GBTC vs. BITX
GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF) and BITX (2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF) are both Cryptocurrency funds - GBTC tracks the CoinDesk Bitcoin Benchmark Rate Index while BITX tracks the S&P CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Roll Index (200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, GBTC returned -42.50% vs -75.90% for BITX. With a 0.97 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. GBTC charges 1.50%/yr vs 2.38%/yr for BITX.
Performance
GBTC vs. BITX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, GBTC achieves a -27.85% return, which is significantly higher than BITX's -55.42% return.
GBTC
- 1D
- 2.71%
- 1M
- -21.45%
- YTD
- -27.85%
- 6M
- -31.30%
- 1Y
- -42.50%
- 3Y*
- 55.49%
- 5Y*
- 9.89%
- 10Y*
- 46.15%
BITX
- 1D
- 5.31%
- 1M
- -39.81%
- YTD
- -55.42%
- 6M
- -60.16%
- 1Y
- -75.90%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
GBTC vs. BITX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF | -27.85% | -7.65% | 113.81% | 90.43% |
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -55.42% | -38.71% | 163.41% | 46.18% |
Correlation
The correlation between GBTC and BITX is 1.00 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.00 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 27, 2023 | 0.97 |
The correlation between GBTC and BITX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.97 to 1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
GBTC vs. BITX — Risk / Return Rank
GBTC
BITX
GBTC vs. BITX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) and 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| GBTC | BITX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.10 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.18 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.84 | 0.82 | +0.02 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.81 | -0.93 | +0.11 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.43 | -1.47 | +0.04 |
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Drawdowns
GBTC vs. BITX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum GBTC drawdown since its inception was -89.91%, which is greater than BITX's maximum drawdown of -82.16%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GBTC and BITX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| GBTC | BITX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -89.91% | -82.16% | -7.75% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -52.45% | -82.16% | +29.71% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -52.45% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -85.42% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -89.91% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -49.89% | -80.30% | +30.41% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.43% | -32.06% | -11.37% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 29.68% | 51.55% | -21.87% |
Volatility
GBTC vs. BITX - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC) is 11.92%, while 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITX) has a volatility of 23.98%. This indicates that GBTC experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BITX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| GBTC | BITX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 11.92% | 23.98% | -12.06% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.41% | 69.16% | -34.75% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 44.01% | 87.51% | -43.50% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 62.27% | 98.30% | -36.03% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 82.18% | 98.30% | -16.12% |
GBTC vs. BITX - Expense Ratio Comparison
GBTC has a 1.50% expense ratio, which is lower than BITX's 2.38% expense ratio.
Dividends
GBTC vs. BITX - Dividend Comparison
GBTC has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BITX's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 35.57%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BITX 2x Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 35.57% | 21.69% | 10.70% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 5.61% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 1.00, GBTC and BITX move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
BITX has higher volatility (23.98%) compared to GBTC (11.92%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GBTC dropped -89.91% vs BITX's -82.16%.
On 1-year performance, GBTC leads with -42.50% vs -75.90% for BITX. On fees, GBTC is cheaper at 1.50% per year. On volatility, GBTC has been the lower-risk option at 11.92%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, GBTC has performed better with a -42.50% return vs -75.90%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
GBTC is cheaper with a 1.50% expense ratio, compared with 2.38% for BITX.
BITX has the higher dividend yield at 35.57%, compared with 0.00% for GBTC.
GBTC tracks CoinDesk Bitcoin Benchmark Rate Index, while BITX tracks S&P CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Roll Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: Grayscale and Volatility Shares. Their fees differ too: 1.50% for GBTC and 2.38% for BITX.
BITX currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.87 vs -0.97), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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