PortfoliosLab logoPortfoliosLab logo
FIRE Backtest
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in FIRE Backtest, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


Loading graphics...

The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 20, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of QQQH

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
FIRE Backtest
0.08%-3.26%0.67%3.17%11.79%12.00%7.85%
DIVO
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF
0.16%-2.94%2.35%5.61%17.36%13.86%11.05%
QQQH
NEOS Nasdaq-100 Hedged Equity Income ETF
0.15%-1.77%-2.75%-1.02%14.90%19.20%7.61%
SWAN
Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF
-0.01%-3.61%-3.43%-2.60%10.56%9.78%2.56%
BST
BlackRock Science and Technology Trust
-0.40%-5.19%-6.50%-4.54%22.24%15.27%0.75%17.15%
XYLD
Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF
0.15%-1.86%-0.43%5.71%10.79%10.37%7.08%7.91%
QYLD
Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF
0.23%-0.20%0.84%7.58%16.15%13.21%7.06%8.97%
KNG
FT Cboe Vest S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Target Income ETF
0.02%-5.63%1.24%2.94%4.77%6.44%5.64%
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
0.16%-2.44%12.35%13.88%13.89%11.70%8.35%12.30%
SPYD
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF
0.62%-3.04%6.58%6.12%7.87%11.42%7.84%8.58%
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
0.11%-2.81%3.80%6.43%17.34%14.92%11.04%11.27%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 23, 2019, FIRE Backtest's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.77%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.5 years.

Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +8.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -9.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, FIRE Backtest closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.8%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -9.3%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.62%2.35%-4.49%0.35%0.67%
20252.76%0.44%-3.37%-1.68%2.72%3.01%0.66%2.34%1.53%0.91%1.59%0.13%11.39%
20241.52%2.39%2.83%-3.25%2.85%1.61%2.18%2.63%1.94%-1.05%4.75%-3.60%15.46%
20233.24%-2.30%2.05%1.50%-1.67%4.12%2.24%-1.41%-3.81%-1.76%6.14%3.65%12.08%
2022-3.64%-2.00%2.73%-5.00%0.22%-6.30%5.16%-2.71%-7.06%6.99%4.68%-3.09%-10.68%
2021-1.02%1.50%4.45%3.19%1.05%1.67%1.42%1.68%-3.89%4.77%-1.43%4.34%18.81%

Benchmark Metrics

FIRE Backtest has an annualized alpha of 0.67%, beta of 0.66, and R² of 0.93 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 23, 2019.

  • This portfolio participated in 75.66% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 67.82% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • Beta of 0.66 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
0.67%
Beta
0.66
0.93
Upside Capture
67.82%
Downside Capture
75.66%

Expense Ratio

FIRE Backtest has an expense ratio of 0.50%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

FIRE Backtest ranks 25 for risk / return — below 25% of portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


FIRE Backtest Risk / Return Rank: 2525
Overall Rank
FIRE Backtest Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2323
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FIRE Backtest Sortino Ratio Rank: 2222
Sortino Ratio Rank
FIRE Backtest Omega Ratio Rank: 2929
Omega Ratio Rank
FIRE Backtest Calmar Ratio Rank: 2020
Calmar Ratio Rank
FIRE Backtest Martin Ratio Rank: 3030
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.93

0.88

+0.04

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.39

1.37

+0.02

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.22

1.21

+0.01

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

1.25

1.39

-0.14

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

6.08

6.43

-0.35


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
DIVO
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF
721.331.941.291.969.17
QQQH
NEOS Nasdaq-100 Hedged Equity Income ETF
591.021.571.241.758.09
SWAN
Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF
531.091.571.191.555.78
BST
BlackRock Science and Technology Trust
701.011.521.221.544.93
XYLD
Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF
470.771.251.261.106.41
QYLD
Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF
630.991.601.311.5310.09
KNG
FT Cboe Vest S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Target Income ETF
200.350.601.080.491.73
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
400.891.341.191.093.69
SPYD
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF
250.500.811.110.672.37
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
601.151.651.251.596.96

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

FIRE Backtest Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.93
  • 5-Year: 0.70
  • All Time: 0.64

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.98 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of FIRE Backtest compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


Loading graphics...

Dividends

Dividend yield

FIRE Backtest provided a 6.94% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio6.94%7.03%6.27%6.54%8.10%5.74%7.13%4.77%2.59%1.82%1.22%1.15%
DIVO
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF
6.47%6.44%4.70%4.67%4.76%4.79%4.91%8.16%5.27%3.83%0.00%0.00%
QQQH
NEOS Nasdaq-100 Hedged Equity Income ETF
9.41%8.86%7.53%7.18%9.05%7.77%7.48%0.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SWAN
Amplify BlackSwan Growth & Treasury Core ETF
3.04%2.86%2.54%2.98%2.12%5.04%1.64%3.69%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BST
BlackRock Science and Technology Trust
11.29%10.36%8.21%8.91%10.57%5.38%3.85%10.52%6.41%4.80%6.69%6.93%
XYLD
Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF
10.92%10.51%11.54%10.51%13.43%9.07%7.93%5.76%7.12%5.18%3.23%4.65%
QYLD
Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF
11.83%11.55%12.50%11.78%13.75%12.85%11.16%9.84%12.44%7.69%9.15%9.42%
KNG
FT Cboe Vest S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Target Income ETF
8.67%8.61%9.08%5.91%4.00%3.45%3.62%4.09%3.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
3.45%3.82%3.64%3.49%3.39%2.78%3.16%2.98%3.06%2.63%2.89%2.97%
SPYD
SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF
4.36%4.52%4.31%4.66%5.01%3.68%4.95%4.42%4.75%4.63%4.34%1.13%
VYM
Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF
2.37%2.44%2.74%3.12%3.01%2.76%3.18%3.03%3.40%2.80%2.91%3.22%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


Loading graphics...

Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the FIRE Backtest. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the FIRE Backtest was 27.73%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 114 trading sessions.

The current FIRE Backtest drawdown is 4.15%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-27.73%Feb 20, 202023Mar 23, 2020114Sep 2, 2020137
-17.88%Jan 5, 2022186Sep 30, 2022318Jan 8, 2024504
-13.18%Feb 20, 202534Apr 8, 202557Jul 1, 202591
-6.26%Mar 2, 202620Mar 27, 2026
-6.06%Sep 3, 202014Sep 23, 202013Oct 12, 202027

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


Loading graphics...

Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.85, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBSTSWANQQQHSPYDQYLDXYLDSCHDKNGJEPIXDIVOVYMPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.760.740.830.650.840.840.740.750.780.830.810.93
BST0.761.000.590.740.360.740.650.420.430.530.530.480.67
SWAN0.740.591.000.670.450.620.590.510.550.610.600.570.74
QQQH0.830.740.671.000.340.800.700.440.450.560.560.500.71
SPYD0.650.360.450.341.000.420.560.900.880.680.760.900.78
QYLD0.840.740.620.800.421.000.810.500.500.630.620.560.74
XYLD0.840.650.590.700.560.811.000.630.630.690.710.680.80
SCHD0.740.420.510.440.900.500.631.000.920.770.840.940.86
KNG0.750.430.550.450.880.500.630.921.000.810.840.910.87
JEPIX0.780.530.610.560.680.630.690.770.811.000.810.810.91
DIVO0.830.530.600.560.760.620.710.840.840.811.000.890.91
VYM0.810.480.570.500.900.560.680.940.910.810.891.000.91
Portfolio0.930.670.740.710.780.740.800.860.870.910.910.911.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Dec 23, 2019