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ISIN
US74149P3588
Inception Date
Aug 19, 2013
Min. Investment
$0
Distribution Policy
Distributing
Asset Class
Multi-Asset
Asset Class Size
Large-Cap
Asset Class Style
Blend

Share Price Chart


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Performance

PAFFX Performance Chart

T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund (PAFFX) is up 10.1% since the beginning of the year. PAFFX is currently trading at $21 per share. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of PAFFX shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,458.


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S&P 500 Index

Returns By Period

T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund (PAFFX) has returned 10.12% so far this year and 22.78% over the past 12 months. Looking at the last ten years, PAFFX has achieved an annualized return of 19.39%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index benchmark, which averaged 13.66% per year.


T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund

1D
0.43%
1M
4.08%
YTD
10.12%
6M
10.65%
1Y
22.78%
3Y*
16.54%
5Y*
7.84%
10Y*
19.39%

Benchmark (S&P 500 Index)

1D
-0.74%
1M
4.90%
YTD
10.35%
6M
10.28%
1Y
26.52%
3Y*
20.83%
5Y*
12.30%
10Y*
13.66%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PAFFX Monthly Returns History

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 21, 2013, PAFFX's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.41%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 4.1 years.

Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Feb 2019 with a return of +34.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -13.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, PAFFX closed higher 52% of trading days. The best single day was Feb 7, 2019 with a return of +30.5%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -9.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20264.06%1.47%-6.14%7.23%3.02%0.58%10.12%
20254.22%-2.87%-0.93%-0.23%3.98%3.38%0.49%2.60%2.69%1.13%0.76%0.59%16.73%
2024-0.06%3.92%3.28%-3.30%3.66%0.96%2.13%2.09%1.48%-2.13%3.77%-3.55%12.51%
20236.61%-2.65%2.08%1.12%-0.97%4.97%3.20%-2.39%-3.84%-2.69%7.78%4.99%18.79%
2022-5.08%-2.41%0.80%-7.65%0.07%-7.15%6.13%-3.69%-8.23%5.32%6.93%-4.15%-18.88%
2021-0.13%3.18%1.85%3.75%1.17%1.04%0.51%2.27%-3.55%4.26%-2.71%2.80%15.08%

Benchmark Metrics

T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund has an annualized alpha of 8.25%, beta of 0.69, and R2 of 0.36 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 22, 2013.

  • This fund captured 102.81% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 83.60% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
  • Beta of 0.69 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.36 this fund is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this fund's risk.
  • R2 of 0.36 means the benchmark explains less than half of this fund's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
8.25%
Beta
0.69
0.36
Upside Capture
102.81%
Downside Capture
83.60%

Expense Ratio

PAFFX has an expense ratio of 0.87%, placing it in the medium range.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

PAFFX ranks 56 for risk / return — on par with similar mutual funds. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


PAFFX Risk / Return Rank: 5656
Overall Rank
PAFFX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5656
Sharpe Ratio Rank
PAFFX Sortino Ratio Rank: 5656
Sortino Ratio Rank
PAFFX Omega Ratio Rank: 5757
Omega Ratio Rank
PAFFX Calmar Ratio Rank: 5151
Calmar Ratio Rank
PAFFX Martin Ratio Rank: 6060
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below present risk-adjusted performance metrics for T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund (PAFFX) and compare them to S&P 500 Index.


PAFFXBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.23

2.24

-0.01

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.17

3.07

+0.10

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.42

1.41

+0.02

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.75

2.93

-0.17

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

12.00

13.52

-1.52

Dividends

Dividend History

T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund provided a 4.53% dividend yield over the last twelve months, with an annual payout of $0.95 per share.


0.00%20.00%40.00%60.00%80.00%$0.00$2.00$4.00$6.00$8.00$10.0020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025
Dividends
Dividend Yield
PeriodTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Dividend$0.95$0.95$0.42$0.43$0.75$0.59$0.44$9.71$0.60$0.27$0.27$0.27

Dividend yield

4.53%4.99%2.47%2.74%5.58%3.38%2.80%70.21%5.12%2.00%2.37%2.41%

Monthly Dividends

The table displays the monthly dividend distributions for T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund. The dividends shown in the table have been adjusted to account for any splits that may have occurred.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00
2025$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.95$0.95
2024$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.42$0.42
2023$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.43$0.43
2022$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.75$0.75
2021$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$0.59$0.59

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the T. Rowe Price Target 2045 Fund was 29.85%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 95 trading sessions.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

COVID crash2020
-29.85%Mar 2020
1mo 2d4mo 16d
5mo 18dFeb 2020 - Aug 2020
Bear market2022
-27.04%Oct 2022
11mo 1d1y 5mo
2y 4moNov 2021 - Mar 2024
2016 correction2016
-17.02%Feb 2016
8mo 25d10mo 2d
1y 6moMay 2015 - Dec 2016
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018
-15.48%Dec 2018
10mo 29d1mo 15d
1y 9dJan 2018 - Feb 2019
2025 selloff2025
-14.00%Apr 2025
1mo 19d2mo 2d
3mo 21dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025

Drawdown Indicators


PAFFXBenchmarkDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-29.85%

-56.78%

+26.93%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.65%

-9.10%

+0.45%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-14.00%

-18.90%

+4.90%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-27.04%

-25.43%

-1.61%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-29.85%

-33.92%

+4.07%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

-0.74%

+0.74%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-4.63%

-10.72%

+6.09%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.95%

1.97%

-0.02%

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Portfolio Analyzer

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