Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | Commodities, Actively Managed | 33% |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | S&P 500, Large Cap Value Equities | 17% |
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | Currency | 33% |
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF | Large Cap Growth Equities | 17% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in There are only 4 markets! ETF version, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 7, 2014, corresponding to the inception date of PDBC
Returns By Period
As of Apr 2, 2026, the There are only 4 markets! ETF version returned 10.92% Year-To-Date and 9.43% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio There are only 4 markets! ETF version | 1.10% | 4.34% | 10.92% | 12.71% | 15.18% | 11.15% | 10.79% | 9.43% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 0.47% | 1.46% | 3.07% | 4.62% | 1.27% | 4.90% | 5.26% | 3.13% |
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF | 0.11% | -3.66% | -9.29% | -8.34% | 17.67% | 21.67% | 11.69% | 16.20% |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | 0.79% | -3.82% | 4.06% | 2.79% | 0.98% | 7.95% | 7.05% | 8.48% |
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | 2.46% | 13.62% | 32.23% | 36.84% | 32.55% | 11.08% | 14.55% | 10.12% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 10, 2014, There are only 4 markets! ETF version's average daily return is +0.03%, while the average monthly return is +0.60%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 9.7 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Mar 2022 with a return of +5.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -8.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 12 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, There are only 4 markets! ETF version closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 13, 2020 with a return of +4.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -6.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.27% | 1.43% | 4.99% | 0.86% | 10.92% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 1.59% | 0.27% | -1.60% | -4.26% | 2.14% | 1.63% | 2.69% | -0.54% | 1.46% | 1.25% | 0.75% | -0.72% | 4.54% |
| 2024 | 1.97% | 1.15% | 2.57% | 0.02% | 0.97% | 1.64% | -1.04% | 0.13% | 0.70% | 1.51% | 2.25% | 0.43% | 12.98% |
| 2023 | 1.80% | -1.35% | 0.99% | 0.31% | -1.14% | 2.54% | 3.43% | -0.03% | -0.16% | -0.63% | 1.29% | -0.36% | 6.78% |
| 2022 | 0.50% | 1.32% | 5.37% | 0.90% | 0.65% | -3.61% | 2.59% | -0.75% | -4.24% | 3.41% | 0.70% | -3.27% | 3.14% |
| 2021 | 0.82% | 3.58% | 1.90% | 3.84% | 0.83% | 3.11% | 1.54% | 0.54% | 0.38% | 3.81% | -2.37% | 3.97% | 24.06% |
Benchmark Metrics
There are only 4 markets! ETF version has an annualized alpha of 2.71%, beta of 0.39, and R² of 0.59 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 10, 2014.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (42.35%) than losses (38.75%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 2.71% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.39 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 2.71%
- Beta
- 0.39
- R²
- 0.59
- Upside Capture
- 42.35%
- Downside Capture
- 38.75%
Expense Ratio
There are only 4 markets! ETF version has an expense ratio of 0.49%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
There are only 4 markets! ETF version ranks 62 for risk / return — better than 62% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.62 | 0.88 | +0.74 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.19 | 1.37 | +0.82 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.36 | 1.21 | +0.15 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.03 | 1.39 | +0.64 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 8.32 | 6.43 | +1.89 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 14 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 1.04 | 0.15 | 0.30 |
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF | 38 | 0.78 | 1.27 | 1.18 | 1.13 | 3.90 |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | 13 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 1.03 | 0.12 | 0.37 |
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | 79 | 1.73 | 2.33 | 1.31 | 3.01 | 7.40 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
There are only 4 markets! ETF version provided a 2.49% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.49% | 2.82% | 3.34% | 4.03% | 5.08% | 17.11% | 0.48% | 1.65% | 1.28% | 1.84% | 2.73% | 0.61% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
UUP Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund | 3.33% | 3.43% | 4.48% | 6.44% | 0.89% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 2.03% | 1.08% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF | 0.45% | 0.41% | 0.47% | 0.58% | 0.70% | 0.48% | 0.66% | 0.95% | 1.32% | 1.14% | 1.39% | 1.30% |
SPLV Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF | 2.10% | 2.04% | 1.88% | 2.45% | 2.11% | 1.51% | 2.12% | 2.08% | 2.18% | 2.03% | 2.03% | 2.28% |
PDBC Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF | 2.90% | 3.84% | 4.42% | 4.21% | 13.05% | 50.83% | 0.01% | 1.40% | 1.00% | 3.83% | 6.51% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the There are only 4 markets! ETF version. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the There are only 4 markets! ETF version was 18.56%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 188 trading sessions.
The current There are only 4 markets! ETF version drawdown is 0.93%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -18.56% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 188 | Dec 17, 2020 | 211 |
| -15.48% | Nov 24, 2014 | 304 | Feb 9, 2016 | 223 | Dec 27, 2016 | 527 |
| -12.12% | Oct 4, 2018 | 56 | Dec 24, 2018 | 132 | Jul 5, 2019 | 188 |
| -10.21% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 125 | Oct 7, 2025 | 159 |
| -8.69% | Jun 9, 2022 | 145 | Jan 5, 2023 | 172 | Sep 13, 2023 | 317 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 4 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.63, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | UUP | PDBC | SPLV | VUG | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.14 | 0.26 | 0.68 | 0.94 | 0.67 |
| UUP | -0.14 | 1.00 | -0.17 | -0.12 | -0.12 | 0.08 |
| PDBC | 0.26 | -0.17 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.77 |
| SPLV | 0.68 | -0.12 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| VUG | 0.94 | -0.12 | 0.20 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.61 |
| Portfolio | 0.67 | 0.08 | 0.77 | 0.50 | 0.61 | 1.00 |