Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 30% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | Large Cap Blend Equities | 30% |
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | Government Bonds, Ultrashort Bond | 15% |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | Inflation-Protected Bonds | 15% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Global Equities | 10% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Conservative Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jul 29, 2026, the Conservative Portfolio returned 4.68% Year-To-Date and 6.59% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | ALL TIME* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.21% | 1.02% | 6.45% | 8.52% | 16.26% | 17.48% | 10.95% | 13.08% | 8.07% |
Portfolio Conservative Portfolio | 0.11% | -0.21% | 2.98% | 4.68% | 9.87% | 9.73% | 4.94% | 6.59% | 6.25% |
| Portfolio components: | |||||||||
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.01% | 0.29% | 1.78% | 2.03% | 3.78% | 4.56% | 3.52% | 2.23% | 1.37% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.25% | -1.07% | -0.26% | 0.03% | 3.50% | 3.96% | -0.28% | 1.38% | 3.02% |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | 0.23% | -0.90% | 0.16% | 0.62% | 2.66% | 3.69% | 0.34% | 2.35% | 2.73% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.22% | 1.04% | 7.26% | 9.82% | 18.07% | 18.70% | 11.48% | 14.46% | 9.56% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | -0.64% | -1.46% | 3.22% | 10.96% | 23.14% | 16.14% | 8.31% | 9.17% | 6.45% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 28, 2011, Conservative Portfolio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.52%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 11.1 years.
Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +5.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -6.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 15 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Conservative Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +4.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -5.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.23% | 1.07% | -2.96% | 4.21% | 2.21% | -0.14% | -0.86% | 4.68% | |||||
| 2025 | 1.66% | 0.62% | -1.52% | 0.25% | 2.09% | 2.65% | 0.59% | 1.77% | 1.83% | 1.11% | 0.37% | 0.13% | 12.11% |
| 2024 | 0.22% | 1.38% | 1.76% | -2.44% | 2.64% | 1.28% | 1.87% | 1.51% | 1.56% | -1.62% | 2.46% | -1.89% | 8.92% |
| 2023 | 4.27% | -2.12% | 2.38% | 0.75% | -0.70% | 2.46% | 1.52% | -1.29% | -2.77% | -1.62% | 5.46% | 3.63% | 12.22% |
| 2022 | -3.02% | -1.23% | -0.22% | -4.89% | 0.19% | -4.12% | 4.54% | -2.81% | -6.04% | 2.64% | 4.32% | -2.43% | -12.89% |
| 2021 | -0.29% | 0.47% | 0.91% | 2.26% | 0.65% | 1.09% | 1.17% | 0.93% | -2.12% | 2.47% | -0.71% | 1.49% | 8.54% |
Benchmark Metrics
Conservative Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 1.45%, beta of 0.38, and R2 of 0.87 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 28, 2011.
- This portfolio participated in 46.52% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 42.30% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.38 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 1.45%
- Beta
- 0.38
- R²
- 0.87
- Upside Capture
- 42.30%
- Downside Capture
- 46.52%
Expense Ratio
Conservative Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.05%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Conservative Portfolio ranks 61 for risk / return — better than 61% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Conservative Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.60 | 1.29 | +0.31 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.31 | 1.82 | +0.48 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.30 | 1.23 | +0.06 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.23 | 1.80 | +0.42 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.41 | 7.70 | +1.71 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.09 | 152.25 | 68.95 | 347.19 | 2,462.14 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 36 | 0.95 | 1.40 | 1.16 | 1.31 | 3.37 |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | 33 | 0.80 | 1.19 | 1.14 | 1.38 | 3.80 |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 61 | 1.41 | 1.98 | 1.25 | 2.03 | 8.81 |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 60 | 1.40 | 1.96 | 1.26 | 2.06 | 7.63 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Conservative Portfolio provided a 3.03% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.03% | 3.04% | 3.02% | 2.87% | 2.87% | 1.97% | 1.57% | 2.26% | 2.36% | 1.94% | 1.84% | 1.69% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BIL SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.81% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 4.00% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
SCHP Schwab U.S. TIPS ETF | 4.50% | 4.06% | 2.99% | 3.02% | 7.19% | 4.39% | 1.11% | 2.02% | 2.26% | 1.90% | 1.38% | 0.28% |
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.07% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 2.63% | 3.18% | 3.37% | 3.24% | 3.09% | 3.10% | 2.14% | 3.06% | 3.18% | 2.73% | 2.93% | 2.83% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Conservative Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Conservative Portfolio was 17.37%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 358 trading sessions.
The current Conservative Portfolio drawdown is 1.27%.
Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater | Related event |
|---|---|---|---|---|
-17.37%Oct 2022 | 11mo 8d | 1y 5mo | 2y 4moNov 2021 - Mar 2024 | Bear market2022 |
-15.34%Mar 2020 | 27d | 2mo 22d | 3mo 19dFeb 2020 - Jun 2020 | COVID crash2020 |
-7.45%Dec 2018 | 3mo 26d | 2mo 19d | 6mo 15dAug 2018 - Mar 2019 | Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 |
-7.03%Oct 2011 | 2mo 10d | 3mo 17d | 5mo 27dJul 2011 - Jan 2012 | — |
-6.79%Jan 2016 | 8mo 28d | 4mo 18d | 1y 1moApr 2015 - Jun 2016 | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
AI Analysis
The gist
The portfolio is mostly a two-sleeve bet: a core equity market exposure through Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) and Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (VXUS), wrapped in a bond stack that is partly diversified and partly just different labels for duration and inflation risk.
The numbers
- Diversification ratio is 1.29 incept-to-date, around the 53.9th percentile on the platform; that is real diversification, but not the kind that makes correlations disappear.
- Effective number of assets is 4.26 of 5, so the weights are fairly spread; concentration is not the issue here.
- The 1Y DR is 1.18 versus 1.29 incept, which says the sleeves have been a bit more synchronized recently than over the longer sample.
The good
- The bond mix is not monolithic: iShares SCHP (SCHP) and Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) are meaningfully different on inflation sensitivity, and iShares Treasury Bond ETF (BIL) sits outside that duration cluster.
- The equity sleeve has clean global exposure, with VTI and VXUS capturing most of the equity beta in a simple way.
- Correlations across the bond and equity sleeves are low enough to keep the whole thing from behaving like one trade.
The bad
- VTI and VXUS are highly correlated at 0.82; that is two equity market exposures, not two independent engines.
- BND and SCHP are also tightly linked at 0.78, so the bond side is more of a rate/inflation variant than a separate source of return behavior.
- The portfolio’s own correlations say the real partition is equities versus fixed income, which is fine, but not especially elaborate.
The ugly
- In a regime where inflation stays sticky and rates stay jumpy, BND and SCHP can move together for the same unhelpful reason, while BIL remains too small to change the story much.
- If global equities and U.S. equities sell off together, as they often do when macro gets loud, the VTI/VXUS pair offers less insulation than the labels suggest.
Next steps
- Portfolios with this correlation profile are usually understood as a modest two-factor structure: equity beta plus duration/inflation sensitivity.
- The DR pattern suggests the portfolio has held up as a diversified object over time, though recent windows have been somewhat less decorrelated.
- The bond cluster and the equity cluster are each internally coherent, which is the nice way to say the portfolio is simpler than its five tickers imply.
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.26, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.29 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.29, in line with the typical range across portfolios.
Conservative Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.93 |
Correlation (3Y) Balances recent behavior with more history. | 0.90 |
Correlation (5Y) Shows whether the relationship held over a longer period. | 0.91 |
Correlation (10Y) Provides a long-term view across more market conditions. | 0.91 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 28, 2011 | 0.92 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VTI has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.99, while BND has the lowest at -0.07.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Conservative Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Conservative Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification