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SMST vs. SPXS
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

SMST vs. SPXS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, SMST achieves a -55.68% return, which is significantly lower than SPXS's -27.08% return.


SMST

1D
17.75%
1M
49.84%
YTD
-55.68%
6M
-41.65%
1Y
40.09%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

SPXS

1D
-0.39%
1M
-14.03%
YTD
-27.08%
6M
-27.23%
1Y
-50.67%
3Y*
-43.09%
5Y*
-35.40%
10Y*
-42.14%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

SMST vs. SPXS - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
SMST
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF
-55.68%-44.36%-90.90%
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares
-27.08%-41.53%-10.97%

Correlation

The correlation between SMST and SPXS is 0.46, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.46

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 22, 2024

0.46

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Return for Risk

SMST vs. SPXS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

SMST
SMST Risk / Return Rank: 1818
Overall Rank
SMST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1313
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SMST Sortino Ratio Rank: 2525
Sortino Ratio Rank
SMST Omega Ratio Rank: 2626
Omega Ratio Rank
SMST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
SMST Martin Ratio Rank: 1313
Martin Ratio Rank

SPXS
SPXS Risk / Return Rank: 00
Overall Rank
SPXS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 00
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPXS Sortino Ratio Rank: 00
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPXS Omega Ratio Rank: 00
Omega Ratio Rank
SPXS Calmar Ratio Rank: 00
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPXS Martin Ratio Rank: 00
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

SMST vs. SPXS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


SMSTSPXSDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.29

-1.43

+1.72

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.40

-2.45

+3.85

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.18

0.74

+0.44

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.44

-1.01

+1.45

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.93

-1.72

+2.65

SMST vs. SPXS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current SMST Sharpe Ratio is 0.29, which is higher than the SPXS Sharpe Ratio of -1.43. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of SMST and SPXS, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


SMSTSPXSDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.29

-1.43

+1.72

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.71

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.79

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.53

-0.84

+0.31

Drawdowns

SMST vs. SPXS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum SMST drawdown since its inception was -99.25%, roughly equal to the maximum SPXS drawdown of -100.00%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SMST and SPXS.


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Drawdown Indicators


SMSTSPXSDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-99.25%

-100.00%

+0.75%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-85.39%

-50.77%

-34.62%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-84.13%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-90.11%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-99.63%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-98.26%

-100.00%

+1.74%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-90.65%

-96.30%

+5.65%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

40.51%

29.88%

+10.63%

Volatility

SMST vs. SPXS - Volatility Comparison

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) has a higher volatility of 37.28% compared to Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (SPXS) at 8.20%. This indicates that SMST's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPXS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


SMSTSPXSDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

37.28%

8.20%

+29.08%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

125.90%

26.76%

+99.14%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

140.31%

35.48%

+104.83%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

166.64%

50.38%

+116.26%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

166.64%

53.55%

+113.09%

SMST vs. SPXS - Expense Ratio Comparison

SMST has a 1.29% expense ratio, which is higher than SPXS's 1.08% expense ratio.


Dividends

SMST vs. SPXS - Dividend Comparison

SMST has not paid dividends to shareholders, while SPXS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.02%.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018
SMST
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares
5.02%4.93%6.18%5.66%0.00%0.00%0.51%1.74%0.58%

Frequently Asked Questions


SMST and SPXS have a correlation of 0.46, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

SMST has higher volatility (37.28%) compared to SPXS (8.20%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SMST dropped -99.25% vs SPXS's -100.00%.

On 1-year performance, SMST leads with 40.09% vs -50.67% for SPXS. On fees, SPXS is cheaper at 1.08% per year. On volatility, SPXS has been the lower-risk option at 8.20%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, SMST has performed better with a 40.09% return vs -50.67%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

SPXS is cheaper with a 1.08% expense ratio, compared with 1.29% for SMST.

SPXS has the higher dividend yield at 5.02%, compared with 0.00% for SMST.

They also come from different issuers: Defiance and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 1.29% for SMST and 1.08% for SPXS.

SMST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.29 vs -1.43), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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