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PAJRX vs. TRBCX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in T. Rowe Price Target 2025 Fund (PAJRX) and T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund (TRBCX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, PAJRX achieves a 5.47% return, which is significantly higher than TRBCX's 4.37% return. Over the past 10 years, PAJRX has underperformed TRBCX with an annualized return of 6.84%, while TRBCX has yielded a comparatively higher 17.50% annualized return.


PAJRX

1D
0.21%
1M
0.71%
YTD
5.47%
6M
5.66%
1Y
13.01%
3Y*
10.62%
5Y*
4.65%
10Y*
6.84%

TRBCX

1D
0.35%
1M
1.73%
YTD
4.37%
6M
3.97%
1Y
20.75%
3Y*
28.30%
5Y*
13.28%
10Y*
17.50%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
PAJRX
T. Rowe Price Target 2025 Fund
5.47%11.19%8.25%12.09%-14.19%9.85%13.00%17.49%-4.84%12.62%
TRBCX
T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund
4.37%18.78%48.46%49.42%-38.57%17.54%34.73%29.97%2.00%36.54%

Correlation

The correlation between PAJRX and TRBCX is 0.64, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.64

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.69

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.77

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.80

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 23, 2013

0.82

The correlation between PAJRX and TRBCX shifts across timeframes, from 0.64 (1 year) to 0.82 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

PAJRX vs. TRBCX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

PAJRX
PAJRX Risk / Return Rank: 6565
Overall Rank
PAJRX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6565
Sharpe Ratio Rank
PAJRX Sortino Ratio Rank: 7070
Sortino Ratio Rank
PAJRX Omega Ratio Rank: 7171
Omega Ratio Rank
PAJRX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5555
Calmar Ratio Rank
PAJRX Martin Ratio Rank: 6666
Martin Ratio Rank

TRBCX
TRBCX Risk / Return Rank: 1717
Overall Rank
TRBCX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2020
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TRBCX Sortino Ratio Rank: 1717
Sortino Ratio Rank
TRBCX Omega Ratio Rank: 2020
Omega Ratio Rank
TRBCX Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
TRBCX Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for T. Rowe Price Target 2025 Fund (PAJRX) and T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund (TRBCX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


PAJRXTRBCXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.09

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.70

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.45

1.22

+0.23

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.75

1.19

+1.56

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

12.24

4.03

+8.21

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current PAJRX Sharpe Ratio is 2.31, which is higher than the TRBCX Sharpe Ratio of 1.21. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of PAJRX and TRBCX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


PAJRXTRBCXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.31

1.21

+1.09

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.60

0.56

+0.04

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.79

0.77

+0.02

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.77

0.60

+0.17

Drawdowns

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum PAJRX drawdown since its inception was -22.48%, smaller than the maximum TRBCX drawdown of -54.56%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PAJRX and TRBCX.


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Drawdown Indicators


PAJRXTRBCXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-22.48%

-54.56%

+32.08%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-4.86%

-17.01%

+12.15%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-7.27%

-23.08%

+15.81%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-19.72%

-43.63%

+23.91%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-22.48%

-43.63%

+21.15%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.14%

-1.74%

+1.60%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-3.34%

-11.30%

+7.96%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.08%

5.02%

-3.94%

Volatility

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for T. Rowe Price Target 2025 Fund (PAJRX) is 1.79%, while T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund (TRBCX) has a volatility of 3.90%. This indicates that PAJRX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TRBCX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


PAJRXTRBCXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

1.79%

3.90%

-2.11%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.79%

13.44%

-8.65%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

5.80%

16.72%

-10.92%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

7.88%

24.02%

-16.14%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

8.68%

22.79%

-14.11%

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Expense Ratio Comparison

PAJRX has a 0.77% expense ratio, which is higher than TRBCX's 0.69% expense ratio.


Dividends

PAJRX vs. TRBCX - Dividend Comparison

PAJRX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.52%, more than TRBCX's 5.03% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
PAJRX
T. Rowe Price Target 2025 Fund
6.52%6.88%5.29%3.57%7.51%4.03%3.21%3.39%4.61%1.71%1.53%1.64%
TRBCX
T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund
5.03%5.25%18.16%3.49%5.87%9.38%1.19%0.36%2.44%2.94%0.67%3.26%

Frequently Asked Questions


PAJRX and TRBCX have a correlation of 0.64, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TRBCX has higher volatility (3.90%) compared to PAJRX (1.79%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PAJRX dropped -22.48% vs TRBCX's -54.56%.

PAJRX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.31 vs 1.21), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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