NDEC vs. GSG
NDEC (Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - December) and GSG (iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust) are both exchange-traded funds - NDEC is a Defined Outcome fund tracking the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1, while GSG is a Commodities fund tracking the S&P GSCI Total Return Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, NDEC returned 17.96% vs 45.17% for GSG. At a correlation of -0.01, they often move in opposite directions. NDEC charges 0.79%/yr vs 0.75%/yr for GSG.
Performance
NDEC vs. GSG - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, NDEC achieves a 6.71% return, which is significantly lower than GSG's 36.99% return.
NDEC
- 1D
- -1.39%
- 1M
- 0.47%
- YTD
- 6.71%
- 6M
- 6.42%
- 1Y
- 17.96%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
GSG
- 1D
- -2.47%
- 1M
- -3.81%
- YTD
- 36.99%
- 6M
- 33.63%
- 1Y
- 45.17%
- 3Y*
- 17.71%
- 5Y*
- 14.82%
- 10Y*
- 7.06%
NDEC vs. GSG - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
NDEC Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - December | 6.71% | 13.67% | -0.08% |
GSG iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust | 36.99% | 5.93% | 3.67% |
Correlation
The correlation between NDEC and GSG is -0.18, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.18 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2024 | -0.01 |
The correlation between NDEC and GSG shifts across timeframes, from -0.18 (1 year) to -0.01 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
NDEC vs. GSG — Risk / Return Rank
NDEC
GSG
NDEC vs. GSG - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - December (NDEC) and iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| NDEC | GSG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.47 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.86 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.49 | 1.35 | +0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.92 | 4.80 | -1.88 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.86 | 12.37 | +1.49 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| NDEC | GSG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 2.43 | 1.96 | +0.47 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | — | 0.66 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | 0.32 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 1.18 | -0.09 | +1.27 |
Drawdowns
NDEC vs. GSG - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum NDEC drawdown since its inception was -12.98%, smaller than the maximum GSG drawdown of -89.62%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for NDEC and GSG.
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Drawdown Indicators
| NDEC | GSG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -12.98% | -89.62% | +76.64% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -6.19% | -9.46% | +3.27% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -14.94% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -29.12% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -57.64% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -1.53% | -58.64% | +57.11% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -1.44% | -63.71% | +62.27% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.30% | 3.66% | -2.36% |
Volatility
NDEC vs. GSG - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - December (NDEC) is 1.85%, while iShares S&P GSCI Commodity-Indexed Trust (GSG) has a volatility of 7.03%. This indicates that NDEC experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GSG based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| NDEC | GSG | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 1.85% | 7.03% | -5.18% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.44% | 20.66% | -14.22% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 7.45% | 23.15% | -15.70% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 11.65% | 22.63% | -10.98% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 11.65% | 22.04% | -10.39% |
NDEC vs. GSG - Expense Ratio Comparison
NDEC has a 0.79% expense ratio, which is higher than GSG's 0.75% expense ratio.
Dividends
NDEC vs. GSG - Dividend Comparison
Neither NDEC nor GSG has paid dividends to shareholders.
Frequently Asked Questions
NDEC and GSG have a correlation of -0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
GSG has higher volatility (7.03%) compared to NDEC (1.85%). In terms of maximum drawdown, NDEC dropped -12.98% vs GSG's -89.62%.
On 1-year performance, GSG leads with 45.17% vs 17.96% for NDEC. On fees, GSG is cheaper at 0.75% per year. On volatility, NDEC has been the lower-risk option at 1.85%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, GSG has performed better with a 45.17% return vs 17.96%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
GSG is cheaper with a 0.75% expense ratio, compared with 0.79% for NDEC.
NDEC and GSG have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.
NDEC is categorized as Defined Outcome, while GSG is Commodities. NDEC tracks Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1, while GSG tracks S&P GSCI Total Return Index. They also come from different issuers: Innovator and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.79% for NDEC and 0.75% for GSG.
NDEC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.43 vs 1.96), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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