Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | Cryptocurrency | 50% |
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | Semiconductors, Technology Equities | 50% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 401k (FSELX + BITO, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.65% | 1.97% | 10.35% | 10.82% | 26.39% | 19.66% | 12.33% | 13.81% |
Portfolio 401k (FSELX + BITO | 1.62% | -1.15% | 20.46% | 23.70% | 31.29% | 48.90% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 4.62% | -16.16% | -25.13% | -23.76% | -39.30% | 27.40% | — | — |
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | 0.54% | 9.98% | 75.57% | 81.10% | 146.80% | 62.89% | 44.56% | 38.66% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 19, 2021, 401k (FSELX + BITO's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.33%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.5 years.
Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +29.8%, while the worst month was Jun 2022 at -28.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 401k (FSELX + BITO closed higher 51% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.9%, while the worst single day was Jun 13, 2022 at -12.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.43% | -10.47% | -1.11% | 24.76% | 7.63% | -2.04% | 20.46% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.95% | -11.22% | -7.56% | 9.90% | 13.48% | 9.64% | 6.72% | -3.87% | 9.29% | 2.85% | -10.30% | -0.59% | 18.80% |
| 2024 | 2.68% | 29.48% | 9.42% | -10.55% | 12.53% | -2.53% | 1.30% | -5.57% | 4.15% | 4.76% | 21.02% | -0.66% | 79.08% |
| 2023 | 29.83% | 2.85% | 16.01% | -3.20% | 4.99% | 10.34% | 0.28% | -7.00% | -2.92% | 8.53% | 11.08% | 10.51% | 109.53% |
| 2022 | -15.21% | 3.81% | 6.04% | -17.38% | -5.76% | -28.90% | 24.17% | -12.82% | -8.41% | 3.93% | 2.36% | -7.76% | -49.73% |
| 2021 | 2.44% | 3.61% | -8.25% | -2.62% |
Benchmark Metrics
401k (FSELX + BITO has an annualized alpha of 8.03%, beta of 1.65, and R2 of 0.52 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 19, 2021.
- This portfolio captured 195.00% of S&P 500 Index gains and 137.15% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 8.03% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 1.65 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index - expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- 8.03%
- Beta
- 1.65
- R²
- 0.52
- Upside Capture
- 195.00%
- Downside Capture
- 137.15%
Expense Ratio
401k (FSELX + BITO has an expense ratio of 0.82%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
401k (FSELX + BITO ranks 13 for risk / return — in the bottom 13% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 401k (FSELX + BITO and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.95 | 2.14 | -1.19 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.43 | 2.89 | -1.46 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.17 | 1.39 | -0.21 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.27 | 2.91 | -1.64 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.97 | 13.08 | -10.11 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 3 | -0.89 | -1.24 | 0.86 | -0.74 | -1.29 |
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | 95 | 4.01 | 4.12 | 1.57 | 9.80 | 35.42 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
401k (FSELX + BITO provided a 37.92% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 37.92% | 44.70% | 34.78% | 11.17% | 3.35% | 3.49% | 4.07% | 1.68% | 13.40% | 7.22% | 1.91% | 7.61% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 66.51% | 78.29% | 61.59% | 15.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FSELX Fidelity Select Semiconductors Portfolio | 9.33% | 11.11% | 7.97% | 7.20% | 6.69% | 6.99% | 8.13% | 3.36% | 26.80% | 14.44% | 3.82% | 15.22% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 401k (FSELX + BITO. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 401k (FSELX + BITO was 58.82%, occurring on Nov 9, 2022. Recovery took 312 trading sessions.
The current 401k (FSELX + BITO drawdown is 4.47%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -58.82%Nov 2022 | 12mo 4d | 1y 3mo | 2y 3moNov 2021 - Feb 2024 |
2025 selloff2025 | -31.96%Apr 2025 | 2mo 16d | 2mo 2d | 4mo 18dJan 2025 - Jun 2025 |
2026 bear market2026 | -24.73%Mar 2026 | 5mo 24d | 1mo 5d | 6mo 29dOct 2025 - May 2026 |
2024 bear market2024 | -21.05%Sep 2024 | 3mo 2d | 1mo 23d | 4mo 25dJun 2024 - Oct 2024 |
2024 correction2024 | -15.47%May 2024 | 1mo 18d | 23d | 2mo 11dMar 2024 - May 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.18 | 1.23 | 1.19 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.19, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
401k (FSELX + BITO correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.70 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 19, 2021 | 0.68 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. FSELX has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.81, while BITO has the lowest at 0.42.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 401k (FSELX + BITO is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 401k (FSELX + BITO is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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