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MSTR vs. SMST
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

MSTR vs. SMST - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Strategy Inc (MSTR) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with MSTR having a -37.57% return and SMST slightly lower at -37.72%.


MSTR

1D
1.69%
1M
-5.86%
6M
-32.06%
YTD
-37.57%
1Y
-74.13%
3Y*
36.02%
5Y*
7.17%
10Y*
19.02%
ALL TIME*
9.18%

SMST

1D
-3.03%
1M
2.28%
6M
-39.60%
YTD
-37.72%
1Y
121.46%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
ALL TIME*
-83.81%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Liquidity Comparison


PositionAvg. Volume Value (2W)Avg. Volume Value (1M)Avg. Volume Value (3M)
$1.51B$1.54B$2.39B
$15.12M$14.46M$17.51M

MSTR vs. SMST - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
MSTR
Strategy Inc
-37.57%-47.53%116.64%
SMST
Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF
-37.72%-44.36%-91.71%

Correlation

The correlation between MSTR and SMST is -1.00, meaning they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. This relationship can weaken or reverse as market conditions change.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most.

-1.00

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 21, 2024

-1.00

The correlation between MSTR and SMST has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -1.00 to -1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

MSTR vs. SMST — Risk / Return Rank

Compare historical risk-adjusted metric ranks over the past 12 months.

MSTR
MSTR Risk / Return Rank: 66
Overall Rank
MSTR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
Sharpe Ratio Rank
MSTR Sortino Ratio Rank: 33
Sortino Ratio Rank
MSTR Omega Ratio Rank: 55
Omega Ratio Rank
MSTR Calmar Ratio Rank: 66
Calmar Ratio Rank
MSTR Martin Ratio Rank: 1010
Martin Ratio Rank

SMST
SMST Risk / Return Rank: 4040
Overall Rank
SMST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3232
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SMST Sortino Ratio Rank: 5050
Sortino Ratio Rank
SMST Omega Ratio Rank: 5050
Omega Ratio Rank
SMST Calmar Ratio Rank: 3939
Calmar Ratio Rank
SMST Martin Ratio Rank: 2929
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) uses a weighted average of the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin percentile ranks for the trailing 12 months. Higher means stronger historical risk-adjusted performance within the peer group.

MSTR vs. SMST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Strategy Inc (MSTR) and Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


MSTRSMSTDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.81

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-3.91

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

0.79

1.24

-0.45

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.93

1.43

-2.36

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-1.33

2.62

-3.95

MSTR vs. SMST - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MSTR Sharpe Ratio is -0.99, which is lower than the SMST Sharpe Ratio of 0.81. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MSTR and SMST, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

MSTR vs. SMST - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MSTR drawdown since its inception was -99.86%, roughly equal to the maximum SMST drawdown of -99.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSTR and SMST.


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Drawdown Indicators


MSTRSMSTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-99.86%

-99.25%

-0.61%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-79.53%

-85.39%

+5.86%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-82.63%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-84.11%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-89.27%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-79.98%

-97.55%

+17.57%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-86.42%

-91.09%

+4.67%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

55.84%

46.51%

+9.33%

Volatility

MSTR vs. SMST - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Strategy Inc (MSTR) is 16.90%, while Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MSTR ETF (SMST) has a volatility of 34.07%. This indicates that MSTR experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than SMST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


MSTRSMSTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

16.90%

34.07%

-17.17%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

60.42%

134.96%

-74.54%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

74.93%

150.32%

-75.39%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

89.97%

166.60%

-76.63%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

74.36%

166.60%

-92.24%

Dividends

MSTR vs. SMST - Dividend Comparison

Neither MSTR nor SMST has paid dividends to shareholders.


Tickers have no history of dividend payments

Frequently Asked Questions


MSTR and SMST have a correlation of -1.00, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

SMST has higher volatility (34.07%) compared to MSTR (16.90%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSTR dropped -99.86% vs SMST's -99.25%.

SMST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.81 vs -0.99), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for MSTR and SMST

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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