Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | Financial Services | 9.93% |
CIVI Civitas Resources, Inc. | Energy | 0.69% |
CLS Celestica Inc. | Technology | 2.30% |
DDI Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd | Communication Services | 4.19% |
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | Technology | 3.62% |
ESEA Euroseas Ltd | Industrials | 1.83% |
ESGR Enstar Group Limited | Financial Services | 10.18% |
FSLR First Solar, Inc. | Technology | 5.94% |
GASS StealthGas Inc. | Industrials | 2.31% |
LNC Lincoln National Corporation | Financial Services | 3.69% |
MDXG MiMedx Group, Inc. | Healthcare | 2.86% |
MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 8.76% |
OPRA Opera Limited | Communication Services | 3.02% |
PAM Pampa Energía S.A. | Utilities | 5.57% |
PDD Pinduoduo Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 2.14% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 12.44% |
PR Permian Resources Corporation | Energy | 1.20% |
RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | Financial Services | 12.85% |
SUN Sunoco LP | Energy | 3.20% |
VNOM Viper Energy Partners LP | Energy | 3.28% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Backtest (9/16/24), comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 1, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of PR
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Backtest (9/16/24) | 1.19% | 4.07% | 1.55% | 8.18% | 27.52% | 27.85% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | 1.59% | -0.29% | 6.98% | 17.79% | 21.30% | 14.88% | 13.61% | 10.56% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 1.03% | -8.44% | -8.77% | -14.68% | -26.04% | 13.80% | 18.00% | 22.03% |
ESGR Enstar Group Limited | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 1.31% | -3.72% | 0.85% | 8.60% | -0.08% | 14.03% | 20.89% | 15.54% |
MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | -0.50% | 6.05% | 22.85% | 14.64% | 6.96% | 10.14% | 1.48% | 10.95% |
FSLR First Solar, Inc. | -2.06% | -1.12% | -25.23% | -15.86% | 50.45% | -2.15% | 17.79% | 11.25% |
PAM Pampa Energía S.A. | 2.37% | 18.59% | 0.84% | 47.25% | 14.10% | 37.10% | 42.88% | 15.52% |
DDI Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd | 1.14% | -1.77% | 2.90% | -4.72% | -11.20% | 3.48% | — | — |
LNC Lincoln National Corporation | -1.02% | 2.35% | -20.86% | -11.66% | -1.76% | 23.18% | -6.62% | 2.56% |
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | 0.42% | 3.49% | -29.28% | -28.97% | -42.00% | -5.92% | -25.18% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 2, 2022, Backtest (9/16/24)'s average daily return is +0.12%, while the average monthly return is +2.41%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.4 years.
Historically, 73% of months were positive and 27% were negative. The best month was Oct 2022 with a return of +13.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -6.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Backtest (9/16/24) closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.46% | 2.44% | 0.09% | 1.54% | 1.55% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.32% | -2.94% | -6.34% | -1.59% | 7.88% | 2.57% | 3.76% | 1.30% | 5.59% | 8.54% | 1.61% | -4.03% | 20.15% |
| 2024 | 2.51% | 5.41% | 5.85% | -4.08% | 13.17% | -3.97% | 2.31% | 5.94% | 2.97% | 0.50% | 10.67% | -5.74% | 39.55% |
| 2023 | 8.80% | 3.49% | -0.07% | 0.98% | 1.53% | 7.79% | 3.68% | 0.18% | -3.61% | 1.85% | 7.33% | 2.46% | 39.42% |
| 2022 | -5.44% | 13.45% | 7.35% | -0.54% | 14.54% |
Benchmark Metrics
Backtest (9/16/24) has an annualized alpha of 18.09%, beta of 0.86, and R² of 0.52 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 02, 2022.
- This portfolio captured 133.61% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 58.40% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 18.09% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.86 and R² of 0.52, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 18.09%
- Beta
- 0.86
- R²
- 0.52
- Upside Capture
- 133.61%
- Downside Capture
- 58.40%
Expense Ratio
Backtest (9/16/24) has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Backtest (9/16/24) ranks 45 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.21 | 0.88 | +0.33 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.71 | 1.37 | +0.34 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.21 | +0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.41 | 1.39 | +1.02 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.17 | 6.43 | +0.73 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | 67 | 0.83 | 1.30 | 1.16 | 1.76 | 5.58 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6 | -1.04 | -1.35 | 0.83 | -0.91 | -1.47 |
ESGR Enstar Group Limited | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 37 | -0.00 | 0.16 | 1.02 | 0.05 | 0.10 |
MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | 45 | 0.22 | 0.54 | 1.06 | 0.36 | 0.72 |
FSLR First Solar, Inc. | 67 | 0.80 | 1.49 | 1.20 | 1.51 | 3.64 |
PAM Pampa Energía S.A. | 48 | 0.25 | 0.81 | 1.10 | 0.40 | 0.92 |
DDI Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd | 26 | -0.28 | -0.11 | 0.98 | -0.41 | -0.66 |
LNC Lincoln National Corporation | 37 | -0.04 | 0.22 | 1.03 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | 10 | -0.87 | -1.08 | 0.85 | -0.75 | -1.44 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Backtest (9/16/24) provided a 1.96% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.96% | 1.67% | 1.76% | 1.38% | 1.32% | 2.64% | 1.28% | 1.42% | 1.34% | 1.13% | 1.26% | 1.14% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
RNR RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. | 0.54% | 0.57% | 0.63% | 0.78% | 0.80% | 0.85% | 0.84% | 0.69% | 0.99% | 1.02% | 0.91% | 1.06% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7.17% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
ESGR Enstar Group Limited | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MLR Miller Industries, Inc. | 1.77% | 2.14% | 1.16% | 1.70% | 2.70% | 2.16% | 1.89% | 1.94% | 2.67% | 2.79% | 2.57% | 2.94% |
FSLR First Solar, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PAM Pampa Energía S.A. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DDI Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
LNC Lincoln National Corporation | 5.16% | 4.04% | 5.68% | 6.67% | 5.86% | 2.46% | 3.18% | 2.51% | 2.57% | 1.51% | 1.51% | 1.59% |
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Backtest (9/16/24). A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Backtest (9/16/24) was 20.99%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 76 trading sessions.
The current Backtest (9/16/24) drawdown is 4.04%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -20.99% | Dec 4, 2024 | 85 | Apr 8, 2025 | 76 | Jul 29, 2025 | 161 |
| -12.22% | Sep 13, 2022 | 10 | Sep 26, 2022 | 24 | Oct 28, 2022 | 34 |
| -8.45% | Dec 12, 2025 | 62 | Mar 13, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.32% | Mar 6, 2023 | 8 | Mar 15, 2023 | 38 | May 9, 2023 | 46 |
| -7.74% | May 29, 2024 | 47 | Aug 5, 2024 | 9 | Aug 16, 2024 | 56 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 20 assets, with an effective number of assets of 13.02, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | DDI | PGR | RNR | PDD | GASS | ESEA | ACGL | ESGR | SUN | FSLR | MDXG | DOCU | PAM | OPRA | CLS | VNOM | MLR | CIVI | PR | LNC | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.51 | 0.32 | 0.42 | 0.55 | 0.30 | 0.48 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.54 | 0.67 |
| DDI | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| PGR | 0.17 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.42 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.54 | 0.23 | 0.16 | -0.01 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| RNR | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.69 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.19 | 0.37 |
| PDD | 0.35 | 0.09 | -0.03 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.20 | -0.02 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| GASS | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| ESEA | 0.26 | 0.06 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| ACGL | 0.21 | 0.02 | 0.54 | 0.69 | -0.02 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.04 | -0.03 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| ESGR | 0.32 | 0.02 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| SUN | 0.24 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| FSLR | 0.37 | 0.11 | -0.01 | 0.04 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| MDXG | 0.39 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.12 | 0.30 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| DOCU | 0.51 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| PAM | 0.32 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.51 |
| OPRA | 0.42 | 0.12 | -0.04 | 0.03 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| CLS | 0.55 | 0.05 | -0.05 | -0.03 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.20 | -0.03 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.63 |
| VNOM | 0.30 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.64 | 0.69 | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| MLR | 0.48 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| CIVI | 0.33 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.64 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| PR | 0.33 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.69 | 0.28 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| LNC | 0.54 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.49 |
| Portfolio | 0.67 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 0.49 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 1.00 |