IBTL vs. YCS
IBTL (iShares iBonds Dec 2031 Term Treasury ETF) and YCS (ProShares UltraShort Yen) are both exchange-traded funds - IBTL is a Government Bonds fund tracking the ICE 2031 Maturity US Treasury Index, while YCS is a Leveraged Currency fund tracking the USD/JPY Exchange Rate (-200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, IBTL returned 2.83%/yr vs 19.84%/yr for YCS. At a correlation of -0.50, they often move in opposite directions. IBTL charges 0.07%/yr vs 1.00%/yr for YCS.
Performance
IBTL vs. YCS - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, IBTL achieves a -0.47% return, which is significantly lower than YCS's 7.17% return.
IBTL
- 1D
- -0.15%
- 1M
- -0.21%
- YTD
- -0.47%
- 6M
- -0.69%
- 1Y
- 3.77%
- 3Y*
- 2.83%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
YCS
- 1D
- 0.17%
- 1M
- 4.42%
- YTD
- 7.17%
- 6M
- 10.05%
- 1Y
- 32.82%
- 3Y*
- 19.84%
- 5Y*
- 23.54%
- 10Y*
- 12.34%
IBTL vs. YCS - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IBTL iShares iBonds Dec 2031 Term Treasury ETF | -0.47% | 7.85% | 0.36% | 3.60% | -15.60% | -1.37% |
YCS ProShares UltraShort Yen | 7.17% | 9.04% | 35.41% | 28.70% | 29.09% | 9.10% |
Correlation
The correlation between IBTL and YCS is -0.51, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.51 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.50 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 31, 2021 | -0.50 |
The correlation between IBTL and YCS has been stable across timeframes, ranging from -0.51 to -0.50 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
IBTL vs. YCS — Risk / Return Rank
IBTL
YCS
IBTL vs. YCS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for iShares iBonds Dec 2031 Term Treasury ETF (IBTL) and ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| IBTL | YCS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.87 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.84 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.35 | -0.17 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.34 | 3.97 | -2.63 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.90 | 12.40 | -8.50 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| IBTL | YCS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.05 | 1.92 | -0.87 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | — | 1.12 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | — | 0.65 | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.21 | 0.33 | -0.54 |
Drawdowns
IBTL vs. YCS - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum IBTL drawdown since its inception was -20.93%, smaller than the maximum YCS drawdown of -49.56%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for IBTL and YCS.
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Drawdown Indicators
| IBTL | YCS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -20.93% | -49.56% | +28.63% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -2.83% | -8.30% | +5.47% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -7.38% | -23.05% | +15.67% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -27.32% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -27.32% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -7.25% | 0.00% | -7.25% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -11.47% | -19.93% | +8.46% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 0.97% | 2.66% | -1.69% |
Volatility
IBTL vs. YCS - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for iShares iBonds Dec 2031 Term Treasury ETF (IBTL) is 1.08%, while ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS) has a volatility of 2.75%. This indicates that IBTL experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than YCS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| IBTL | YCS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 1.08% | 2.75% | -1.67% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 2.39% | 12.32% | -9.93% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 3.62% | 17.27% | -13.65% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 7.46% | 21.10% | -13.64% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 7.46% | 19.01% | -11.55% |
IBTL vs. YCS - Expense Ratio Comparison
IBTL has a 0.07% expense ratio, which is lower than YCS's 1.00% expense ratio.
Dividends
IBTL vs. YCS - Dividend Comparison
IBTL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.97%, while YCS has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IBTL iShares iBonds Dec 2031 Term Treasury ETF | 3.97% | 3.93% | 4.07% | 3.04% | 2.36% | 0.70% |
YCS ProShares UltraShort Yen | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
IBTL and YCS have a correlation of -0.51, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
YCS has higher volatility (2.75%) compared to IBTL (1.08%). In terms of maximum drawdown, IBTL dropped -20.93% vs YCS's -49.56%.
On 3-year performance, YCS leads with 19.84% vs 2.83% for IBTL. On fees, IBTL is cheaper at 0.07% per year. On volatility, IBTL has been the lower-risk option at 1.08%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, YCS has performed better with a 19.84% return vs 2.83%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
IBTL is cheaper with a 0.07% expense ratio, compared with 1.00% for YCS.
IBTL has the higher dividend yield at 3.97%, compared with 0.00% for YCS.
IBTL is categorized as Government Bonds, while YCS is Leveraged Currency. IBTL tracks ICE 2031 Maturity US Treasury Index, while YCS tracks USD/JPY Exchange Rate (-200%). They also come from different issuers: iShares and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 0.07% for IBTL and 1.00% for YCS.
YCS currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.92 vs 1.05), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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