Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 7, 2014, corresponding to the inception date of PDBC
Returns By Period
As of Apr 11, 2026, the Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX returned 4.81% Year-To-Date and 9.29% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -0.11% | 2.78% | -0.42% | 4.03% | 27.10% | 18.38% | 10.55% | 12.70% |
Portfolio Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX | 0.01% | 1.12% | 4.81% | 10.89% | 28.60% | 15.83% | 9.38% | 9.29% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | -0.18% | -5.14% | 10.30% | 18.42% | 46.72% | 32.89% | 21.77% | 13.80% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 1.01% | -4.97% | 7.23% | 52.06% | 136.66% | 44.20% | 24.16% | 16.19% |
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | -0.88% | -0.93% | 28.08% | 33.95% | 38.91% | 9.66% | 13.94% | 9.16% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 0.22% | 1.97% | 6.20% | 7.60% | 15.60% | 8.09% | 3.71% | 5.16% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 0.03% | 0.27% | 0.98% | 1.82% | 3.95% | 4.70% | 3.30% | 2.14% |
VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund | 0.14% | 2.98% | 2.37% | 6.17% | 24.17% | 14.15% | 7.02% | 9.40% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 10, 2014, Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.68%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 8.5 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +6.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -9.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +5.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -6.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.07% | 3.10% | -4.71% | 2.52% | 4.81% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.73% | 0.53% | 0.06% | 0.36% | 2.44% | 2.90% | 0.57% | 2.51% | 3.86% | 1.47% | 1.78% | 2.22% | 23.58% |
| 2024 | -0.58% | 1.73% | 3.19% | -1.54% | 3.31% | 0.66% | 2.15% | 1.66% | 2.35% | -0.68% | 1.33% | -2.15% | 11.84% |
| 2023 | 4.87% | -3.32% | 3.01% | 0.98% | -1.52% | 2.54% | 2.83% | -1.65% | -3.35% | -0.78% | 5.81% | 3.16% | 12.75% |
| 2022 | -2.76% | -0.08% | 1.33% | -4.53% | -0.40% | -5.01% | 3.56% | -3.38% | -5.83% | 2.80% | 6.24% | -1.81% | -10.12% |
| 2021 | -0.29% | 1.06% | 0.84% | 3.38% | 2.14% | -0.12% | 0.85% | 0.72% | -2.63% | 3.32% | -1.94% | 2.90% | 10.52% |
Benchmark Metrics
Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX has an annualized alpha of 2.47%, beta of 0.48, and R² of 0.77 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 10, 2014.
- This portfolio participated in 53.93% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 53.78% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.47% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.48 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 2.47%
- Beta
- 0.48
- R²
- 0.77
- Upside Capture
- 53.78%
- Downside Capture
- 53.93%
Expense Ratio
Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX has an expense ratio of 0.17%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX ranks 79 for risk / return — better than 79% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 3.25 | 2.23 | +1.02 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 4.03 | 3.12 | +0.92 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.68 | 1.42 | +0.26 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 4.62 | 4.05 | +0.57 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 17.90 | 17.91 | -0.01 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 39 | 1.82 | 2.24 | 1.34 | 3.06 | 10.54 |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 54 | 2.58 | 2.48 | 1.45 | 3.64 | 10.46 |
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | 64 | 2.35 | 3.09 | 1.41 | 6.17 | 13.55 |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 28 | 1.26 | 1.77 | 1.23 | 2.54 | 8.05 |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 100 | 19.56 | 254.71 | 180.39 | 366.82 | 4,118.43 |
VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund | 71 | 2.57 | 3.63 | 1.49 | 4.00 | 17.76 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX provided a 2.66% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.66% | 2.78% | 3.04% | 2.63% | 2.67% | 14.38% | 1.74% | 1.94% | 2.15% | 0.60% | 2.24% | 3.00% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GLD SPDR Gold Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | 3.00% | 3.84% | 4.42% | 4.21% | 13.05% | 50.83% | 0.01% | 1.40% | 1.00% | 3.83% | 6.51% | 0.00% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 3.75% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.95% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.93% | 3.39% | 4.74% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
BIL SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF | 3.95% | 4.13% | 5.03% | 4.92% | 1.35% | 0.00% | 0.30% | 2.05% | 1.66% | 0.68% | 0.07% | 0.00% |
VTTHX Vanguard Target Retirement 2035 Fund | 2.89% | 2.96% | 3.12% | 2.47% | 2.71% | 19.52% | 2.50% | 2.33% | 2.69% | 0.16% | 2.77% | 4.67% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX was 21.42%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 84 trading sessions.
The current Marcs Dalio-12-VTTHX drawdown is 3.09%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -21.42% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 84 | Jul 22, 2020 | 107 |
| -17.37% | Nov 15, 2021 | 231 | Oct 14, 2022 | 296 | Dec 19, 2023 | 527 |
| -12.4% | May 19, 2015 | 170 | Jan 20, 2016 | 118 | Jul 8, 2016 | 288 |
| -11.04% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 86 | Apr 30, 2019 | 315 |
| -7.92% | Feb 21, 2025 | 33 | Apr 8, 2025 | 23 | May 12, 2025 | 56 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.50, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BIL | PDBC | GLD | VNQ | SLV | VTTHX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.02 | 0.59 | 0.17 | 0.95 | 0.83 |
| BIL | 0.00 | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| PDBC | 0.26 | -0.02 | 1.00 | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| GLD | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.77 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| VNQ | 0.59 | -0.01 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| SLV | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.31 | 0.77 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.54 |
| VTTHX | 0.95 | 0.01 | 0.30 | 0.11 | 0.61 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Portfolio | 0.83 | 0.03 | 0.44 | 0.42 | 0.62 | 0.54 | 0.91 | 1.00 |