SPY vs. MSTR
SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) is S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index, while MSTR (Strategy Inc) is a stock. Over the past 10 years, SPY returned 15.27%/yr vs 21.08%/yr for MSTR. At a 0.45 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
SPY vs. MSTR - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SPY achieves a 8.70% return, which is significantly higher than MSTR's -16.29% return. Over the past 10 years, SPY has underperformed MSTR with an annualized return of 15.27%, while MSTR has yielded a comparatively higher 21.08% annualized return.
SPY
- 1D
- 0.23%
- 1M
- 0.22%
- YTD
- 8.70%
- 6M
- 8.75%
- 1Y
- 24.79%
- 3Y*
- 21.35%
- 5Y*
- 13.42%
- 10Y*
- 15.27%
MSTR
- 1D
- 5.61%
- 1M
- -32.19%
- YTD
- -16.29%
- 6M
- -30.75%
- 1Y
- -66.03%
- 3Y*
- 65.16%
- 5Y*
- 19.92%
- 10Y*
- 21.08%
SPY vs. MSTR - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8.70% | 17.72% | 24.89% | 26.18% | -18.18% | 28.73% | 18.33% | 31.22% | -4.57% | 21.71% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | -16.29% | -47.53% | 358.54% | 346.15% | -74.00% | 40.13% | 172.42% | 11.65% | -2.70% | -33.49% |
Correlation
The correlation between SPY and MSTR is 0.47, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.47 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.43 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.50 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.48 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 12, 1998 | 0.45 |
The correlation between SPY and MSTR has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.43 to 0.50 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
SPY vs. MSTR — Risk / Return Rank
SPY
MSTR
SPY vs. MSTR - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Strategy Inc (MSTR). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| SPY | MSTR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +3.00 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +4.44 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.38 | 0.82 | +0.55 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.80 | -0.86 | +3.67 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.93 | -1.27 | +14.20 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| SPY | MSTR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 2.06 | -0.94 | +3.00 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.79 | 0.22 | +0.57 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.85 | 0.29 | +0.57 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.58 | 0.12 | +0.46 |
Drawdowns
SPY vs. MSTR - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SPY drawdown since its inception was -55.19%, smaller than the maximum MSTR drawdown of -99.86%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SPY and MSTR.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SPY | MSTR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -55.19% | -99.86% | +44.67% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.88% | -76.53% | +67.65% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -18.76% | -77.42% | +58.66% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -24.50% | -84.11% | +59.61% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -33.72% | -89.27% | +55.55% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -2.68% | -73.15% | +70.47% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -9.04% | -86.47% | +77.43% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.92% | 52.19% | -50.27% |
Volatility
SPY vs. MSTR - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is 3.72%, while Strategy Inc (MSTR) has a volatility of 21.43%. This indicates that SPY experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MSTR based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SPY | MSTR | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.72% | 21.43% | -17.71% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 9.31% | 56.80% | -47.49% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 12.10% | 70.82% | -58.72% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 17.09% | 90.87% | -73.78% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 17.96% | 73.77% | -55.81% |
Dividends
SPY vs. MSTR - Dividend Comparison
SPY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.00%, while MSTR has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSTR Strategy Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SPY and MSTR have a correlation of 0.47, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MSTR has higher volatility (21.43%) compared to SPY (3.72%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SPY dropped -55.19% vs MSTR's -99.86%.
SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.06 vs -0.94), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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