Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | Financial Services | 7.14% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | Consumer Defensive | 7.14% |
CPRT Copart, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation | Consumer Cyclical | 7.14% |
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
LLY Eli Lilly and Company | Healthcare | 7.14% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 7.14% |
PWR Quanta Services, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | Industrials | 7.14% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | Energy | 7.14% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 7.14% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Moving Optimal, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 30, 2012, corresponding to the inception date of ENPH
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the Moving Optimal returned 1.22% Year-To-Date and 42.44% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Moving Optimal | -0.75% | -7.82% | 1.22% | -0.83% | 7.25% | 26.69% | 27.00% | 42.44% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | -2.54% | -28.71% | -27.31% | -42.71% | -26.08% | 21.99% | 23.61% | 36.33% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | 1.44% | -3.64% | 5.92% | 0.86% | -7.83% | 19.30% | 18.99% | 18.99% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 1.15% | -15.16% | 54.85% | 38.13% | -3.63% | 32.06% | 21.56% | 40.32% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 1.03% | -8.44% | -8.77% | -14.68% | -26.04% | 13.80% | 18.00% | 22.03% |
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | -8.78% | -19.17% | 8.95% | -7.47% | -44.15% | -44.35% | -26.49% | 29.81% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | -5.42% | -8.11% | -19.82% | -17.30% | 27.53% | 22.79% | 10.33% | 36.16% |
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation | -2.58% | -10.51% | -5.17% | -5.29% | -16.67% | 9.16% | 12.28% | 25.95% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 3.47% | 13.90% | 1.56% | 28.14% | 111.25% | 31.09% | 21.81% | 54.37% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 1.85% | 0.71% | 17.86% | 11.02% | 5.74% | 28.60% | 24.74% | 22.54% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 2, 2012, Moving Optimal's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.73%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.1 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Jul 2022 with a return of +17.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -14.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Moving Optimal closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +12.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -11.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.47% | 5.48% | -7.77% | -0.41% | 1.22% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.49% | -2.22% | -3.82% | 1.56% | 4.43% | 2.39% | -2.50% | 1.87% | 1.37% | 0.79% | -2.84% | 1.48% | 3.69% |
| 2024 | 1.34% | 14.51% | 3.53% | -3.46% | 7.14% | 1.83% | 2.09% | 6.29% | 2.20% | -0.62% | 16.53% | -7.17% | 50.85% |
| 2023 | 8.03% | 3.08% | 7.07% | -2.22% | 6.35% | 7.28% | 0.61% | 3.70% | -3.41% | -2.28% | 10.81% | 5.61% | 53.31% |
| 2022 | -11.83% | 1.03% | 9.41% | -10.59% | 2.35% | -4.11% | 17.40% | -2.22% | -6.76% | 8.96% | 10.72% | -9.86% | -0.45% |
| 2021 | 2.83% | 3.21% | 3.98% | 4.98% | -0.06% | 9.86% | 3.67% | 2.90% | -4.19% | 16.13% | 4.17% | -3.09% | 52.42% |
Benchmark Metrics
Moving Optimal has an annualized alpha of 21.46%, beta of 1.10, and R² of 0.72 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 02, 2012.
- This portfolio captured 168.67% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 57.91% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 21.46% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.10 and R² of 0.72, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 21.46%
- Beta
- 1.10
- R²
- 0.72
- Upside Capture
- 168.67%
- Downside Capture
- 57.91%
Expense Ratio
Moving Optimal has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Moving Optimal ranks 11 for risk / return — in the bottom 11% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.34 | 0.88 | -0.55 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.65 | 1.37 | -0.72 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.09 | 1.21 | -0.12 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.71 | 1.39 | -0.68 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.06 | 6.43 | -4.37 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 21 | -0.49 | -0.45 | 0.94 | -0.44 | -0.89 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | 24 | -0.42 | -0.45 | 0.94 | -0.35 | -0.60 |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 36 | -0.07 | 0.24 | 1.03 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6 | -1.04 | -1.35 | 0.83 | -0.91 | -1.47 |
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | 18 | -0.53 | -0.42 | 0.95 | -0.76 | -1.13 |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 60 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 3.01 |
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation | 27 | -0.31 | -0.09 | 0.99 | -0.34 | -0.66 |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 85 | 1.73 | 2.48 | 1.32 | 4.02 | 8.17 |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 45 | 0.29 | 0.56 | 1.07 | 0.36 | 0.72 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Moving Optimal provided a 0.81% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.81% | 0.45% | 0.34% | 0.51% | 0.46% | 0.82% | 0.97% | 0.80% | 0.73% | 0.96% | 0.86% | 1.16% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
RSG Republic Services, Inc. | 1.10% | 1.12% | 0.82% | 1.25% | 1.48% | 1.27% | 1.72% | 1.74% | 2.00% | 1.97% | 2.17% | 2.64% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 0.50% | 0.74% | 1.37% | 0.83% | 1.37% | 0.88% | 2.20% | 0.22% | 0.55% | 0.30% | 0.10% | 0.22% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7.17% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation | 0.51% | 0.59% | 0.49% | 2.87% | 0.76% | 0.54% | 3.38% | 0.86% | 1.08% | 4.81% | 1.09% | 4.06% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Moving Optimal. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Moving Optimal was 37.46%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 78 trading sessions.
The current Moving Optimal drawdown is 8.32%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -37.46% | Feb 20, 2020 | 20 | Mar 18, 2020 | 78 | Jul 9, 2020 | 98 |
| -24.45% | Nov 30, 2021 | 113 | May 11, 2022 | 130 | Nov 15, 2022 | 243 |
| -22.67% | Jun 24, 2015 | 161 | Feb 11, 2016 | 52 | Apr 27, 2016 | 213 |
| -21.04% | Dec 4, 2024 | 85 | Apr 8, 2025 | 126 | Oct 8, 2025 | 211 |
| -20.69% | Sep 13, 2018 | 71 | Dec 24, 2018 | 34 | Feb 13, 2019 | 105 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 14.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TPL | LLY | ENPH | PGR | TSLA | RSG | AXON | DECK | COST | AMD | AJG | NVDA | PWR | CPRT | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.79 |
| TPL | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.19 | 0.39 |
| LLY | 0.41 | 0.09 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.31 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| ENPH | 0.38 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.12 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.59 |
| PGR | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 0.42 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| TSLA | 0.46 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.39 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.58 |
| RSG | 0.47 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.12 | 0.42 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.16 | 0.48 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| AXON | 0.44 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.57 |
| DECK | 0.47 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.54 |
| COST | 0.53 | 0.12 | 0.29 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.24 | 0.38 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| AMD | 0.52 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.29 | 0.14 | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.61 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.63 |
| AJG | 0.54 | 0.17 | 0.33 | 0.18 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.48 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| NVDA | 0.61 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.61 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.65 |
| PWR | 0.60 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.58 |
| CPRT | 0.60 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Portfolio | 0.79 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.59 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.39 | 0.57 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 0.46 | 0.65 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 1.00 |