Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE | 0.00% | -1.33% | 8.44% | 8.75% | 33.12% | 21.23% | 12.50% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 0.26% | -1.31% | 10.27% | 11.24% | 26.94% | 9.64% | 8.01% | — |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.06% | -7.37% | -2.47% | -2.25% | 22.21% | 28.89% | 17.08% | 12.15% |
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 0.54% | 5.39% | 7.43% | 6.43% | 13.97% | 8.55% | 5.94% | 9.94% |
SPHQ Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF | 1.02% | 5.74% | 16.79% | 15.77% | 26.53% | 22.40% | 14.55% | 15.27% |
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF | 0.11% | 0.70% | 3.83% | 3.97% | 15.52% | 12.40% | 3.05% | — |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | -0.60% | 0.14% | -5.78% | -6.25% | -8.88% | -4.93% | -8.40% | — |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 2.93% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | -0.03% | 0.53% | 0.80% | 1.22% | 4.60% | 5.69% | 2.33% | 2.70% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 8, 2019, AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +1.29%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.5 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Feb 2026 with a return of +11.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -9.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE closed higher 38% of trading days. The best single day was Feb 3, 2026 with a return of +3.7%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -6.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.44% | 11.15% | -9.09% | 0.29% | 0.71% | -2.02% | 8.44% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.98% | 1.30% | 2.06% | 4.02% | -0.65% | 2.93% | -0.83% | 3.90% | 8.91% | 4.29% | 4.07% | 0.50% | 40.00% |
| 2024 | 0.98% | 2.71% | 8.53% | 0.27% | 1.41% | 2.64% | 2.02% | 0.66% | 4.31% | -4.44% | 1.12% | -4.58% | 16.02% |
| 2023 | 1.63% | -4.12% | 0.23% | 1.64% | -2.68% | 2.78% | 0.96% | -1.69% | -2.20% | 0.10% | 1.11% | 2.77% | 0.25% |
| 2022 | -3.09% | 3.49% | 3.20% | 3.60% | -2.23% | 0.87% | -1.86% | -2.17% | -0.86% | -0.60% | -0.11% | -0.77% | -0.81% |
| 2021 | -2.34% | -0.48% | 1.72% | 4.91% | 5.27% | -2.38% | 3.48% | -1.54% | -3.68% | 4.73% | -1.37% | 2.30% | 10.54% |
Benchmark Metrics
AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE has an annualized alpha of 13.72%, beta of 0.19, and R2 of 0.08 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 08, 2019.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (44.34%) than losses (5.26%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.19 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.08 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.08 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 13.72%
- Beta
- 0.19
- R²
- 0.08
- Upside Capture
- 44.34%
- Downside Capture
- 5.26%
Expense Ratio
AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE has a high expense ratio of 1.12%, indicating above-average management fees. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE ranks 39 for risk / return — below 39% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.89 | 1.86 | +0.03 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.40 | 2.53 | -0.13 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.36 | 1.34 | +0.02 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.55 | 2.53 | +0.02 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 6.77 | 11.37 | -4.60 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 82 | 2.22 | 2.92 | 1.47 | 4.50 | 16.30 |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 25 | 0.87 | 1.24 | 1.18 | 0.98 | 2.81 |
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 31 | 1.09 | 1.67 | 1.19 | 1.38 | 3.53 |
SPHQ Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF | 63 | 1.85 | 2.67 | 1.32 | 2.75 | 11.76 |
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF | 48 | 1.50 | 2.14 | 1.27 | 2.09 | 8.04 |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | 2 | -1.00 | -1.43 | 0.84 | -0.78 | -1.82 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
USD=X USD Cash | — | — | — | — | — | — |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 81 | 2.37 | 3.71 | 1.47 | 3.18 | 12.95 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE provided a 6.46% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 6.46% | 6.77% | 6.77% | 4.85% | 7.19% | 8.93% | 1.82% | 8.55% | 1.63% | 1.18% | 0.96% | 1.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.19% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 2.04% | 2.14% | 2.05% | 2.09% | 1.94% | 1.89% | 2.14% | 1.89% | 2.37% | 1.74% | 2.13% | 2.02% |
SPHQ Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF | 1.03% | 1.09% | 1.15% | 1.42% | 1.85% | 1.19% | 1.55% | 1.51% | 1.85% | 1.57% | 1.67% | 2.29% |
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF | 2.83% | 2.86% | 2.54% | 2.98% | 2.12% | 5.04% | 1.64% | 3.69% | 0.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TAIL Cambria Tail Risk ETF | 3.48% | 2.88% | 3.48% | 3.74% | 1.50% | 0.49% | 0.36% | 1.58% | 1.52% | 0.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
USD=X USD Cash | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VCSH Vanguard Short-Term Corporate Bond ETF | 4.45% | 4.35% | 3.96% | 3.09% | 2.01% | 1.81% | 2.27% | 2.87% | 2.65% | 2.26% | 2.10% | 2.08% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE was 13.35%, occurring on Oct 5, 2023. Recovery took 167 trading sessions.
The current AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE drawdown is 10.03%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 correction2023 | -13.35%Oct 2023 | 1y 5mo | 5mo 17d | 1y 10moApr 2022 - Mar 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -13.02%Mar 2020 | 10d | 28d | 1mo 8dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2026 correction2026 | -12.97%Mar 2026 | 21d | — | 3mo 15dMar 2026 - now |
2024 pullback2024 | -9.06%Dec 2024 | 3mo 4d | 3mo 12d | 6mo 16dSep 2024 - Apr 2025 |
2020 pullback2020 | -9.03%Oct 2020 | 2mo 24d | 2mo 7d | 5mo 1dAug 2020 - Jan 2021 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 0.55, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.55 | 1.99 | 2.29 | 2.22 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.22, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.40 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.37 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.27 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 8, 2019 | 0.31 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPHQ has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.94, while TAIL has the lowest at -0.68.
Asset Correlations Table
| USD=X | DBMF | GLD | TLT | VCSH | TAIL | NOBL | SPHQ | SWAN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD=X | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| DBMF | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.13 | -0.16 | -0.13 | -0.22 | 0.10 | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| GLD | 0.00 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.37 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| TLT | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.49 | -0.02 | -0.03 | 0.42 |
| VCSH | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.53 |
| TAIL | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.11 | 0.49 | 0.25 | 1.00 | -0.45 | -0.59 | -0.19 |
| NOBL | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.09 | -0.02 | 0.20 | -0.45 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.52 |
| SPHQ | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.11 | -0.03 | 0.20 | -0.59 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| SWAN | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.53 | -0.19 | 0.52 | 0.67 | 1.00 |
Find what AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE is missing
See which holdings overlap, where AI HEDGE x2 - AGGRESSIVE is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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