Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AIRR First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF | Building & Construction | 25% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 25% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | Aerospace & Defense | 25% |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | Aerospace & Defense, Industrials Equities | 25% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR | 1.54% | 1.34% | 26.95% | 27.63% | 58.74% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AIRR First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF | 0.13% | -1.14% | 30.41% | 29.32% | 61.66% | 35.42% | 24.95% | 21.61% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.03% | -3.34% | -2.65% | -0.77% | 8.97% | — | — | — |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 5.00% | 5.58% | 66.10% | 62.81% | 137.42% | 60.43% | 37.89% | 36.92% |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | -0.54% | 2.15% | 12.43% | 16.39% | 37.23% | 32.47% | 15.97% | 17.82% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 14, 2023, SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR's average daily return is +0.17%, while the average monthly return is +3.34%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.8 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +13.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -6.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +11.1%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13.35% | 2.75% | -6.86% | 11.34% | 8.26% | -2.91% | 26.95% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.82% | -2.75% | -1.59% | 4.95% | 11.29% | 9.65% | 3.76% | 1.89% | 9.73% | 4.40% | -4.92% | 2.68% | 50.46% |
| 2024 | -0.08% | 11.24% | 5.30% | -3.65% | 8.92% | -0.66% | 4.68% | 1.35% | 0.91% | -0.95% | 8.78% | -5.12% | 33.55% |
| 2023 | -2.76% | -0.89% | 9.86% | 7.85% | 14.18% |
Benchmark Metrics
SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR has an annualized alpha of 19.00%, beta of 1.24, and R2 of 0.72 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 14, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 174.88% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 61.93% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 19.00% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 19.00%
- Beta
- 1.24
- R²
- 0.72
- Upside Capture
- 174.88%
- Downside Capture
- 61.93%
Expense Ratio
SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR has an expense ratio of 0.48%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR ranks 69 for risk / return — better than 69% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.58 | 1.94 | +0.64 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.27 | 2.63 | +0.64 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.43 | 1.35 | +0.08 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.72 | 2.59 | +2.14 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 18.63 | 11.84 | +6.79 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AIRR First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF | 82 | 2.43 | 3.16 | 1.39 | 4.74 | 17.47 |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 15 | 0.37 | 0.70 | 1.08 | 0.45 | 1.16 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 96 | 4.27 | 4.33 | 1.62 | 9.26 | 34.80 |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | 43 | 1.39 | 2.02 | 1.23 | 2.17 | 6.13 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR provided a 0.30% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.30% | 0.36% | 0.45% | 0.41% | 0.45% | 0.35% | 0.35% | 0.61% | 0.87% | 0.62% | 0.50% | 1.23% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AIRR First Trust RBA American Industrial Renaissance ETF | 0.14% | 0.19% | 0.18% | 0.23% | 0.12% | 0.05% | 0.10% | 0.20% | 0.43% | 0.30% | 0.08% | 0.47% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.56% | 0.55% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | 0.32% | 0.40% | 0.66% | 0.54% | 0.50% | 0.83% | 0.63% | 0.75% | 1.19% | 0.76% | 1.09% | 2.31% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR was 17.59%, occurring on Apr 4, 2025. Recovery took 23 trading sessions.
The current SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR drawdown is 4.89%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -17.59%Apr 2025 | 2mo 10d | 1mo 4d | 3mo 14dJan 2025 - May 2025 |
2026 correction2026 | -12.50%Mar 2026 | 27d | 14d | 1mo 11dMar 2026 - Apr 2026 |
2025 correction2025 | -10.72%Nov 2025 | 21d | 1mo 13d | 2mo 4dOct 2025 - Jan 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -9.78%Aug 2024 | 19d | 1mo 20d | 2mo 9dJul 2024 - Sep 2024 |
2024 pullback2024 | -7.56%Dec 2024 | 1mo 6d | 1mo 4d | 2mo 10dNov 2024 - Jan 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.20 | 1.20 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.20, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.76 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 14, 2023 | 0.82 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SMH has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.78, while SHLD has the lowest at 0.46.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR is missing
See which holdings overlap, where SMH, SHLD, XAR, AIRR is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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