Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 40% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 10% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | Large Cap Value Equities | 10% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Foreign Large Cap Equities | 10% |
VB Vanguard Small-Cap ETF | Small Cap Blend Equities | 10% |
VBR Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | Small Cap Value Equities | 10% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | REIT | 10% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jul 15, 2026, the Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio returned 8.49% Year-To-Date and 7.40% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.38% | 1.51% | 8.33% | 10.20% | 20.34% | 18.74% | 11.59% | 13.31% |
Portfolio Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio | 0.24% | 0.15% | 6.22% | 8.49% | 14.73% | 11.14% | 5.60% | 7.40% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.28% | -0.41% | -0.17% | 0.11% | 3.88% | 3.85% | -0.21% | 1.46% |
VB Vanguard Small-Cap ETF | 0.24% | 0.47% | 9.68% | 15.87% | 23.75% | 15.10% | 7.99% | 11.12% |
VBR Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 0.06% | 0.70% | 10.14% | 15.40% | 22.31% | 15.17% | 9.73% | 10.54% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 1.20% | -0.81% | 10.12% | 13.80% | 27.57% | 17.99% | 9.88% | 10.13% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | -0.27% | -0.08% | 10.43% | 12.42% | 12.18% | 8.46% | 2.33% | 4.88% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.38% | 1.64% | 8.98% | 10.87% | 21.75% | 20.31% | 13.16% | 15.20% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | -0.35% | 1.19% | 12.36% | 15.66% | 25.06% | 17.92% | 12.28% | 12.39% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 9, 2010, Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.69%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.4 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +8.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -10.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +6.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -8.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.54% | 2.68% | -4.23% | 4.85% | 1.74% | 1.25% | -0.39% | 8.49% | |||||
| 2025 | 2.31% | 0.54% | -2.17% | -0.73% | 2.32% | 2.72% | 0.37% | 2.80% | 1.43% | 0.30% | 1.24% | 0.13% | 11.71% |
| 2024 | -0.94% | 1.75% | 2.78% | -4.14% | 3.20% | 0.37% | 4.21% | 1.93% | 1.69% | -2.23% | 4.02% | -4.33% | 8.09% |
| 2023 | 6.10% | -3.04% | 0.47% | 0.65% | -2.14% | 3.98% | 2.19% | -2.13% | -3.94% | -2.86% | 7.25% | 5.93% | 12.23% |
| 2022 | -3.91% | -1.23% | 0.56% | -5.48% | 0.47% | -5.86% | 5.80% | -3.53% | -7.63% | 4.65% | 5.53% | -3.19% | -14.00% |
| 2021 | -0.19% | 2.27% | 2.23% | 3.10% | 1.09% | 0.68% | 0.99% | 1.18% | -2.76% | 3.24% | -1.72% | 3.28% | 14.02% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 0.57%, beta of 0.57, and R2 of 0.85 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 09, 2010.
- This portfolio participated in 66.94% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 58.52% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.57 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 0.57%
- Beta
- 0.57
- R²
- 0.85
- Upside Capture
- 58.52%
- Downside Capture
- 66.94%
Expense Ratio
Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.05%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio ranks 56 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.79 | 1.63 | +0.17 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.61 | 2.25 | +0.36 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.33 | 1.30 | +0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.51 | 2.25 | +0.26 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.15 | 9.74 | +0.41 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 34 | 1.05 | 1.55 | 1.18 | 1.46 | 4.01 |
VB Vanguard Small-Cap ETF | 58 | 1.44 | 2.11 | 1.25 | 2.66 | 9.71 |
VBR Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 59 | 1.49 | 2.22 | 1.26 | 2.53 | 8.99 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 61 | 1.63 | 2.25 | 1.30 | 2.38 | 9.03 |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 31 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 1.16 | 1.47 | 4.61 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 67 | 1.75 | 2.41 | 1.32 | 2.45 | 10.70 |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 89 | 2.43 | 3.50 | 1.44 | 3.96 | 15.04 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio provided a 2.81% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.81% | 2.90% | 2.87% | 2.70% | 2.50% | 2.06% | 2.24% | 2.51% | 2.81% | 2.44% | 2.56% | 2.53% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 4.00% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
VB Vanguard Small-Cap ETF | 1.21% | 1.33% | 1.30% | 1.55% | 1.59% | 1.24% | 1.14% | 1.39% | 1.67% | 1.35% | 1.50% | 1.48% |
VBR Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF | 1.78% | 1.95% | 1.98% | 2.12% | 2.03% | 1.75% | 1.68% | 2.06% | 2.35% | 1.79% | 1.77% | 1.99% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.57% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 3.56% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.95% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.93% | 3.39% | 4.74% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.06% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
VTV Vanguard Value ETF | 1.87% | 2.05% | 2.31% | 2.46% | 2.52% | 2.15% | 2.56% | 2.50% | 2.73% | 2.29% | 2.44% | 2.60% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio was 24.01%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 141 trading sessions.
The current Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio drawdown is 0.64%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -24.01%Mar 2020 | 1mo 1d | 6mo 23d | 7mo 24dFeb 2020 - Oct 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -20.15%Oct 2022 | 11mo 10d | 1y 9mo | 2y 8moNov 2021 - Jul 2024 |
2011 correction2011 | -12.76%Oct 2011 | 2mo 27d | 4mo 1d | 6mo 28dJul 2011 - Feb 2012 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -11.01%Dec 2018 | 3mo 26d | 2mo 24d | 6mo 20dAug 2018 - Mar 2019 |
2025 selloff2025 | -10.80%Apr 2025 | 4mo 7d | 2mo 20d | 6mo 27dDec 2024 - Jun 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
AI Analysis
The gist
The portfolio is mostly a U.S. equity factor sleeve wrapped around a 40% bond anchor, so the bet is less “many independent assets” than “equities plus duration.” The math says that is a real structure, but only a modestly diversified one.
The numbers
- Diversification ratio is 1.23 in the 39th–49th percentile across horizons, which is decent but not much more than “equities and bonds are different things.”
- Effective asset count is 4.55 of 7, because the equity sleeve clusters tightly around one market regime.
- Mean pairwise correlation is 0.54, with several near-duplicates: VB (Vanguard Small Cap Blend ETF) and VBR (Vanguard Small Cap Value ETF) at 0.97, and VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) and VTV (Vanguard Value ETF) at 0.89.
The good
- BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF) is doing the real diversification work; its correlations to equities sit near zero or mildly negative.
- VNQ (Vanguard Real Estate ETF) and VEA (Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF) do add some distinct behavior, at least relative to the U.S. core.
The bad
- The equity sleeve is highly redundant: VOO, VTV, VB, and VBR sit in one cluster, so factor exposure is doing more of the work than security count.
- VNQ is less a separate diversifier than a different flavor of equity risk, with a portfolio correlation of 0.78.
The ugly
- In an inflation-plus-growth scare where stocks, REITs, and credit-sensitive bonds all de-rate together, the BND cushion can stop looking like a cushion and start looking like a slower-moving version of the same problem.
Next steps
- Portfolios with this correlation profile are typically complemented by exposures whose earnings drivers sit outside the equity cycle, because the current sleeve is mostly one equity conversation in several fonts.
- The stability of DR around 1.23 across 1Y to inception suggests the correlation structure is persistent, not accidental.
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.55, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.21 | 1.23 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.23, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.77 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.80 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.87 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 9, 2010 | 0.89 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VOO has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while BND has the lowest at -0.07.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Bill Schultheis Coffee House Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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