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PAFFX vs. TBCIX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund (PAFFX) and T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class (TBCIX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, PAFFX achieves a 10.12% return, which is significantly higher than TBCIX's 5.54% return. Over the past 10 years, PAFFX has outperformed TBCIX with an annualized return of 19.39%, while TBCIX has yielded a comparatively lower 17.93% annualized return.


PAFFX

1D
0.43%
1M
4.08%
YTD
10.12%
6M
10.65%
1Y
22.78%
3Y*
16.54%
5Y*
7.84%
10Y*
19.39%

TBCIX

1D
-0.69%
1M
5.17%
YTD
5.54%
6M
5.71%
1Y
22.23%
3Y*
29.00%
5Y*
14.09%
10Y*
17.93%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
PAFFX
T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund
10.12%16.73%12.51%18.79%-18.88%15.08%17.03%175.40%-7.08%18.81%
TBCIX
T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class
5.54%18.94%48.73%49.61%-38.48%18.30%34.90%30.30%2.13%36.68%

Correlation

The correlation between PAFFX and TBCIX is 0.70, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.70

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.74

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.81

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.83

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 5, 2016

0.83

The correlation between PAFFX and TBCIX shifts across timeframes, from 0.70 (1 year) to 0.83 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

PAFFX vs. TBCIX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

PAFFX
PAFFX Risk / Return Rank: 5757
Overall Rank
PAFFX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5757
Sharpe Ratio Rank
PAFFX Sortino Ratio Rank: 5656
Sortino Ratio Rank
PAFFX Omega Ratio Rank: 5757
Omega Ratio Rank
PAFFX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5252
Calmar Ratio Rank
PAFFX Martin Ratio Rank: 6161
Martin Ratio Rank

TBCIX
TBCIX Risk / Return Rank: 2121
Overall Rank
TBCIX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2727
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TBCIX Sortino Ratio Rank: 2525
Sortino Ratio Rank
TBCIX Omega Ratio Rank: 2424
Omega Ratio Rank
TBCIX Calmar Ratio Rank: 1515
Calmar Ratio Rank
TBCIX Martin Ratio Rank: 1616
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund (PAFFX) and T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class (TBCIX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


PAFFXTBCIXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.75

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.11

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.42

1.26

+0.17

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.75

1.36

+1.40

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

12.00

4.57

+7.43

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current PAFFX Sharpe Ratio is 2.23, which is higher than the TBCIX Sharpe Ratio of 1.47. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of PAFFX and TBCIX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


PAFFXTBCIXDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.23

1.47

+0.75

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.58

0.59

-0.01

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.91

0.79

+0.12

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.84

0.76

+0.08

Drawdowns

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum PAFFX drawdown since its inception was -29.85%, smaller than the maximum TBCIX drawdown of -43.26%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PAFFX and TBCIX.


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Drawdown Indicators


PAFFXTBCIXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-29.85%

-43.26%

+13.41%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.65%

-16.96%

+8.31%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-14.00%

-23.06%

+9.06%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-27.04%

-43.26%

+16.22%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-29.85%

-43.26%

+13.41%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

-0.69%

+0.69%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-4.63%

-8.07%

+3.44%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.95%

5.01%

-3.06%

Volatility

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund (PAFFX) is 3.15%, while T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class (TBCIX) has a volatility of 3.57%. This indicates that PAFFX experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TBCIX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


PAFFXTBCIXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.15%

3.57%

-0.42%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

8.86%

12.01%

-3.15%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

10.70%

15.64%

-4.94%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

13.67%

23.91%

-10.24%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

21.49%

22.76%

-1.27%

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Expense Ratio Comparison

PAFFX has a 0.87% expense ratio, which is higher than TBCIX's 0.56% expense ratio.


Dividends

PAFFX vs. TBCIX - Dividend Comparison

PAFFX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.53%, less than TBCIX's 4.93% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
PAFFX
T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund
4.53%4.99%2.47%2.74%5.58%3.38%2.80%70.21%5.12%2.00%2.37%2.41%
TBCIX
T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth Fund I Class
4.93%5.20%18.28%3.47%5.84%10.03%1.18%0.59%2.50%3.05%0.81%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


PAFFX and TBCIX have a correlation of 0.70, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TBCIX has higher volatility (3.57%) compared to PAFFX (3.15%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PAFFX dropped -29.85% vs TBCIX's -43.26%.

PAFFX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.23 vs 1.47), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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