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VFORX vs. VTIAX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares (VTIAX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VFORX achieves a 10.11% return, which is significantly lower than VTIAX's 15.40% return. Over the past 10 years, VFORX has outperformed VTIAX with an annualized return of 10.66%, while VTIAX has yielded a comparatively lower 9.85% annualized return.


VFORX

1D
0.31%
1M
4.40%
YTD
10.11%
6M
10.85%
1Y
23.95%
3Y*
17.28%
5Y*
8.86%
10Y*
10.66%

VTIAX

1D
0.60%
1M
5.53%
YTD
15.40%
6M
18.19%
1Y
33.34%
3Y*
19.78%
5Y*
8.81%
10Y*
9.85%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
10.11%18.77%12.90%18.56%-17.00%14.55%15.48%23.86%-7.32%18.45%
VTIAX
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
15.40%32.18%5.34%15.28%-16.02%8.59%11.27%21.52%-14.46%27.54%

Correlation

The correlation between VFORX and VTIAX is 0.93, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.93

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.90

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.90

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.91

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 30, 2010

0.92

The correlation between VFORX and VTIAX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.90 to 0.93 - a consistent structural relationship.

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
VFORX
VTIAX

Technology

27.4%
18.1%

Financial Services

16.1%
22.3%

Industrials

12.3%
16.1%

Consumer Cyclical

9.4%
8.4%

Healthcare

8.3%
7.1%

Communication Services

8.0%
4.4%

Consumer Defensive

4.8%
5.0%

Energy

4.3%
5.2%

Basic Materials

4.3%
7.6%

Utilities

2.7%
3.2%

Real Estate

2.5%
2.6%

Technology

VFORX
27.4%
VTIAX
18.1%

Financial Services

VFORX
16.1%
VTIAX
22.3%

Industrials

VFORX
12.3%
VTIAX
16.1%

Consumer Cyclical

VFORX
9.4%
VTIAX
8.4%

Healthcare

VFORX
8.3%
VTIAX
7.1%

Communication Services

VFORX
8.0%
VTIAX
4.4%

Consumer Defensive

VFORX
4.8%
VTIAX
5.0%

Energy

VFORX
4.3%
VTIAX
5.2%

Basic Materials

VFORX
4.3%
VTIAX
7.6%

Utilities

VFORX
2.7%
VTIAX
3.2%

Real Estate

VFORX
2.5%
VTIAX
2.6%

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Return for Risk

VFORX vs. VTIAX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VFORX
VFORX Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
VFORX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7474
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VFORX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7171
Sortino Ratio Rank
VFORX Omega Ratio Rank: 6969
Omega Ratio Rank
VFORX Calmar Ratio Rank: 6767
Calmar Ratio Rank
VFORX Martin Ratio Rank: 7373
Martin Ratio Rank

VTIAX
VTIAX Risk / Return Rank: 5858
Overall Rank
VTIAX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6262
Sharpe Ratio Rank
VTIAX Sortino Ratio Rank: 5656
Sortino Ratio Rank
VTIAX Omega Ratio Rank: 5959
Omega Ratio Rank
VTIAX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5757
Calmar Ratio Rank
VTIAX Martin Ratio Rank: 5757
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) and Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares (VTIAX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


VFORXVTIAXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.19

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+0.36

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.46

1.43

+0.04

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.15

2.91

+0.24

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

13.90

11.49

+2.40

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VFORX Sharpe Ratio is 2.50, which is comparable to the VTIAX Sharpe Ratio of 2.31. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VFORX and VTIAX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


VFORXVTIAXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.50

2.31

+0.19

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.72

0.59

+0.13

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.78

0.62

+0.16

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.50

0.44

+0.06

Drawdowns

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VFORX drawdown since its inception was -51.63%, which is greater than VTIAX's maximum drawdown of -35.83%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VFORX and VTIAX.


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Drawdown Indicators


VFORXVTIAXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-51.63%

-35.83%

-15.80%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.70%

-11.28%

+3.58%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-12.12%

-13.13%

+1.01%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-24.32%

-29.56%

+5.24%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-29.35%

-35.83%

+6.48%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.77%

-8.08%

+1.31%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.74%

2.85%

-1.11%

Volatility

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund (VFORX) is 2.99%, while Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares (VTIAX) has a volatility of 4.80%. This indicates that VFORX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than VTIAX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


VFORXVTIAXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.99%

4.80%

-1.81%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

7.78%

11.90%

-4.12%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.71%

14.22%

-4.51%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

12.43%

15.04%

-2.61%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.68%

15.93%

-2.25%

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Expense Ratio Comparison

VFORX has a 0.08% expense ratio, which is lower than VTIAX's 0.09% expense ratio. Despite the difference, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

VFORX vs. VTIAX - Dividend Comparison

VFORX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.51%, less than VTIAX's 2.60% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
VFORX
Vanguard Target Retirement 2040 Fund
2.51%2.77%2.86%2.38%2.60%20.68%2.06%2.28%2.58%0.04%2.40%2.99%
VTIAX
Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares
2.60%3.15%3.33%3.22%3.04%3.05%2.10%3.04%3.16%2.73%2.93%2.84%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.93, VFORX and VTIAX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

VTIAX has higher volatility (4.80%) compared to VFORX (2.99%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VFORX dropped -51.63% vs VTIAX's -35.83%.

VFORX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.50 vs 2.31), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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