ELM vs. AGOX
ELM (Elm Market Navigator ETF) and AGOX (Adaptive Alpha Opportunities ETF) are both Tactical Allocation funds. Both are actively managed. Over the past year, ELM returned 20.07% vs 30.39% for AGOX. A 0.62 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. ELM charges 0.24%/yr vs 1.33%/yr for AGOX.
Performance
ELM vs. AGOX - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, ELM achieves a 7.82% return, which is significantly lower than AGOX's 22.97% return.
ELM
- 1D
- 0.17%
- 1M
- 1.28%
- YTD
- 7.82%
- 6M
- 8.21%
- 1Y
- 20.07%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
AGOX
- 1D
- -0.13%
- 1M
- 3.60%
- YTD
- 22.97%
- 6M
- 19.90%
- 1Y
- 30.39%
- 3Y*
- 18.22%
- 5Y*
- 9.25%
- 10Y*
- —
ELM vs. AGOX - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
ELM Elm Market Navigator ETF | 7.82% | 11.88% |
AGOX Adaptive Alpha Opportunities ETF | 22.97% | 3.21% |
Correlation
The correlation between ELM and AGOX is 0.65, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.65 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 11, 2025 | 0.62 |
The correlation between ELM and AGOX has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.62 to 0.65 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
ELM vs. AGOX — Risk / Return Rank
ELM
AGOX
ELM vs. AGOX - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Elm Market Navigator ETF (ELM) and Adaptive Alpha Opportunities ETF (AGOX). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| ELM | AGOX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.44 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +0.41 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.30 | +0.09 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.68 | 1.99 | +0.69 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.95 | 7.27 | +3.68 |
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Drawdowns
ELM vs. AGOX - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum ELM drawdown since its inception was -9.02%, smaller than the maximum AGOX drawdown of -26.93%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ELM and AGOX.
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Drawdown Indicators
| ELM | AGOX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -9.02% | -26.93% | +17.91% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -7.52% | -15.32% | +7.80% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -21.15% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -26.93% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -0.34% | -1.01% | +0.67% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -1.32% | -8.11% | +6.79% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.84% | 4.19% | -2.35% |
Volatility
ELM vs. AGOX - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Elm Market Navigator ETF (ELM) is 3.36%, while Adaptive Alpha Opportunities ETF (AGOX) has a volatility of 4.71%. This indicates that ELM experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than AGOX based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| ELM | AGOX | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.36% | 4.71% | -1.35% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 7.98% | 16.19% | -8.21% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.69% | 18.64% | -8.95% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 10.40% | 19.72% | -9.32% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 10.40% | 19.64% | -9.24% |
ELM vs. AGOX - Expense Ratio Comparison
ELM has a 0.24% expense ratio, which is lower than AGOX's 1.33% expense ratio.
Dividends
ELM vs. AGOX - Dividend Comparison
ELM's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.52%, less than AGOX's 2.62% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AGOX Adaptive Alpha Opportunities ETF | 2.62% | 3.23% | 3.94% | 0.27% | 0.20% | 6.36% |
ELM Elm Market Navigator ETF | 2.52% | 2.71% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
ELM and AGOX have a correlation of 0.65, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
AGOX has higher volatility (4.71%) compared to ELM (3.36%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ELM dropped -9.02% vs AGOX's -26.93%.
On 1-year performance, AGOX leads with 30.39% vs 20.07% for ELM. On fees, ELM is cheaper at 0.24% per year. On volatility, ELM has been the lower-risk option at 3.36%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, AGOX has performed better with a 30.39% return vs 20.07%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
ELM is cheaper with a 0.24% expense ratio, compared with 1.33% for AGOX.
AGOX has the higher dividend yield at 2.62%, compared with 2.52% for ELM.
They also come from different issuers: Elm and Adaptive Funds. Their fees differ too: 0.24% for ELM and 1.33% for AGOX.
ELM currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.08 vs 1.64), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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