KDP vs. SPY

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.) is a stock, while SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) is S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 10 years, KDP returned 10.00%/yr vs 15.49%/yr for SPY. At a 0.38 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

KDP vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with KDP having a 10.94% return and SPY slightly lower at 10.91%. Over the past 10 years, KDP has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of 10.00%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 15.49% annualized return.

KDP

• 1D: 0.63%
• 1M: 5.82%
• YTD: 10.94%
• 6M: 9.69%
• 1Y: -3.79%
• 3Y*: 1.93%
• 5Y*: -1.19%
• 10Y*: 10.00%

SPY

• 1D: -0.70%
• 1M: 5.05%
• YTD: 10.91%
• 6M: 10.91%
• 1Y: 27.98%
• 3Y*: 22.35%
• 5Y*: 13.83%
• 10Y*: 15.49%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

KDP vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.	10.94%	-10.14%	-1.05%	-4.24%	-1.23%	17.49%	13.03%	15.43%	65.97%	9.76%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	10.91%	17.72%	24.89%	26.18%	-18.18%	28.73%	18.33%	31.22%	-4.57%	21.71%

Correlation

The correlation between KDP and SPY is 0.04, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.04
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.09
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.26
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.30
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 29, 2008	0.38

Over the past year, the correlation between KDP and SPY has dropped to 0.04 - well below their long-term average of 0.38, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.

Return for Risk

KDP vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

KDP

KDP Risk / Return Rank: 33
KDP Sharpe Ratio Rank: 35
KDP Sortino Ratio Rank: 30
KDP Omega Ratio Rank: 29
KDP Calmar Ratio Rank: 36
KDP Martin Ratio Rank: 36

SPY

SPY Risk / Return Rank: 70
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 71
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 69
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 70
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 62
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 75

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

KDP vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	KDP	SPY	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.14	2.38	-2.52
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-0.00	3.24	-3.24
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.00	1.43	-0.43
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.14	3.16	-3.30
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.21	14.72	-14.93
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

KDP vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current KDP Sharpe Ratio is -0.14, which is lower than the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 2.38. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of KDP and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	KDP	SPY	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.14	2.38	-2.52
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.06	0.82	-0.87
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.42	0.87	-0.45
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.56	0.59	-0.03

Drawdowns

KDP vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum KDP drawdown since its inception was -57.42%, roughly equal to the maximum SPY drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for KDP and SPY.

Drawdown Indicators

	KDP	SPY	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-57.42%	-55.19%	-2.23%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-27.48%	-8.88%	-18.60%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-30.99%	-18.76%	-12.23%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-31.20%	-24.50%	-6.70%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-36.87%	-33.72%	-3.15%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-15.49%	-0.70%	-14.79%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-8.57%	-9.05%	+0.48%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	17.80%	1.91%	+15.89%

Volatility

KDP vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) has a higher volatility of 4.62% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 2.84%. This indicates that KDP's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	KDP	SPY	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	4.62%	2.84%	+1.78%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	16.85%	8.90%	+7.95%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	27.65%	11.83%	+15.82%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	21.11%	17.05%	+4.06%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	23.85%	17.94%	+5.91%

Dividends

KDP vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison

KDP's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.01%, more than SPY's 0.98% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.	3.01%	3.28%	2.72%	2.45%	2.14%	1.83%	1.88%	2.07%	407.49%	2.39%	2.34%	2.06%
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF	0.98%	1.07%	1.21%	1.40%	1.65%	1.20%	1.52%	1.75%	2.04%	1.80%	2.03%	2.06%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both KDP and SPY in my portfolio?

KDP and SPY have a correlation of 0.04, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, KDP or SPY?

KDP has higher volatility (4.62%) compared to SPY (2.84%). In terms of maximum drawdown, KDP dropped -57.42% vs SPY's -55.19%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.38 vs -0.14), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.