KMX vs. SPY
KMX (CarMax, Inc.) is a stock, while SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) is S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 10 years, KMX returned 1.24%/yr vs 15.70%/yr for SPY. At a 0.46 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.
Performance
KMX vs. SPY - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, KMX achieves a 35.61% return, which is significantly higher than SPY's 9.74% return. Over the past 10 years, KMX has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of 1.24%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.70% annualized return.
KMX
- 1D
- -2.35%
- 1M
- 29.93%
- YTD
- 35.61%
- 6M
- 37.35%
- 1Y
- -23.58%
- 3Y*
- -15.29%
- 5Y*
- -15.02%
- 10Y*
- 1.24%
SPY
- 1D
- -0.31%
- 1M
- 0.09%
- YTD
- 9.74%
- 6M
- 9.27%
- 1Y
- 26.65%
- 3Y*
- 21.27%
- 5Y*
- 13.51%
- 10Y*
- 15.70%
KMX vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KMX CarMax, Inc. | 35.61% | -52.74% | 6.54% | 26.03% | -53.24% | 37.87% | 7.74% | 39.76% | -2.18% | -0.40% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 9.74% | 17.72% | 24.89% | 26.18% | -18.18% | 28.73% | 18.33% | 31.22% | -4.57% | 21.71% |
Correlation
The correlation between KMX and SPY is 0.35, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.35 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.44 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.52 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.51 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 4, 1997 | 0.46 |
The correlation between KMX and SPY shifts across timeframes, from 0.35 (1 year) to 0.52 (5 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
KMX vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank
KMX
SPY
KMX vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for CarMax, Inc. (KMX) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| KMX | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.59 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -3.16 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.96 | 1.39 | -0.43 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.42 | 3.01 | -3.43 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.65 | 13.54 | -14.18 |
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Drawdowns
KMX vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum KMX drawdown since its inception was -93.46%, which is greater than SPY's maximum drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for KMX and SPY.
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Drawdown Indicators
| KMX | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -93.46% | -55.19% | -38.27% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -56.85% | -8.88% | -47.97% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -65.38% | -18.76% | -46.62% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -80.06% | -24.50% | -55.56% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -80.06% | -33.72% | -46.34% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -66.16% | -1.75% | -64.41% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -32.03% | -9.04% | -22.99% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 36.45% | 1.97% | +34.48% |
Volatility
KMX vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison
CarMax, Inc. (KMX) has a higher volatility of 18.66% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 4.64%. This indicates that KMX's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| KMX | SPY | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 18.66% | 4.64% | +14.02% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 37.97% | 9.75% | +28.22% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 54.92% | 12.43% | +42.49% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 44.88% | 17.14% | +27.74% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 40.83% | 17.99% | +22.84% |
Dividends
KMX vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison
KMX has not paid dividends to shareholders, while SPY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.01%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KMX CarMax, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.01% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Frequently Asked Questions
KMX and SPY have a correlation of 0.35, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
KMX has higher volatility (18.66%) compared to SPY (4.64%). In terms of maximum drawdown, KMX dropped -93.46% vs SPY's -55.19%.
SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.16 vs -0.43), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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