Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | Cryptocurrency, Actively Managed | 50% |
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | Technology Equities | 50% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 401k (FSELX + BITO, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Oct 19, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of BITO
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 401k (FSELX + BITO | -0.63% | -3.71% | -7.49% | -19.19% | 36.72% | 39.20% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | 0.27% | 0.99% | 10.34% | 15.28% | 124.52% | 48.26% | 32.36% | 32.84% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -1.60% | -8.48% | -24.03% | -46.41% | -21.71% | 24.92% | — | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 20, 2021, 401k (FSELX + BITO's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.85%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.2 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +29.8%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -28.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 401k (FSELX + BITO closed higher 51% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.9%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -12.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.43% | -10.47% | -1.11% | 1.01% | -7.49% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.95% | -11.22% | -7.56% | 9.90% | 13.48% | 9.64% | 6.72% | -3.87% | 9.29% | 2.85% | -10.30% | -0.59% | 18.80% |
| 2024 | 2.68% | 29.48% | 9.42% | -10.55% | 12.53% | -2.53% | 1.30% | -5.57% | 4.15% | 4.76% | 21.02% | -0.66% | 79.08% |
| 2023 | 29.83% | 2.85% | 16.01% | -3.20% | 4.99% | 10.34% | 0.28% | -7.00% | -2.92% | 8.53% | 11.08% | 10.51% | 109.53% |
| 2022 | -15.21% | 3.81% | 6.04% | -17.38% | -5.76% | -28.90% | 24.17% | -12.82% | -8.41% | 3.93% | 2.36% | -7.76% | -49.73% |
| 2021 | 0.64% | 3.70% | -8.17% | -4.17% |
Benchmark Metrics
401k (FSELX + BITO has an annualized alpha of 7.32%, beta of 1.64, and R² of 0.51 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 20, 2021.
- This portfolio captured 184.54% of S&P 500 Index gains and 135.35% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 7.32% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 1.64 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index — expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- 7.32%
- Beta
- 1.64
- R²
- 0.51
- Upside Capture
- 184.54%
- Downside Capture
- 135.35%
Expense Ratio
401k (FSELX + BITO has an expense ratio of 0.82%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
401k (FSELX + BITO ranks 15 for risk / return — in the bottom 15% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.71 | 0.88 | -0.17 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.23 | 1.37 | -0.14 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.15 | 1.21 | -0.06 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.12 | 1.39 | -0.27 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.70 | 6.43 | -3.73 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | 95 | 2.44 | 3.06 | 1.43 | 5.97 | 24.05 |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 3 | -0.58 | -0.62 | 0.93 | -0.49 | -1.02 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
401k (FSELX + BITO provided a 45.92% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 45.92% | 44.70% | 34.78% | 11.17% | 3.35% | 3.49% | 4.07% | 1.68% | 13.40% | 7.22% | 1.91% | 7.61% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | 10.07% | 11.11% | 7.97% | 7.20% | 6.69% | 6.99% | 8.13% | 3.36% | 26.80% | 14.44% | 3.82% | 15.22% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 81.78% | 78.29% | 61.59% | 15.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 401k (FSELX + BITO. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 401k (FSELX + BITO was 58.76%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. Recovery took 312 trading sessions.
The current 401k (FSELX + BITO drawdown is 20.57%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -58.76% | Nov 10, 2021 | 252 | Nov 9, 2022 | 312 | Feb 8, 2024 | 564 |
| -31.96% | Jan 22, 2025 | 54 | Apr 8, 2025 | 42 | Jun 9, 2025 | 96 |
| -24.73% | Oct 7, 2025 | 120 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -21.05% | Jun 6, 2024 | 64 | Sep 6, 2024 | 37 | Oct 29, 2024 | 101 |
| -15.47% | Mar 14, 2024 | 34 | May 1, 2024 | 17 | May 24, 2024 | 51 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BITO | FSELX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| BITO | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.88 |
| FSELX | 0.81 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Portfolio | 0.68 | 0.88 | 0.76 | 1.00 |