SWAN vs. CAOS
SWAN (Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF) and CAOS (Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - SWAN is a Diversified Portfolio fund tracking the S-Network BlackSwan Core Index, while CAOS is a Options Trading fund actively managed by Alpha Architect. SWAN is passively managed, while CAOS is actively managed. Over the past 3 years, SWAN returned 12.19%/yr vs 3.94%/yr for CAOS. At a 0.02 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. SWAN charges 0.49%/yr vs 0.63%/yr for CAOS.
Performance
SWAN vs. CAOS - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SWAN achieves a 3.29% return, which is significantly higher than CAOS's 0.71% return.
SWAN
- 1D
- -0.65%
- 1M
- -0.50%
- YTD
- 3.29%
- 6M
- 2.73%
- 1Y
- 14.05%
- 3Y*
- 12.19%
- 5Y*
- 2.87%
- 10Y*
- —
CAOS
- 1D
- -0.04%
- 1M
- -0.12%
- YTD
- 0.71%
- 6M
- 0.61%
- 1Y
- 1.62%
- 3Y*
- 3.94%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SWAN vs. CAOS - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF | 3.29% | 13.93% | 13.44% | 10.18% |
CAOS Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF | 0.71% | 2.55% | 5.33% | 7.43% |
Correlation
The correlation between SWAN and CAOS is -0.27, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.27 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.01 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 6, 2023 | 0.02 |
The correlation between SWAN and CAOS shifts across timeframes, from -0.27 (1 year) to 0.02 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
SWAN vs. CAOS — Risk / Return Rank
SWAN
CAOS
SWAN vs. CAOS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF (SWAN) and Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SWAN | CAOS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.33 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.30 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.25 | 1.22 | +0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.00 | 2.15 | -0.14 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 7.65 | 5.18 | +2.47 |
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Drawdowns
SWAN vs. CAOS - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SWAN drawdown since its inception was -31.04%, which is greater than CAOS's maximum drawdown of -3.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SWAN and CAOS.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SWAN | CAOS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -31.04% | -3.89% | -27.15% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -7.05% | -0.76% | -6.29% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -12.07% | -3.60% | -8.47% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -31.04% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -2.43% | -1.18% | -1.25% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -8.83% | -0.92% | -7.91% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.84% | 0.32% | +1.52% |
Volatility
SWAN vs. CAOS - Volatility Comparison
Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF (SWAN) has a higher volatility of 3.97% compared to Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF (CAOS) at 0.32%. This indicates that SWAN's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than CAOS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SWAN | CAOS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.97% | 0.32% | +3.65% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 7.97% | 1.05% | +6.92% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 10.00% | 1.50% | +8.50% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 11.43% | 4.23% | +7.20% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 12.49% | 4.23% | +8.26% |
SWAN vs. CAOS - Expense Ratio Comparison
SWAN has a 0.49% expense ratio, which is lower than CAOS's 0.63% expense ratio.
Dividends
SWAN vs. CAOS - Dividend Comparison
SWAN's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.84%, while CAOS has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAOS Alpha Architect Tail Risk ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SWAN Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF | 2.84% | 2.86% | 2.54% | 2.98% | 2.12% | 5.04% | 1.64% | 3.69% | 0.29% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SWAN and CAOS have a correlation of -0.27, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SWAN has higher volatility (3.97%) compared to CAOS (0.32%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SWAN dropped -31.04% vs CAOS's -3.89%.
On 3-year performance, SWAN leads with 12.19% vs 3.94% for CAOS. On fees, SWAN is cheaper at 0.49% per year. On volatility, CAOS has been the lower-risk option at 0.32%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, SWAN has performed better with a 12.19% return vs 3.94%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SWAN is cheaper with a 0.49% expense ratio, compared with 0.63% for CAOS.
SWAN has the higher dividend yield at 2.84%, compared with 0.00% for CAOS.
SWAN is categorized as Diversified Portfolio, while CAOS is Options Trading. They also come from different issuers: Amplify and Alpha Architect. Their fees differ too: 0.49% for SWAN and 0.63% for CAOS.
SWAN currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.42 vs 1.08), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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