SWAN vs. CAOS

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

SWAN (Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF) and CAOS (Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - SWAN is a Diversified Portfolio fund tracking the S-Network BlackSwan Core Index, while CAOS is a Options Trading fund actively managed by Alpha Architect. SWAN is passively managed, while CAOS is actively managed. Over the past 3 years, SWAN returned 12.85%/yr vs 4.26%/yr for CAOS. At a 0.03 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. SWAN charges 0.49%/yr vs 0.63%/yr for CAOS.

Performance

SWAN vs. CAOS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF (SWAN) and Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SWAN achieves a 5.21% return, which is significantly higher than CAOS's 0.82% return.

SWAN

• 1D: -0.61%
• 1M: 3.71%
• YTD: 5.21%
• 6M: 4.34%
• 1Y: 17.67%
• 3Y*: 12.85%
• 5Y*: 3.38%
• 10Y*: —

CAOS

• 1D: 0.12%
• 1M: -0.09%
• YTD: 0.82%
• 6M: 0.69%
• 1Y: 1.88%
• 3Y*: 4.26%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SWAN vs. CAOS - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF	5.21%	13.93%	13.44%	10.63%
CAOS Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF	0.82%	2.55%	5.33%	7.97%

Correlation

The correlation between SWAN and CAOS is -0.28, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.28
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	-0.00
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 7, 2023	0.03

The correlation between SWAN and CAOS shifts across timeframes, from -0.28 (1 year) to 0.03 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

SWAN vs. CAOS - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	SWAN	CAOS
Technology	35.6%	33.1%
Financial Services	11.8%	12.4%
Communication Services	11.2%	10.4%
Consumer Cyclical	10.1%	10.0%
Healthcare	8.5%	9.6%
Industrials	8.3%	8.5%
Consumer Defensive	4.9%	5.4%
Energy	3.5%	4.1%
Utilities	2.4%	2.6%
Real Estate	1.9%	2.0%
Basic Materials	1.8%	1.9%

Return for Risk

SWAN vs. CAOS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SWAN

SWAN Risk / Return Rank: 54
SWAN Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
SWAN Sortino Ratio Rank: 56
SWAN Omega Ratio Rank: 54
SWAN Calmar Ratio Rank: 50
SWAN Martin Ratio Rank: 56

CAOS

CAOS Risk / Return Rank: 40
CAOS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 34
CAOS Sortino Ratio Rank: 37
CAOS Omega Ratio Rank: 39
CAOS Calmar Ratio Rank: 49
CAOS Martin Ratio Rank: 39

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SWAN vs. CAOS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF (SWAN) and Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	SWAN	CAOS	Difference
Sharpe ratio Return per unit of total volatility	1.89	1.24	+0.65
Sortino ratio Return per unit of downside risk	2.71	1.98	+0.73
Omega ratio Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.34	1.26	+0.08
Calmar ratio Return relative to maximum drawdown	2.52	2.49	+0.03
Martin ratio Return relative to average drawdown	9.93	6.22	+3.70
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

SWAN vs. CAOS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SWAN Sharpe Ratio is 1.89, which is higher than the CAOS Sharpe Ratio of 1.24. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SWAN and CAOS, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	SWAN	CAOS	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	1.89	1.24	+0.65
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.30	—	—
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.58	1.21	-0.63

Drawdowns

SWAN vs. CAOS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SWAN drawdown since its inception was -31.04%, which is greater than CAOS's maximum drawdown of -3.60%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SWAN and CAOS.

Drawdown Indicators

	SWAN	CAOS	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-31.04%	-3.60%	-27.44%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-7.05%	-0.76%	-6.29%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-12.07%	-3.60%	-8.47%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-31.04%	—	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-0.61%	-1.07%	+0.46%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-8.88%	-0.90%	-7.98%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	1.78%	0.30%	+1.48%

Volatility

SWAN vs. CAOS - Volatility Comparison

Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF (SWAN) has a higher volatility of 3.48% compared to Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS) at 0.26%. This indicates that SWAN's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than CAOS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	SWAN	CAOS	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	3.48%	0.26%	+3.22%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	7.28%	1.03%	+6.25%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	9.39%	1.52%	+7.87%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	11.33%	4.26%	+7.07%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	12.47%	4.26%	+8.21%

SWAN vs. CAOS - Expense Ratio Comparison

SWAN has a 0.49% expense ratio, which is lower than CAOS's 0.63% expense ratio.

Dividends

SWAN vs. CAOS - Dividend Comparison

SWAN's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.79%, while CAOS has not paid dividends to shareholders.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
CAOS Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF	2.79%	2.86%	2.54%	2.98%	2.12%	5.04%	1.64%	3.69%	0.29%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both SWAN and CAOS in my portfolio?

SWAN and CAOS have a correlation of -0.28, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, SWAN or CAOS?

SWAN has higher volatility (3.48%) compared to CAOS (0.26%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SWAN dropped -31.04% vs CAOS's -3.60%.

Which ETF is better, SWAN or CAOS?

On 3-year performance, SWAN leads with 12.85% vs 4.26% for CAOS. On fees, SWAN is cheaper at 0.49% per year. On volatility, CAOS has been the lower-risk option at 0.26%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, SWAN or CAOS?

Over the 3-year period, SWAN has performed better with a 12.85% return vs 4.26%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, SWAN or CAOS?

SWAN is cheaper with a 0.49% expense ratio, compared with 0.63% for CAOS.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, SWAN or CAOS?

SWAN has the higher dividend yield at 2.79%, compared with 0.00% for CAOS.

What is the main difference between SWAN and CAOS?

SWAN is categorized as Diversified Portfolio, while CAOS is Options Trading. They also come from different issuers: Amplify and Alpha Architect. Their fees differ too: 0.49% for SWAN and 0.63% for CAOS.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

SWAN currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.89 vs 1.24), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.