- ISIN
- US98980A1051
- CUSIP
- 98980A105
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Integrated Freight & Logistics
- IPO Date
- Oct 27, 2016
Highlights
- Market Cap
- $17.75B
- Enterprise Value
- $20.92B
- EPS (TTM)
- CN¥11.28
- PE Ratio
- 13.34
- PEG Ratio
- 0.70
- Total Revenue (TTM)
- CN¥51.23B
- Gross Profit (TTM)
- CN¥12.75B
- EBITDA (TTM)
- CN¥11.93B
- Year Range
- $17.39 - $26.20
- Target Price
- $28.35
- ROA (TTM)
- 9.36%
- ROE (TTM)
- 14.74%
Share Price Chart
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Performance
ZTO Performance Chart
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is up 8.1% since the beginning of the year. At $22 per share, ZTO is trading 15.2% below its 52-week high of $26. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of ZTO shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $842.
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Returns By Period
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) has returned 8.11% so far this year and 33.28% over the past 12 months.
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.
- 1D
- 1.05%
- 1M
- -3.31%
- YTD
- 8.11%
- 6M
- 6.13%
- 1Y
- 33.28%
- 3Y*
- -1.01%
- 5Y*
- -3.37%
- 10Y*
- —
Benchmark (S&P 500 Index)
- 1D
- -0.37%
- 1M
- -0.01%
- YTD
- 9.16%
- 6M
- 8.64%
- 1Y
- 25.22%
- 3Y*
- 19.78%
- 5Y*
- 11.99%
- 10Y*
- 13.88%
ZTO Monthly Returns History
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 27, 2016, ZTO's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.81%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.2 years.
Historically, 54% of months were positive and 46% were negative. The best month was Nov 2022 with a return of +48.4%, while the worst month was Oct 2022 at -29.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.
On a daily basis, ZTO closed higher 50% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 16, 2022 with a return of +19.8%, while the worst single day was Oct 24, 2022 at -21.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.98% | 11.17% | 3.24% | 3.29% | -13.56% | 0.50% | 8.11% | ||||||
| 2025 | -4.55% | 3.91% | 2.32% | -4.89% | -4.86% | 0.85% | 10.93% | -7.57% | 7.14% | -3.18% | 11.08% | 1.16% | 10.69% |
| 2024 | -23.12% | 17.30% | 9.12% | 3.33% | 8.58% | -8.95% | -8.67% | 13.14% | 17.41% | -6.70% | -17.78% | 2.89% | -3.76% |
| 2023 | 6.10% | -15.61% | 19.12% | -2.16% | -8.82% | -0.63% | 10.85% | -9.57% | -3.86% | -2.48% | -5.30% | -4.66% | -19.77% |
| 2022 | 6.45% | -2.00% | -15.08% | 11.14% | -2.07% | 1.89% | -6.78% | 1.80% | -7.75% | -29.71% | 48.43% | 7.18% | -3.84% |
| 2021 | 13.44% | 2.00% | -13.60% | 11.27% | -0.22% | -5.42% | -10.84% | 4.25% | 8.68% | -4.34% | 7.77% | -10.72% | -2.40% |
Benchmark Metrics
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has an annualized alpha of 2.55%, beta of 0.58, and R2 of 0.08 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 27, 2016.
- This stock participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (10.90%) than losses (0.56%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.58 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.08 this stock is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this stock's risk.
- R2 of 0.08 means this stock moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 2.55%
- Beta
- 0.58
- R²
- 0.08
- Upside Capture
- 10.90%
- Downside Capture
- 0.56%
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
ZTO ranks 77 for risk / return — better than 77% of stocks on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below present risk-adjusted performance metrics for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) and compare them to S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| ZTO | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.73 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.67 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.37 | -0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.20 | 2.78 | -0.59 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.29 | 12.44 | -7.15 |
Dividends
Dividend History
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provided a 3.10% dividend yield over the last twelve months, with an annual payout of $0.69 per share.
| Period | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend | $0.69 | $0.65 | $0.97 | $0.37 | $0.25 | $0.25 | $0.30 | $0.24 | $0.20 |
Dividend yield | 3.10% | 3.11% | 4.96% | 1.74% | 0.93% | 0.89% | 1.03% | 1.03% | 1.26% |
Monthly Dividends
The table displays the monthly dividend distributions for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.. The dividends shown in the table have been adjusted to account for any splits that may have occurred.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.39 | ||||||
| 2025 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.65 |
| 2024 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.97 |
| 2023 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.37 |
| 2022 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.25 |
| 2021 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.25 |
Dividend Yield & Payout
Dividend Yield
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has a dividend yield of 3.10%, which is quite average when compared to the overall market.
Payout Ratio
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. has a payout ratio of 83.67%, which is above the market average. This might signify the company's strong earnings or financial health. However, it could also hint at a more mature business phase with potentially slower growth.
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. was 57.06%, occurring on Feb 2, 2024. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. drawdown is 34.55%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 bear market2024 | -57.06%Feb 2024 | 3y 7mo | — | 6y 2dJun 2020 - now |
2017 bear market2017 | -38.97%Mar 2017 | 4mo 14d | 1y 2mo | 1y 6moOct 2016 - May 2018 |
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018 | -33.35%Oct 2018 | 2mo 25d | 11mo 14d | 1y 2moJul 2018 - Sep 2019 |
COVID crash2020 | -14.73%Mar 2020 | 12d | 14d | 26dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2020 correction2020 | -12.53%May 2020 | 7d | 14d | 21dMay 2020 - Jun 2020 |
Drawdown Indicators
| ZTO | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -57.06% | -56.78% | -0.28% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -15.22% | -9.10% | -6.12% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -42.55% | -18.90% | -23.65% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -49.55% | -25.43% | -24.12% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -33.92% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -34.55% | -1.80% | -32.75% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -26.03% | -10.71% | -15.32% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 6.31% | 2.03% | +4.28% |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Financials
Financial Performance
The chart below illustrates the trends in the financial health of ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. over time, highlighting three key metrics: Total Revenue, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT), and Net Income.
Valuation
The Valuation section provides an overview of how ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is priced in the market compared to other companies in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. It includes key financial ratios that help investors assess whether the stock is undervalued or overvalued.
PE Ratio
The chart displays the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio for ZTO, comparing it with other companies in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. Currently, ZTO has a P/E ratio of 13.3. This P/E ratio is in line with the industry average, suggesting the stock may be fairly valued relative to its earnings.
PEG Ratio
The chart shows the Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio for ZTO compared to other companies in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. ZTO currently has a PEG ratio of 0.7. This PEG ratio is close to the industry average, suggesting the stock’s valuation is balanced against its growth outlook.
PS Ratio
This chart shows the Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio for ZTO relative to other companies in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. Currently, ZTO has a P/S ratio of 2.4. This P/S ratio is high relative to other companies in the industry. It could mean the stock is overvalued, or that investors expect strong future growth and profitability.
PB Ratio
The chart illustrates the Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio for ZTO in comparison with other companies in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. Currently, ZTO has a P/B value of 1.9. This P/B ratio is in line with the industry average, suggesting the stock is valued fairly in relation to its book value.
Income Statement
| TTM | |
|---|---|
Revenue | — |
Total Revenue | — |
Cost Of Revenue | — |
Gross Profit | — |
Operating Expenses | — |
Selling, General & Admin Expenses | — |
R&D Expenses | — |
Depreciation And Amortization | — |
Total Operating Expenses | — |
Income | — |
Income Before Tax | — |
Operating Income | — |
EBITDA | — |
EBIT | — |
Earnings From Continuing Operations | — |
Net Income | — |
Income Tax Expense | — |
Other Non-Operating Income (Expenses) | — |
Extraordinary Items | — |
Discontinued Operations | — |
Effect Of Accounting Charges | — |
Non Recurring | — |
Minority Interest | — |
Other Items | — |
Interest Income | — |
Interest Expense | — |
Net Interest Income | — |
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