Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | Cryptocurrency | 33% |
ARKB ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF | Cryptocurrency | 33% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | Technology | 20% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 6% | |
SOL-USD Solana | 3% | |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 3% |
MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. | Financial Services | 1% |
BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | Financial Services | 1% |
Find the right asset allocation for 2026
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 2026 | 0.22% | -20.39% | -22.94% | -26.58% | -36.48% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ARKB ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF | 0.00% | -19.70% | -27.41% | -29.62% | -39.71% | — | — | — |
BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | -2.48% | -18.92% | -40.66% | -53.79% | 224.89% | — | — | — |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2.42% | -17.06% | -25.06% | -25.64% | -37.83% | 36.87% | 10.30% | 55.97% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -0.03% | -19.59% | -27.41% | -29.61% | -39.67% | — | — | — |
MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. | 3.45% | 13.18% | 56.79% | 22.22% | -6.38% | 13.30% | -11.91% | -10.09% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 3.18% | -30.13% | -18.41% | -29.74% | -67.62% | 63.46% | 19.14% | 20.92% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 1.72% | 11.44% | 72.15% | 75.62% | 141.99% | 60.05% | 38.42% | 37.49% |
SOL-USD Solana | 3.18% | -20.29% | -42.88% | -45.07% | -50.88% | 68.92% | 11.55% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 5, 2025, 2026's average daily return is -0.09%, while the average monthly return is -2.85%.
Historically, 38% of months were positive and 62% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +17.2%, while the worst month was Nov 2025 at -20.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 2 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 2026 closed higher 49% of trading days. The best single day was Jul 3, 2025 with a return of +15.4%, while the worst single day was Feb 5, 2026 at -13.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -3.87% | -18.67% | 1.03% | 17.19% | -2.79% | -14.36% | -22.94% | ||||||
| 2025 | 10.22% | 6.04% | -5.67% | 5.89% | -6.26% | -20.42% | -5.40% | -17.62% |
Benchmark Metrics
2026 has an annualized alpha of -55.76%, beta of 2.23, and R2 of 0.29 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 05, 2025.
- This portfolio participated in 325.16% of S&P 500 Index downside but only -13.72% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- R2 of 0.29 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- -55.76%
- Beta
- 2.23
- R²
- 0.29
- Upside Capture
- -13.72%
- Downside Capture
- 325.16%
Expense Ratio
2026 has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2026 ranks 1 for risk / return — in the bottom 1% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2026 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.71 | 1.86 | -2.57 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.91 | 2.53 | -3.44 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.90 | 1.34 | -0.44 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.65 | 2.53 | -3.19 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.04 | 11.37 | -12.41 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARKB ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF | 2 | -0.93 | -1.31 | 0.85 | -0.78 | -1.37 |
BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | 79 | 0.26 | 8.22 | 1.97 | 2.13 | 2.56 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 36 | -0.88 | -1.20 | 0.88 | -0.74 | -1.28 |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 2 | -0.92 | -1.30 | 0.85 | -0.78 | -1.37 |
MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. | 38 | -0.14 | 0.37 | 1.04 | -0.16 | -0.26 |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 8 | -0.95 | -1.71 | 0.82 | -0.88 | -1.27 |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 95 | 4.13 | 4.26 | 1.60 | 9.18 | 33.74 |
SOL-USD Solana | 54 | -0.70 | -0.86 | 0.92 | -0.68 | -1.09 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2026 provided a 0.01% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.02% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.02% | 0.06% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ARKB ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BMNR BitMine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MARA MARA Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
SOL-USD Solana | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2026 was 55.74%, occurring on Feb 5, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 2026 drawdown is 53.34%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 bear market2026 | -55.74%Feb 2026 | 7mo 6d | — | 11mo 16dJul 2025 - now |
2025 selloff2025 | -6.47%Jun 2025 | 11d | 8d | 19dJun 2025 - Jun 2025 |
2025 selloff2025 | -2.80%Jun 2025 | 0s | 4d | 4dJun 2025 - Jun 2025 |
2025 pullback2025 | -0.46%Jul 2025 | 0s | 1d | 1dJul 2025 - Jul 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.80, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.19 | 1.19 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.19, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
2026 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.52 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 5, 2025 | 0.52 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SMH has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.76, while SOL-USD has the lowest at 0.46.
Asset Correlations Table
| SMH | BMNR | MARA | SOL-USD | BTC-USD | MSTR | IBIT | ARKB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| BMNR | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| MARA | 0.40 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.68 | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| SOL-USD | 0.35 | 0.48 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.84 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| BTC-USD | 0.34 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 0.71 |
| MSTR | 0.33 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| IBIT | 0.42 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.62 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ARKB | 0.42 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 0.62 | 0.71 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Find what 2026 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2026 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification