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CTA vs. ISTB
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

CTA vs. ISTB - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF (ISTB). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, CTA achieves a 2.94% return, which is significantly higher than ISTB's 0.63% return.


CTA

1D
0.41%
1M
6.16%
6M
-0.31%
YTD
2.94%
1Y
7.76%
3Y*
8.35%
5Y*
10Y*
ALL TIME*
7.49%

ISTB

1D
-0.04%
1M
-0.19%
6M
0.35%
YTD
0.63%
1Y
2.74%
3Y*
4.99%
5Y*
1.86%
10Y*
2.20%
ALL TIME*
2.01%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Liquidity Comparison


PositionAvg. Volume Value (2W)Avg. Volume Value (1M)Avg. Volume Value (3M)
$11.61M$12.21M$14.75M
$20.52M$19.72M$25.64M

CTA vs. ISTB - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
2.94%0.88%24.15%-2.23%9.01%
ISTB
iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF
0.63%6.36%4.37%5.56%-3.77%

Correlation

The correlation between CTA and ISTB is -0.34, meaning they have often moved in opposite directions in the past. This relationship can weaken or reverse as market conditions change.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most.

-0.34

Correlation (3Y)
Balances recent behavior with more history.

-0.35

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 8, 2022

-0.38

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Return for Risk

CTA vs. ISTB — Risk / Return Rank

Compare historical risk-adjusted metric ranks over the past 12 months.

CTA
CTA Risk / Return Rank: 1515
Overall Rank
CTA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
CTA Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
CTA Omega Ratio Rank: 1515
Omega Ratio Rank
CTA Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
CTA Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank

ISTB
ISTB Risk / Return Rank: 7979
Overall Rank
ISTB Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8080
Sharpe Ratio Rank
ISTB Sortino Ratio Rank: 8484
Sortino Ratio Rank
ISTB Omega Ratio Rank: 8282
Omega Ratio Rank
ISTB Calmar Ratio Rank: 7575
Calmar Ratio Rank
ISTB Martin Ratio Rank: 7575
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) uses a weighted average of the Sharpe, Sortino, Omega, Calmar, and Martin percentile ranks for the trailing 12 months. Higher means stronger historical risk-adjusted performance within the peer group.

CTA vs. ISTB - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) and iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF (ISTB). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


CTAISTBDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-1.64

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-2.38

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

1.34

-0.29

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.20

2.61

-2.41

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.53

9.39

-8.86

CTA vs. ISTB - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current CTA Sharpe Ratio is 0.19, which is lower than the ISTB Sharpe Ratio of 1.83. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of CTA and ISTB, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

CTA vs. ISTB - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum CTA drawdown since its inception was -20.44%, which is greater than ISTB's maximum drawdown of -9.34%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for CTA and ISTB.


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Drawdown Indicators


CTAISTBDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-20.44%

-9.34%

-11.10%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-20.44%

-1.26%

-19.18%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-20.44%

-1.36%

-19.08%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-9.34%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-9.34%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-15.54%

-0.27%

-15.27%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-6.06%

-1.21%

-4.85%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

7.61%

0.35%

+7.26%

Volatility

CTA vs. ISTB - Volatility Comparison

Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF (CTA) has a higher volatility of 8.38% compared to iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF (ISTB) at 0.48%. This indicates that CTA's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than ISTB based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


CTAISTBDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

8.38%

0.48%

+7.90%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

19.10%

1.42%

+17.68%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

21.74%

1.80%

+19.94%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.92%

2.81%

+14.11%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

16.92%

2.51%

+14.41%

CTA vs. ISTB - Expense Ratio Comparison

CTA has a 0.78% expense ratio, which is higher than ISTB's 0.06% expense ratio.


Dividends

CTA vs. ISTB - Dividend Comparison

CTA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.38%, more than ISTB's 4.26% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
CTA
Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
5.38%3.19%4.80%7.78%6.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ISTB
iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF
3.91%4.12%3.83%2.97%2.01%1.69%2.20%2.75%2.57%2.06%1.90%1.58%

Frequently Asked Questions


CTA and ISTB have a correlation of -0.34, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

CTA has higher volatility (8.38%) compared to ISTB (0.48%). In terms of maximum drawdown, CTA dropped -20.44% vs ISTB's -9.34%.

On 3-year performance, CTA leads with 8.35% vs 4.99% for ISTB. On fees, ISTB is cheaper at 0.06% per year. On volatility, ISTB has been the lower-risk option at 0.48%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 3-year period, CTA has performed better with a 8.35% return vs 4.99%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

ISTB is cheaper with a 0.06% expense ratio, compared with 0.78% for CTA.

CTA has the higher dividend yield at 5.38%, compared with 3.91% for ISTB.

CTA is categorized as Systematic Trend, while ISTB is Short-Term Bond. They also come from different issuers: Simplify and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.78% for CTA and 0.06% for ISTB.

ISTB currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.83 vs 0.19), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for CTA and ISTB

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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