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2026
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


IBIT 33.00%ARKB 33.00%BTC-USD 6.00%1 position 3.00%MSTR 20.00%3 positions 5.00%CryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right asset allocation for 2026

Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
2026
0.22%-20.39%-22.94%-26.58%-36.48%
ARKB
ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF
0.00%-19.70%-27.41%-29.62%-39.71%
BMNR
BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc.
-2.48%-18.92%-40.66%-53.79%224.89%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
2.42%-17.06%-25.06%-25.64%-37.83%36.87%10.30%55.97%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
-0.03%-19.59%-27.41%-29.61%-39.67%
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc.
3.45%13.18%56.79%22.22%-6.38%13.30%-11.91%-10.09%
MSTR
Strategy Inc
3.18%-30.13%-18.41%-29.74%-67.62%63.46%19.14%20.92%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
1.72%11.44%72.15%75.62%141.99%60.05%38.42%37.49%
SOL-USD
Solana
3.18%-20.29%-42.88%-45.07%-50.88%68.92%11.55%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 5, 2025, 2026's average daily return is -0.09%, while the average monthly return is -2.85%.

Historically, 38% of months were positive and 62% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +17.2%, while the worst month was Nov 2025 at -20.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 2 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, 2026 closed higher 49% of trading days. The best single day was Jul 3, 2025 with a return of +15.4%, while the worst single day was Feb 5, 2026 at -13.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-3.87%-18.67%1.03%17.19%-2.79%-14.36%-22.94%
202510.22%6.04%-5.67%5.89%-6.26%-20.42%-5.40%-17.62%

Benchmark Metrics

2026 has an annualized alpha of -55.76%, beta of 2.23, and R2 of 0.29 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 05, 2025.

  • This portfolio participated in 325.16% of S&P 500 Index downside but only -13.72% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • R2 of 0.29 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
-55.76%
Beta
2.23
0.29
Upside Capture
-13.72%
Downside Capture
325.16%

Expense Ratio

2026 has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

2026 ranks 1 for risk / return — in the bottom 1% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


2026 Risk / Return Rank: 11
Overall Rank
2026 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 11
Sharpe Ratio Rank
2026 Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
Sortino Ratio Rank
2026 Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
2026 Calmar Ratio Rank: 11
Calmar Ratio Rank
2026 Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2026 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-0.71

1.86

-2.57

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.91

2.53

-3.44

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.90

1.34

-0.44

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.65

2.53

-3.19

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.04

11.37

-12.41


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
ARKB
ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF
2
-0.93-1.310.85-0.78-1.37
BMNR
BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc.
79
0.268.221.972.132.56
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
36
-0.88-1.200.88-0.74-1.28
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
2
-0.92-1.300.85-0.78-1.37
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc.
38
-0.140.371.04-0.16-0.26
MSTR
Strategy Inc
8
-0.95-1.710.82-0.88-1.27
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
95
4.134.261.609.1833.74
SOL-USD
Solana
54
-0.70-0.860.92-0.68-1.09

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current 2026 Sharpe ratio is -0.71 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 2026 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

2026 provided a 0.01% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.01%0.01%0.01%0.02%0.04%0.02%0.02%0.05%0.06%0.04%0.02%0.06%
ARKB
ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BMNR
BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc.
0.06%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MARA
MARA Holdings, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MSTR
Strategy Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
0.18%0.31%0.44%0.60%1.18%0.51%0.69%1.50%1.88%1.43%0.80%2.14%
SOL-USD
Solana
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 2026 was 55.74%, occurring on Feb 5, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current 2026 drawdown is 53.34%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2026 bear market2026
-55.74%Feb 2026
7mo 6d
11mo 16dJul 2025 - now
2025 selloff2025
-6.47%Jun 2025
11d8d
19dJun 2025 - Jun 2025
2025 selloff2025
-2.80%Jun 2025
0s4d
4dJun 2025 - Jun 2025
2025 pullback2025
-0.46%Jul 2025
0s1d
1dJul 2025 - Jul 2025

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.80, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.19

1.19

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.19, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.

2026 correlation to the S&P 500 Index

2026 has a 0.52 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.52

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 5, 2025

0.52


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SMH has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.76, while SOL-USD has the lowest at 0.46.

BMNR
0.48
MARA
0.48
MSTR
0.48
ARKB
0.49
IBIT
0.49
SMH
0.76

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. 2026. ARKB has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.91, while SMH has the lowest at 0.42.

SMH
0.42
MARA
0.67
BMNR
0.75
MSTR
0.85
IBIT
0.91
ARKB
0.91

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jun 5, 2025
Diversification Analysis

Find what 2026 is missing

See which holdings overlap, where 2026 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification