TRUE vs. SPY

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

TRUE (TrueCar, Inc.) is a stock, while SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) is S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 10 years, TRUE returned -9.77%/yr vs 15.49%/yr for SPY. At a 0.37 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

TRUE vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in TrueCar, Inc. (TRUE) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TRUE achieves a 12.39% return, which is significantly higher than SPY's 10.91% return. Over the past 10 years, TRUE has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of -9.77%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.49% annualized return.

TRUE

• 1D: 0.00%
• 1M: 0.00%
• YTD: 12.39%
• 6M: 15.45%
• 1Y: 75.17%
• 3Y*: 1.77%
• 5Y*: -14.78%
• 10Y*: -9.77%

SPY

• 1D: -0.70%
• 1M: 5.05%
• YTD: 10.91%
• 6M: 10.91%
• 1Y: 27.98%
• 3Y*: 22.35%
• 5Y*: 13.83%
• 10Y*: 15.49%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TRUE vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
TRUE TrueCar, Inc.	12.39%	-39.41%	7.80%	37.85%	-26.18%	-19.05%	-11.58%	-47.57%	-19.11%	-10.40%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	10.91%	17.72%	24.89%	26.18%	-18.18%	28.73%	18.33%	31.22%	-4.57%	21.71%

Correlation

The correlation between TRUE and SPY is 0.21, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.21
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.39
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.41
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.39
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 19, 2014	0.37

The correlation between TRUE and SPY shifts across timeframes, from 0.21 (1 year) to 0.41 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

TRUE vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TRUE

TRUE Risk / Return Rank: 80
TRUE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 71
TRUE Sortino Ratio Rank: 83
TRUE Omega Ratio Rank: 87
TRUE Calmar Ratio Rank: 74
TRUE Martin Ratio Rank: 84

SPY

SPY Risk / Return Rank: 70
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 71
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 69
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 70
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 62
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 75

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TRUE vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for TrueCar, Inc. (TRUE) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	TRUE	SPY	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	0.96	2.38	-1.42
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	2.59	3.24	-0.65
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.38	1.43	-0.05
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	2.00	3.16	-1.16
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	8.43	14.72	-6.29
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

TRUE vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TRUE Sharpe Ratio is 0.96, which is lower than the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 2.38. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TRUE and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	TRUE	SPY	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.96	2.38	-1.42
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.22	0.82	-1.04
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.16	0.87	-1.02
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.17	0.59	-0.75

Drawdowns

TRUE vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TRUE drawdown since its inception was -94.70%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TRUE and SPY.

Drawdown Indicators

	TRUE	SPY	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-94.70%	-55.19%	-39.51%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-41.15%	-8.88%	-32.27%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-71.99%	-18.76%	-53.23%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-78.01%	-24.50%	-53.51%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-94.06%	-33.72%	-60.34%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-89.48%	-0.70%	-88.78%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-70.43%	-9.05%	-61.38%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	9.81%	1.91%	+7.90%

Volatility

TRUE vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for TrueCar, Inc. (TRUE) is 0.00%, while State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has a volatility of 2.84%. This indicates that TRUE experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	TRUE	SPY	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	0.00%	2.84%	-2.84%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	21.36%	8.90%	+12.46%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	86.24%	11.83%	+74.41%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	67.35%	17.05%	+50.30%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	62.59%	17.94%	+44.65%

Dividends

TRUE vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison

TRUE has not paid dividends to shareholders, while SPY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.98%.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	0.98%	1.07%	1.21%	1.40%	1.65%	1.20%	1.52%	1.75%	2.04%	1.80%	2.03%	2.06%
TRUE TrueCar, Inc.	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both TRUE and SPY in my portfolio?

TRUE and SPY have a correlation of 0.21, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, TRUE or SPY?

SPY has higher volatility (2.84%) compared to TRUE (0.00%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TRUE dropped -94.70% vs SPY's -55.19%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.38 vs 0.96), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.