Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Bond Bulls, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is never rebalanced.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 28, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of SGOV
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.80% | 4.57% | 2.59% | 5.94% | 33.12% | 19.29% | 10.91% | 12.94% |
Portfolio Bond Bulls | -0.15% | 0.34% | 2.76% | 1.81% | 9.94% | 6.28% | 2.59% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CWB SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities ETF | 0.19% | 6.35% | 11.42% | 6.89% | 34.98% | 16.17% | 4.92% | 11.93% |
IVOL Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility & Inflation Hedge ETF | -0.38% | -1.40% | -2.62% | -3.50% | -0.21% | -2.95% | -4.89% | — |
JNK SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF | -0.06% | 1.77% | 1.26% | 2.75% | 10.95% | 8.55% | 3.78% | 5.26% |
PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF | -0.23% | 2.86% | 1.66% | 3.07% | 18.68% | 11.16% | 1.43% | 2.79% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 0.02% | 0.30% | 1.02% | 1.87% | 4.05% | 4.78% | 3.44% | — |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.44% | -0.04% | 0.74% | -2.08% | 3.36% | -2.28% | -5.98% | -1.42% |
USDU WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund | 0.00% | -1.34% | 0.12% | 0.54% | 1.53% | 4.75% | 4.87% | 2.54% |
EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro | -0.14% | -4.83% | 0.14% | -0.72% | -4.22% | 0.06% | 3.94% | 1.87% |
IGOV iShares International Treasury Bond ETF | -0.02% | 1.77% | 0.74% | -0.06% | 3.13% | 2.13% | -4.07% | -1.13% |
LMBS First Trust Low Duration Mortgage Opportunities ETF | 0.02% | 0.35% | 1.27% | 2.16% | 6.93% | 5.80% | 3.08% | 2.79% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 29, 2020, Bond Bulls's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.26%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 22.2 years.
Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Jul 2022 with a return of +3.0%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -3.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Bond Bulls closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +1.3%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -1.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 0.72% | 1.96% | -1.00% | 1.07% | 2.76% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.12% | 0.87% | -1.26% | -0.50% | 0.67% | 0.57% | 1.64% | 0.31% | 1.58% | 1.50% | 0.07% | -1.07% | 5.59% |
| 2024 | -0.07% | 0.05% | 1.29% | -0.79% | 1.47% | 0.29% | 1.77% | 0.97% | 1.57% | -0.43% | 2.41% | -1.37% | 7.33% |
| 2023 | 1.34% | -1.07% | 1.39% | 0.06% | -0.15% | 0.10% | 0.59% | -0.62% | -0.92% | -0.49% | 2.12% | 2.17% | 4.57% |
| 2022 | -2.08% | -1.18% | 0.23% | -2.02% | -0.23% | -2.03% | 2.97% | -1.02% | -3.08% | 0.40% | 1.29% | -1.50% | -8.10% |
| 2021 | 0.00% | -0.89% | 0.37% | 0.62% | -0.49% | 0.82% | 0.83% | 0.64% | -1.07% | 0.76% | -0.44% | 0.76% | 1.90% |
Benchmark Metrics
Bond Bulls has an annualized alpha of 0.92%, beta of 0.14, and R² of 0.36 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 29, 2020.
- This portfolio participated in 26.72% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 18.33% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.14 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.36 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.36 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 0.92%
- Beta
- 0.14
- R²
- 0.36
- Upside Capture
- 18.33%
- Downside Capture
- 26.72%
Expense Ratio
Bond Bulls has an expense ratio of 0.47%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Bond Bulls ranks 72 for risk / return — better than 72% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.71 | 2.30 | +0.41 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.83 | 3.18 | +0.65 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.55 | 1.43 | +0.12 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.84 | 3.40 | +2.44 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 17.95 | 15.35 | +2.60 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CWB SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities ETF | 77 | 2.67 | 3.58 | 1.49 | 4.90 | 18.08 |
IVOL Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility & Inflation Hedge ETF | 6 | -0.03 | 0.02 | 1.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 |
JNK SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF | 82 | 2.63 | 4.13 | 1.55 | 4.76 | 21.26 |
PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF | 64 | 2.37 | 3.31 | 1.45 | 3.37 | 14.42 |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 100 | 20.60 | 283.02 | 200.33 | 408.59 | 4,587.57 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 11 | 0.33 | 0.54 | 1.06 | 0.68 | 1.48 |
USDU WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund | 9 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 1.05 | 0.43 | 1.05 |
EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro | 4 | -0.30 | -0.32 | 0.96 | -0.29 | -0.49 |
IGOV iShares International Treasury Bond ETF | 11 | 0.37 | 0.59 | 1.07 | 0.56 | 1.42 |
LMBS First Trust Low Duration Mortgage Opportunities ETF | 91 | 3.46 | 5.35 | 1.70 | 5.36 | 24.36 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Bond Bulls provided a 3.47% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.47% | 3.51% | 3.74% | 3.90% | 2.96% | 1.68% | 1.84% | 2.34% | 2.28% | 1.87% | 1.99% | 2.77% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
CWB SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Convertible Securities ETF | 1.51% | 1.69% | 1.85% | 1.97% | 2.21% | 1.97% | 2.34% | 3.03% | 6.17% | 4.25% | 4.60% | 7.52% |
IVOL Quadratic Interest Rate Volatility & Inflation Hedge ETF | 3.77% | 3.61% | 3.83% | 3.73% | 3.92% | 3.93% | 3.44% | 2.02% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
JNK SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond ETF | 6.58% | 6.54% | 6.63% | 6.38% | 6.06% | 4.27% | 5.11% | 5.44% | 5.90% | 5.60% | 6.06% | 6.59% |
PCY Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF | 5.86% | 5.93% | 6.65% | 6.48% | 6.81% | 4.80% | 4.45% | 4.78% | 4.93% | 4.80% | 5.19% | 5.46% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 3.95% | 4.10% | 5.10% | 4.87% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.50% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
USDU WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund | 3.83% | 3.83% | 3.97% | 6.99% | 7.83% | 0.00% | 0.69% | 3.06% | 0.88% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.48% |
EUO ProShares UltraShort Euro | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IGOV iShares International Treasury Bond ETF | 1.40% | 1.41% | 0.59% | 0.00% | 0.11% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.24% | 0.31% | 0.19% | 0.69% | 0.12% |
LMBS First Trust Low Duration Mortgage Opportunities ETF | 4.07% | 4.08% | 4.28% | 3.96% | 2.22% | 2.04% | 2.27% | 2.55% | 2.76% | 2.73% | 2.84% | 3.03% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Bond Bulls. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Bond Bulls was 9.25%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 456 trading sessions.
The current Bond Bulls drawdown is 0.15%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -9.25% | Nov 10, 2021 | 238 | Oct 20, 2022 | 456 | Aug 15, 2024 | 694 |
| -3.69% | Mar 3, 2025 | 30 | Apr 11, 2025 | 65 | Jul 17, 2025 | 95 |
| -2.73% | Feb 9, 2021 | 19 | Mar 8, 2021 | 96 | Jul 23, 2021 | 115 |
| -1.79% | Mar 3, 2026 | 14 | Mar 20, 2026 | 16 | Apr 14, 2026 | 30 |
| -1.74% | Dec 3, 2024 | 13 | Dec 19, 2024 | 33 | Feb 10, 2025 | 46 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 13 assets, with an effective number of assets of 13.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SGOV | IVOL | VPU | TLT | LMBS | CWB | EUO | SHY | USDU | UUP | JNK | PCY | IGOV | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 0.42 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.79 | -0.26 | 0.09 | -0.33 | -0.30 | 0.73 | 0.51 | 0.27 | 0.54 |
| SGOV | -0.02 | 1.00 | 0.03 | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.05 | -0.03 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.04 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.02 |
| IVOL | 0.01 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 0.01 | -0.21 | 0.57 | -0.23 | -0.26 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| VPU | 0.42 | -0.02 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.30 | -0.14 | 0.18 | -0.21 | -0.17 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.62 |
| TLT | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.08 | -0.15 | 0.59 | -0.19 | -0.20 | 0.32 | 0.57 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| LMBS | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.28 | 0.17 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.12 | -0.24 | 0.62 | -0.26 | -0.29 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| CWB | 0.79 | -0.03 | 0.01 | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1.00 | -0.28 | 0.10 | -0.35 | -0.32 | 0.67 | 0.49 | 0.31 | 0.59 |
| EUO | -0.26 | 0.01 | -0.21 | -0.14 | -0.15 | -0.24 | -0.28 | 1.00 | -0.27 | 0.81 | 0.94 | -0.36 | -0.35 | -0.72 | 0.04 |
| SHY | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.57 | 0.18 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.10 | -0.27 | 1.00 | -0.32 | -0.34 | 0.37 | 0.47 | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| USDU | -0.33 | 0.04 | -0.23 | -0.21 | -0.19 | -0.26 | -0.35 | 0.81 | -0.32 | 1.00 | 0.87 | -0.42 | -0.40 | -0.72 | -0.09 |
| UUP | -0.30 | 0.04 | -0.26 | -0.17 | -0.20 | -0.29 | -0.32 | 0.94 | -0.34 | 0.87 | 1.00 | -0.40 | -0.39 | -0.79 | -0.04 |
| JNK | 0.73 | -0.01 | 0.16 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.67 | -0.36 | 0.37 | -0.42 | -0.40 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.65 |
| PCY | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.35 | 0.57 | 0.44 | 0.49 | -0.35 | 0.47 | -0.40 | -0.39 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.68 |
| IGOV | 0.27 | -0.02 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.31 | -0.72 | 0.57 | -0.72 | -0.79 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.34 |
| Portfolio | 0.54 | 0.02 | 0.21 | 0.62 | 0.53 | 0.42 | 0.59 | 0.04 | 0.47 | -0.09 | -0.04 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.34 | 1.00 |