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Cog All Weather ETFs
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Cog All Weather ETFs, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 7, 2014, corresponding to the inception date of PDBC

Returns By Period

As of Apr 4, 2026, the Cog All Weather ETFs returned 2.44% Year-To-Date and 6.10% of annualized return in the last 10 years.


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.63%-3.84%-1.98%29.73%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Cog All Weather ETFs
0.35%-1.51%2.44%3.64%15.23%8.00%3.67%6.10%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
0.16%-3.34%-3.13%-1.30%31.84%18.10%10.66%13.75%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.61%-1.86%0.69%-0.72%-2.29%-2.76%-5.75%-1.34%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
0.23%-0.97%0.01%0.69%2.49%2.14%-0.73%0.79%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
-1.94%-7.94%8.34%20.10%53.58%32.68%21.72%14.14%
PDBC
Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
2.46%10.89%32.23%36.33%43.42%11.08%14.55%10.12%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 10, 2014, Cog All Weather ETFs's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.49%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 11.8 years.

Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -7.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 6 months.

On a daily basis, Cog All Weather ETFs closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +3.9%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -4.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.07%2.95%-3.07%0.57%2.44%
20251.90%2.26%-1.26%-0.85%0.46%3.21%0.29%1.27%3.56%1.68%0.84%-0.99%12.93%
2024-0.53%0.31%2.44%-3.99%2.92%1.80%2.61%1.72%2.07%-2.47%2.60%-3.77%5.46%
20236.18%-3.92%3.90%0.61%-1.87%2.01%0.80%-2.04%-5.23%-2.86%7.43%5.52%10.02%
2022-3.24%-0.39%-0.86%-6.88%-0.73%-3.79%3.86%-3.86%-7.55%0.07%5.62%-3.09%-19.65%
2021-1.71%-1.30%-1.34%3.54%1.09%2.35%2.60%0.52%-2.62%3.41%0.11%0.97%7.64%

Benchmark Metrics

Cog All Weather ETFs has an annualized alpha of 3.15%, beta of 0.24, and R² of 0.24 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 10, 2014.

  • This portfolio participated in 41.91% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 38.89% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • Beta of 0.24 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.24 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.24 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
3.15%
Beta
0.24
0.24
Upside Capture
38.89%
Downside Capture
41.91%

Expense Ratio

Cog All Weather ETFs has an expense ratio of 0.15%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Cog All Weather ETFs ranks 51 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Cog All Weather ETFs Risk / Return Rank: 5151
Overall Rank
Cog All Weather ETFs Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5555
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Cog All Weather ETFs Sortino Ratio Rank: 5252
Sortino Ratio Rank
Cog All Weather ETFs Omega Ratio Rank: 4949
Omega Ratio Rank
Cog All Weather ETFs Calmar Ratio Rank: 5050
Calmar Ratio Rank
Cog All Weather ETFs Martin Ratio Rank: 4646
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.31

0.88

+0.43

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.86

1.37

+0.49

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.26

1.21

+0.05

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.89

1.39

+0.50

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

7.70

6.43

+1.27


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
520.941.471.221.537.16
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
9-0.07-0.011.00-0.09-0.19
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
310.721.061.121.162.87
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
791.782.211.332.589.32
PDBC
Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
781.732.331.313.017.40

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Cog All Weather ETFs Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.31
  • 5-Year: 0.37
  • 10-Year: 0.70
  • All Time: 0.67

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Cog All Weather ETFs compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Cog All Weather ETFs provided a 2.95% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.95%2.96%2.98%2.54%2.84%4.90%1.19%1.86%2.08%2.05%2.38%1.92%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.16%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.51%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
3.84%3.77%3.62%2.91%1.96%0.83%1.08%2.08%2.24%1.82%1.81%1.90%
IAU
iShares Gold Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
PDBC
Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
2.90%3.84%4.42%4.21%13.05%50.83%0.01%1.40%1.00%3.83%6.51%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Cog All Weather ETFs. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Cog All Weather ETFs was 24.24%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 719 trading sessions.

The current Cog All Weather ETFs drawdown is 2.51%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-24.24%Nov 10, 2021238Oct 20, 2022719Sep 4, 2025957
-13.99%Mar 9, 20208Mar 18, 202029Apr 29, 202037
-8.2%Feb 3, 2015237Jan 11, 201684May 11, 2016321
-7.32%Jul 11, 2016102Dec 1, 2016168Aug 3, 2017270
-5.79%Jan 29, 2018229Dec 24, 201835Feb 14, 2019264

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 5 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.52, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkPDBCIAUVTITLTIEFPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.260.020.99-0.14-0.140.46
PDBC0.261.000.240.27-0.17-0.150.22
IAU0.020.241.000.020.290.360.45
VTI0.990.270.021.00-0.14-0.140.46
TLT-0.14-0.170.29-0.141.000.920.71
IEF-0.14-0.150.36-0.140.921.000.68
Portfolio0.460.220.450.460.710.681.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 10, 2014