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BCDF vs. BTC
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

BCDF vs. BTC - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Horizon Kinetics Blockchain Development ETF (BCDF) and Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, BCDF achieves a 3.23% return, which is significantly higher than BTC's -25.36% return.


BCDF

1D
-0.16%
1M
-4.70%
YTD
3.23%
6M
4.02%
1Y
6.26%
3Y*
14.97%
5Y*
10Y*

BTC

1D
-2.73%
1M
-18.40%
YTD
-25.36%
6M
-29.74%
1Y
-38.61%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BCDF vs. BTC - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
BCDF
Horizon Kinetics Blockchain Development ETF
3.23%11.63%8.86%
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
-25.36%-7.50%44.64%

Correlation

The correlation between BCDF and BTC is 0.44, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.44

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 1, 2024

0.46

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Return for Risk

BCDF vs. BTC — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BCDF
BCDF Risk / Return Rank: 1616
Overall Rank
BCDF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BCDF Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
BCDF Omega Ratio Rank: 1515
Omega Ratio Rank
BCDF Calmar Ratio Rank: 2020
Calmar Ratio Rank
BCDF Martin Ratio Rank: 1818
Martin Ratio Rank

BTC
BTC Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
BTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTC Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
BTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTC Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BCDF vs. BTC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Horizon Kinetics Blockchain Development ETF (BCDF) and Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


BCDFBTCDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+1.31

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.91

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.08

0.86

+0.22

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.82

-0.78

+1.61

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

1.85

-1.36

+3.21

BCDF vs. BTC - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BCDF Sharpe Ratio is 0.43, which is higher than the BTC Sharpe Ratio of -0.89. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BCDF and BTC, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


BCDFBTCDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.43

-0.89

+1.31

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.39

-0.00

+0.39

Drawdowns

BCDF vs. BTC - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BCDF drawdown since its inception was -27.70%, smaller than the maximum BTC drawdown of -49.34%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BCDF and BTC.


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Drawdown Indicators


BCDFBTCDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-27.70%

-49.34%

+21.64%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-7.63%

-49.34%

+41.71%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-13.46%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-7.63%

-47.98%

+40.35%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-9.83%

-16.61%

+6.78%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.39%

28.38%

-24.99%

Volatility

BCDF vs. BTC - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Horizon Kinetics Blockchain Development ETF (BCDF) is 5.17%, while Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) has a volatility of 9.40%. This indicates that BCDF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BTC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


BCDFBTCDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.17%

9.40%

-4.23%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

11.03%

34.45%

-23.42%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

14.76%

43.69%

-28.93%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

16.94%

48.30%

-31.36%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

16.94%

48.30%

-31.36%

BCDF vs. BTC - Expense Ratio Comparison

BCDF has a 0.85% expense ratio, which is higher than BTC's 0.15% expense ratio.


Dividends

BCDF vs. BTC - Dividend Comparison

BCDF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.45%, while BTC has not paid dividends to shareholders.


PositionTTM2025202420232022
BCDF
Horizon Kinetics Blockchain Development ETF
2.45%2.53%1.63%0.69%0.38%
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


BCDF and BTC have a correlation of 0.44, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

BTC has higher volatility (9.40%) compared to BCDF (5.17%). In terms of maximum drawdown, BCDF dropped -27.70% vs BTC's -49.34%.

On 1-year performance, BCDF leads with 6.26% vs -38.61% for BTC. On fees, BTC is cheaper at 0.15% per year. On volatility, BCDF has been the lower-risk option at 5.17%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, BCDF has performed better with a 6.26% return vs -38.61%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

BTC is cheaper with a 0.15% expense ratio, compared with 0.85% for BCDF.

BCDF has the higher dividend yield at 2.45%, compared with 0.00% for BTC.

They also come from different issuers: Horizon and Grayscale. Their fees differ too: 0.85% for BCDF and 0.15% for BTC.

BCDF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.43 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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