SSO vs. NAIL
SSO (ProShares Ultra S&P500) and NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares) are both Leveraged Equities funds - SSO tracks the S&P 500 while NAIL tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, SSO returned 24.02%/yr vs 6.16%/yr for NAIL. A 0.58 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. SSO charges 0.87%/yr vs 0.99%/yr for NAIL.
Performance
SSO vs. NAIL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SSO achieves a 15.08% return, which is significantly higher than NAIL's -13.15% return. Over the past 10 years, SSO has outperformed NAIL with an annualized return of 24.02%, while NAIL has yielded a comparatively lower 6.16% annualized return.
SSO
- 1D
- 1.03%
- 1M
- -0.82%
- YTD
- 15.08%
- 6M
- 15.47%
- 1Y
- 43.79%
- 3Y*
- 34.18%
- 5Y*
- 18.57%
- 10Y*
- 24.02%
NAIL
- 1D
- -2.18%
- 1M
- 25.39%
- YTD
- -13.15%
- 6M
- -27.97%
- 1Y
- -17.64%
- 3Y*
- -11.92%
- 5Y*
- -9.97%
- 10Y*
- 6.16%
SSO vs. NAIL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 | 15.08% | 26.19% | 43.48% | 46.65% | -38.98% | 60.57% | 21.54% | 63.45% | -14.60% | 44.35% |
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares | -13.15% | -40.43% | -22.83% | 259.61% | -75.23% | 168.20% | -32.08% | 184.63% | -73.96% | 268.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between SSO and NAIL is 0.43, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.43 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.54 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.63 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.59 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 19, 2015 | 0.58 |
The correlation between SSO and NAIL shifts across timeframes, from 0.43 (1 year) to 0.63 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
SSO vs. NAIL - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
SSO
NAIL
Technology
-
Financial Services
-
Communication Services
-
Consumer Cyclical
Healthcare
-
Industrials
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Utilities
-
Real Estate
Basic Materials
Technology
SSO
NAIL
-
Financial Services
SSO
NAIL
-
Communication Services
SSO
NAIL
-
Consumer Cyclical
SSO
NAIL
Healthcare
SSO
NAIL
-
Industrials
SSO
NAIL
Consumer Defensive
SSO
NAIL
-
Energy
SSO
NAIL
-
Utilities
SSO
NAIL
-
Real Estate
SSO
NAIL
Basic Materials
SSO
NAIL
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Return for Risk
SSO vs. NAIL — Risk / Return Rank
SSO
NAIL
SSO vs. NAIL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra S&P500 (SSO) and Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SSO | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +1.99 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.98 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.31 | 1.04 | +0.27 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.42 | -0.26 | +2.68 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.37 | -0.45 | +10.81 |
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Drawdowns
SSO vs. NAIL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SSO drawdown since its inception was -84.67%, smaller than the maximum NAIL drawdown of -93.75%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SSO and NAIL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SSO | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -84.67% | -93.75% | +9.08% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -18.17% | -67.85% | +49.68% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -35.21% | -82.09% | +46.88% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -46.73% | -84.40% | +37.67% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -59.34% | -93.75% | +34.41% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -4.94% | -75.18% | +70.24% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -19.55% | -43.87% | +24.32% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 4.24% | 39.36% | -35.12% |
Volatility
SSO vs. NAIL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Ultra S&P500 (SSO) is 8.74%, while Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NAIL) has a volatility of 26.93%. This indicates that SSO experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than NAIL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SSO | NAIL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.74% | 26.93% | -18.19% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.17% | 61.98% | -42.81% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 24.54% | 88.92% | -64.38% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 33.78% | 87.27% | -53.49% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 35.95% | 89.35% | -53.40% |
SSO vs. NAIL - Expense Ratio Comparison
SSO has a 0.87% expense ratio, which is lower than NAIL's 0.99% expense ratio.
Dividends
SSO vs. NAIL - Dividend Comparison
SSO's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.64%, less than NAIL's 0.91% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares | 0.91% | 1.55% | 0.63% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.35% | 1.25% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 | 0.64% | 0.68% | 0.85% | 0.18% | 0.50% | 0.18% | 0.20% | 0.50% | 0.75% | 0.39% | 0.51% | 0.63% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SSO and NAIL have a correlation of 0.43, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
NAIL has higher volatility (26.93%) compared to SSO (8.74%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SSO dropped -84.67% vs NAIL's -93.75%.
On 10-year performance, SSO leads with 24.02% vs 6.16% for NAIL. On fees, SSO is cheaper at 0.87% per year. On volatility, SSO has been the lower-risk option at 8.74%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, SSO has performed better with a 24.02% return vs 6.16%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SSO is cheaper with a 0.87% expense ratio, compared with 0.99% for NAIL.
NAIL has the higher dividend yield at 0.91%, compared with 0.64% for SSO.
SSO tracks S&P 500, while NAIL tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Home Construction Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.87% for SSO and 0.99% for NAIL.
SSO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.79 vs -0.20), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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