KOLD vs. USO
KOLD (ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas) and USO (United States Oil Fund LP) are both Oil & Gas funds - KOLD tracks the Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex while USO tracks the Front Month Light Sweet Crude Oil. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, KOLD returned -25.08%/yr vs 1.54%/yr for USO. At a correlation of -0.12, they often move in opposite directions. KOLD charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.86%/yr for USO.
Performance
KOLD vs. USO - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, KOLD achieves a -37.06% return, which is significantly lower than USO's 53.69% return. Over the past 10 years, KOLD has underperformed USO with an annualized return of -25.08%, while USO has yielded a comparatively higher 1.54% annualized return.
KOLD
- 1D
- -4.23%
- 1M
- -14.12%
- YTD
- -37.06%
- 6M
- -35.65%
- 1Y
- -6.21%
- 3Y*
- -6.50%
- 5Y*
- -37.39%
- 10Y*
- -25.08%
USO
- 1D
- -4.47%
- 1M
- -24.57%
- YTD
- 53.69%
- 6M
- 51.41%
- 1Y
- 45.60%
- 3Y*
- 19.41%
- 5Y*
- 16.16%
- 10Y*
- 1.54%
KOLD vs. USO - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas | -37.06% | -17.48% | -11.34% | 249.82% | -88.62% | -74.44% | 22.05% | 82.94% | -46.48% | 72.02% |
USO United States Oil Fund LP | 53.69% | -8.46% | 13.35% | -4.94% | 28.97% | 64.68% | -67.79% | 32.61% | -19.57% | 2.47% |
Correlation
The correlation between KOLD and USO is -0.19, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.19 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.12 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.14 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.12 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 6, 2011 | -0.12 |
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Return for Risk
KOLD vs. USO — Risk / Return Rank
KOLD
USO
KOLD vs. USO - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (KOLD) and United States Oil Fund LP (USO). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| KOLD | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.11 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.93 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.10 | 1.21 | -0.11 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.09 | 1.50 | -1.59 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.16 | 4.49 | -4.65 |
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Drawdowns
KOLD vs. USO - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum KOLD drawdown since its inception was -99.45%, roughly equal to the maximum USO drawdown of -98.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for KOLD and USO.
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Drawdown Indicators
| KOLD | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.45% | -98.19% | -1.26% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -72.50% | -30.51% | -41.99% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -84.34% | -30.51% | -53.83% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -97.96% | -36.23% | -61.73% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -99.45% | -86.75% | -12.70% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -97.43% | -88.69% | -8.74% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -69.57% | -75.32% | +5.75% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 38.11% | 10.18% | +27.93% |
Volatility
KOLD vs. USO - Volatility Comparison
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (KOLD) has a higher volatility of 23.46% compared to United States Oil Fund LP (USO) at 12.26%. This indicates that KOLD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than USO based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| KOLD | USO | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 23.46% | 12.26% | +11.20% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 96.35% | 39.65% | +56.70% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 113.09% | 43.82% | +69.27% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 118.82% | 36.38% | +82.44% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 101.81% | 39.04% | +62.77% |
KOLD vs. USO - Expense Ratio Comparison
KOLD has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than USO's 0.86% expense ratio.
Dividends
KOLD vs. USO - Dividend Comparison
Neither KOLD nor USO has paid dividends to shareholders.
Frequently Asked Questions
KOLD and USO have a correlation of -0.19, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
KOLD has higher volatility (23.46%) compared to USO (12.26%). In terms of maximum drawdown, KOLD dropped -99.45% vs USO's -98.19%.
On 10-year performance, USO leads with 1.54% vs -25.08% for KOLD. On fees, USO is cheaper at 0.86% per year. On volatility, USO has been the lower-risk option at 12.26%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, USO has performed better with a 1.54% return vs -25.08%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
USO is cheaper with a 0.86% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for KOLD.
KOLD and USO have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.
KOLD tracks Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex, while USO tracks Front Month Light Sweet Crude Oil. They also come from different issuers: ProShares and USCF. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for KOLD and 0.86% for USO.
USO currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.05 vs -0.06), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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