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ORCX vs. MSTX
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

ORCX vs. MSTX - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF (ORCX) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, ORCX achieves a -42.52% return, which is significantly higher than MSTX's -71.19% return.


ORCX

1D
-11.52%
1M
-30.81%
YTD
-42.52%
6M
-42.95%
1Y
-60.79%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

MSTX

1D
-10.71%
1M
-61.25%
YTD
-71.19%
6M
-73.53%
1Y
-96.70%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

ORCX vs. MSTX - Yearly Performance Comparison


Correlation

The correlation between ORCX and MSTX is 0.40, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.40

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 7, 2025

0.39

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Return for Risk

ORCX vs. MSTX — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

ORCX
ORCX Risk / Return Rank: 55
Overall Rank
ORCX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
Sharpe Ratio Rank
ORCX Sortino Ratio Rank: 66
Sortino Ratio Rank
ORCX Omega Ratio Rank: 66
Omega Ratio Rank
ORCX Calmar Ratio Rank: 33
Calmar Ratio Rank
ORCX Martin Ratio Rank: 44
Martin Ratio Rank

MSTX
MSTX Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
MSTX Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSTX Sortino Ratio Rank: 00
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSTX Omega Ratio Rank: 11
Omega Ratio Rank
MSTX Calmar Ratio Rank: 11
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSTX Martin Ratio Rank: 33
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

ORCX vs. MSTX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF (ORCX) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


ORCXMSTXDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.20

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+2.03

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.97

0.76

+0.21

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.71

-0.99

+0.28

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.01

-1.23

+0.22

ORCX vs. MSTX - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current ORCX Sharpe Ratio is -0.47, which is comparable to the MSTX Sharpe Ratio of -0.67. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of ORCX and MSTX, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

ORCX vs. MSTX - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum ORCX drawdown since its inception was -85.98%, smaller than the maximum MSTX drawdown of -99.11%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ORCX and MSTX.


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Drawdown Indicators


ORCXMSTXDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-85.98%

-99.11%

+13.13%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-85.98%

-97.76%

+11.78%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-82.28%

-99.11%

+16.83%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-45.42%

-70.60%

+25.18%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

59.96%

78.39%

-18.43%

Volatility

ORCX vs. MSTX - Volatility Comparison

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF (ORCX) has a higher volatility of 49.57% compared to Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF (MSTX) at 44.91%. This indicates that ORCX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than MSTX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


ORCXMSTXDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

49.57%

44.91%

+4.66%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

84.44%

114.95%

-30.51%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

129.20%

143.60%

-14.40%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

122.13%

167.05%

-44.92%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

122.13%

167.05%

-44.92%

ORCX vs. MSTX - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both ORCX and MSTX have an expense ratio of 1.29%.


Dividends

ORCX vs. MSTX - Dividend Comparison

Neither ORCX nor MSTX has paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM20252024
MSTX
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long MSTR ETF
0.00%0.00%41.01%
ORCX
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long ORCL ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


ORCX and MSTX have a correlation of 0.40, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

ORCX has higher volatility (49.57%) compared to MSTX (44.91%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ORCX dropped -85.98% vs MSTX's -99.11%.

On 1-year performance, ORCX leads with -60.79% vs -96.70% for MSTX. Both ETFs have the same 1.29% expense ratio. On volatility, MSTX has been the lower-risk option at 44.91%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, ORCX has performed better with a -60.79% return vs -96.70%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

ORCX and MSTX have the same expense ratio: 1.29% per year.

ORCX and MSTX have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.

ORCX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.47 vs -0.67), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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