | 24.10% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | 0.16% | -3.84% | -1.33% | -0.02% | 16.93% | 13.72% | 9.86% | 12.36% |
QQQJ Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF | 0.90% | -1.52% | 0.75% | 2.12% | 34.49% | 14.42% | 3.61% | — |
VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | 0.48% | -3.29% | -0.11% | -1.21% | 28.49% | 15.65% | 4.23% | 11.14% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 14, 2020, Experimentation Antibubble's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +0.95%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.1 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 37% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +12.9%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -9.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Experimentation Antibubble closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +9.2%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -5.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.18% | 0.32% | -4.96% | 1.10% | -1.50% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.56% | -2.04% | -5.53% | -0.85% | 5.43% | 4.73% | 2.19% | 2.84% | 3.16% | 1.64% | 0.93% | -0.27% | 16.37% |
| 2024 | 0.18% | 5.04% | 3.04% | -4.82% | 3.63% | 1.86% | 3.05% | 2.24% | 2.32% | -1.43% | 7.31% | -3.86% | 19.41% |
| 2023 | 6.66% | -2.76% | 1.63% | 0.39% | -0.78% | 6.74% | 3.37% | -2.32% | -4.83% | -3.48% | 8.97% | 5.92% | 19.99% |
| 2022 | -7.40% | -2.14% | 2.27% | -8.41% | -0.61% | -7.81% | 8.86% | -3.43% | -9.24% | 8.31% | 5.98% | -5.15% | -19.21% |
| 2021 | -0.44% | 3.37% | 2.43% | 4.36% | 0.53% | 2.27% | 1.24% | 2.38% | -4.66% | 6.46% | -2.09% | 3.46% | 20.54% |
Benchmark Metrics
Experimentation Antibubble has an annualized alpha of -1.00%, beta of 1.00, and R² of 0.95 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 14, 2020.
- With beta of 1.00 and R² of 0.95, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- -1.00%
- Beta
- 1.00
- R²
- 0.95
- Upside Capture
- 97.24%
- Downside Capture
- 102.09%
Expense Ratio
Experimentation Antibubble has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Experimentation Antibubble ranks 32 for risk / return — below 32% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.00 | 0.88 | +0.11 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.52 | 1.37 | +0.15 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.22 | 1.21 | +0.01 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.57 | 1.39 | +0.18 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.31 | 6.43 | +0.87 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 52 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | 42 | 0.84 | 1.28 | 1.19 | 1.24 | 5.41 |
QQQJ Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF | 65 | 1.21 | 1.77 | 1.24 | 2.12 | 8.65 |
VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | 45 | 0.85 | 1.33 | 1.18 | 1.48 | 6.01 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Experimentation Antibubble provided a 1.24% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.24% | 1.22% | 1.29% | 1.40% | 1.52% | 1.25% | 1.18% | 1.35% | 1.61% | 1.37% | 1.55% | 1.63% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF | 1.60% | 1.62% | 1.73% | 1.88% | 1.96% | 1.55% | 1.63% | 1.71% | 2.08% | 1.88% | 2.14% | 2.34% |
QQQJ Invesco NASDAQ Next Gen 100 ETF | 0.87% | 0.85% | 0.77% | 0.67% | 0.76% | 0.91% | 0.09% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.14% | 1.09% | 1.27% | 1.15% | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.30% | 1.66% | 1.25% | 1.43% | 1.35% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Experimentation Antibubble. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Experimentation Antibubble was 27.07%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 339 trading sessions.
The current Experimentation Antibubble drawdown is 5.16%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -27.07% | Nov 17, 2021 | 229 | Oct 14, 2022 | 339 | Feb 22, 2024 | 568 |
| -19.15% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 57 | Jul 1, 2025 | 91 |
| -8.93% | Feb 10, 2026 | 34 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -7.57% | Jul 17, 2024 | 14 | Aug 5, 2024 | 14 | Aug 23, 2024 | 28 |
| -6.63% | Oct 14, 2020 | 13 | Oct 30, 2020 | 4 | Nov 5, 2020 | 17 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.33, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | VIG | QQQJ | VXF | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| VIG | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.78 | 0.90 | 0.91 |
| QQQJ | 0.84 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| VXF | 0.85 | 0.78 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 0.94 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.90 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.98 |
| Portfolio | 0.96 | 0.91 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.98 | 1.00 |