FWRG vs. VDE

Last updated Jul 16, 2026

FWRG (First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.) is a stock, while VDE (Vanguard Energy ETF) is Energy Equities fund tracking the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index. Over the past 3 years, FWRG returned -13.04%/yr vs 15.48%/yr for VDE. At a 0.14 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

FWRG vs. VDE - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) and Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FWRG achieves a -19.89% return, which is significantly lower than VDE's 28.19% return.

FWRG

• 1D: -0.49%
• 1M: 1.94%
• 6M: -27.10%
• YTD: -19.89%
• 1Y: -27.05%
• 3Y*: -13.04%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

VDE

• 1D: -0.93%
• 1M: 2.38%
• 6M: 19.26%
• YTD: 28.19%
• 1Y: 34.58%
• 3Y*: 15.48%
• 5Y*: 22.66%
• 10Y*: 8.90%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

FWRG vs. VDE - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.	-19.89%	-18.97%	-7.41%	48.56%	-19.27%	-20.19%
VDE Vanguard Energy ETF	28.19%	7.11%	6.75%	0.03%	62.89%	6.31%

Correlation

The correlation between FWRG and VDE is -0.02, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.02
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.12
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 1, 2021	0.14

The correlation between FWRG and VDE shifts across timeframes, from -0.02 (1 year) to 0.14 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

FWRG vs. VDE — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

FWRG

FWRG Risk / Return Rank: 23
FWRG Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
FWRG Sortino Ratio Rank: 23
FWRG Omega Ratio Rank: 23
FWRG Calmar Ratio Rank: 24
FWRG Martin Ratio Rank: 22

VDE

VDE Risk / Return Rank: 56
VDE Sharpe Ratio Rank: 63
VDE Sortino Ratio Rank: 58
VDE Omega Ratio Rank: 54
VDE Calmar Ratio Rank: 57
VDE Martin Ratio Rank: 47

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

FWRG vs. VDE - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) and Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	FWRG	VDE	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.52	1.67	-2.18
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-0.47	2.22	-2.69
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.94	1.27	-0.33
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.57	2.31	-2.88
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.05	6.31	-7.36

FWRG vs. VDE - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FWRG Sharpe Ratio is -0.52, which is lower than the VDE Sharpe Ratio of 1.67. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FWRG and VDE, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

FWRG vs. VDE - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FWRG drawdown since its inception was -60.38%, smaller than the maximum VDE drawdown of -74.20%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FWRG and VDE.

Drawdown Indicators

	FWRG	VDE	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-60.38%	-74.20%	+13.82%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-47.26%	-15.04%	-32.22%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-60.38%	-21.41%	-38.97%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-26.58%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-69.29%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-52.66%	-9.30%	-43.36%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-29.45%	-19.92%	-9.53%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	25.74%	5.50%	+20.24%

Volatility

FWRG vs. VDE - Volatility Comparison

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) has a higher volatility of 13.49% compared to Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) at 7.00%. This indicates that FWRG's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than VDE based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	FWRG	VDE	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	13.49%	7.00%	+6.49%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	42.06%	16.61%	+25.45%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	52.74%	20.89%	+31.85%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	47.90%	26.28%	+21.62%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	47.90%	29.91%	+17.99%

Dividends

FWRG vs. VDE - Dividend Comparison

FWRG has not paid dividends to shareholders, while VDE's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.53%.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
VDE Vanguard Energy ETF	2.53%	3.11%	3.23%	3.34%	3.65%	4.13%	4.76%	3.42%	3.35%	2.90%	2.31%	3.17%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both FWRG and VDE in my portfolio?

FWRG and VDE have a correlation of -0.02, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, FWRG or VDE?

FWRG has higher volatility (13.49%) compared to VDE (7.00%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FWRG dropped -60.38% vs VDE's -74.20%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

VDE currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.67 vs -0.52), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.