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HDG vs. KMLM
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

HDG vs. KMLM - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Hedge Replication (HDG) and KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF (KMLM). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, HDG achieves a 6.40% return, which is significantly lower than KMLM's 10.79% return.


HDG

1D
-0.37%
1M
2.07%
YTD
6.40%
6M
7.00%
1Y
13.22%
3Y*
7.56%
5Y*
3.02%
10Y*
3.91%

KMLM

1D
0.17%
1M
-2.41%
YTD
10.79%
6M
13.19%
1Y
13.68%
3Y*
-0.47%
5Y*
4.33%
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

HDG vs. KMLM - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020
HDG
ProShares Hedge Replication
6.40%7.18%5.12%7.14%-8.48%2.97%2.36%
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
10.79%-2.98%-1.69%-5.66%30.61%7.04%5.40%

Correlation

The correlation between HDG and KMLM is -0.00, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.00

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

-0.06

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.12

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2020

-0.09

The correlation between HDG and KMLM shifts across timeframes, from -0.12 (5 years) to -0.00 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

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Return for Risk

HDG vs. KMLM — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

HDG
HDG Risk / Return Rank: 7373
Overall Rank
HDG Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7272
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HDG Sortino Ratio Rank: 7777
Sortino Ratio Rank
HDG Omega Ratio Rank: 7676
Omega Ratio Rank
HDG Calmar Ratio Rank: 6767
Calmar Ratio Rank
HDG Martin Ratio Rank: 7373
Martin Ratio Rank

KMLM
KMLM Risk / Return Rank: 3636
Overall Rank
KMLM Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3333
Sharpe Ratio Rank
KMLM Sortino Ratio Rank: 3131
Sortino Ratio Rank
KMLM Omega Ratio Rank: 3232
Omega Ratio Rank
KMLM Calmar Ratio Rank: 4343
Calmar Ratio Rank
KMLM Martin Ratio Rank: 4343
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

HDG vs. KMLM - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Hedge Replication (HDG) and KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF (KMLM). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


HDGKMLMDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.15

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.82

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.46

1.22

+0.24

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.35

2.18

+1.16

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

13.81

7.18

+6.63

HDG vs. KMLM - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current HDG Sharpe Ratio is 2.36, which is higher than the KMLM Sharpe Ratio of 1.20. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of HDG and KMLM, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


HDGKMLMDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.36

1.20

+1.15

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.42

0.30

+0.13

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.55

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.43

0.49

-0.06

Drawdowns

HDG vs. KMLM - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum HDG drawdown since its inception was -15.31%, smaller than the maximum KMLM drawdown of -27.47%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HDG and KMLM.


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Drawdown Indicators


HDGKMLMDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-15.31%

-27.47%

+12.16%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-3.97%

-6.30%

+2.33%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-7.20%

-22.28%

+15.08%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-15.31%

-27.47%

+12.16%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-15.31%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-0.37%

-13.61%

+13.24%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-2.77%

-12.74%

+9.97%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

0.96%

1.91%

-0.95%

Volatility

HDG vs. KMLM - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Hedge Replication (HDG) is 2.06%, while KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF (KMLM) has a volatility of 4.46%. This indicates that HDG experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than KMLM based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


HDGKMLMDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

2.06%

4.46%

-2.40%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

4.58%

9.63%

-5.05%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

5.64%

11.43%

-5.79%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

7.15%

14.62%

-7.47%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

7.11%

14.73%

-7.62%

HDG vs. KMLM - Expense Ratio Comparison

HDG has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than KMLM's 0.90% expense ratio.


Dividends

HDG vs. KMLM - Dividend Comparison

HDG's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.35%, less than KMLM's 4.53% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
HDG
ProShares Hedge Replication
2.35%2.55%3.50%3.48%0.39%0.00%0.08%1.09%0.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
4.53%5.02%0.82%0.00%13.22%6.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


HDG and KMLM have a correlation of -0.00, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

KMLM has higher volatility (4.46%) compared to HDG (2.06%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HDG dropped -15.31% vs KMLM's -27.47%.

On 5-year performance, KMLM leads with 4.33% vs 3.02% for HDG. On fees, KMLM is cheaper at 0.90% per year. On volatility, HDG has been the lower-risk option at 2.06%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 5-year period, KMLM has performed better with a 4.33% return vs 3.02%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

KMLM is cheaper with a 0.90% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for HDG.

KMLM has the higher dividend yield at 4.53%, compared with 2.35% for HDG.

They also come from different issuers: ProShares and CICC. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for HDG and 0.90% for KMLM.

HDG currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.36 vs 1.20), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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