Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
GC=F Gold | 40% | |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 20% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 40% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 26, 2002, corresponding to the inception date of IEF
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds returned 2.05% Year-To-Date and 11.97% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds | -0.64% | -5.00% | 2.05% | 9.03% | 28.13% | 21.59% | 14.04% | 11.97% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
GC=F Gold | -1.68% | -7.92% | 8.72% | 22.48% | 49.77% | 33.33% | 22.19% | 14.46% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.23% | -1.48% | 0.01% | 0.50% | 3.83% | 2.14% | -0.73% | 0.79% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 28, 2002, 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.88%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.6 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2009 with a return of +8.6%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -13.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 14 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +5.3%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -5.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.13% | 4.71% | -7.19% | 0.85% | 2.05% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.00% | 0.40% | 2.11% | 2.51% | 1.71% | 2.23% | 0.73% | 3.49% | 6.19% | 2.71% | 1.54% | 2.68% | 34.70% |
| 2024 | 0.38% | 1.65% | 4.77% | -0.91% | 2.93% | 1.74% | 2.74% | 2.34% | 3.47% | 0.69% | 1.25% | -1.83% | 20.79% |
| 2023 | 5.65% | -3.75% | 5.28% | 1.23% | -0.62% | 1.52% | 2.27% | -1.47% | -4.41% | 1.58% | 5.67% | 3.08% | 16.53% |
| 2022 | -3.24% | 1.16% | 1.72% | -5.02% | -1.35% | -4.15% | 2.86% | -3.51% | -5.67% | 1.95% | 5.68% | -0.71% | -10.44% |
| 2021 | -1.59% | -1.91% | 1.13% | 3.66% | 3.19% | -1.50% | 2.33% | 1.31% | -3.61% | 3.66% | -0.36% | 3.18% | 9.53% |
Benchmark Metrics
40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds has an annualized alpha of 6.92%, beta of 0.35, and R² of 0.43 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 28, 2002.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (52.26%) than losses (29.83%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.35 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.43 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.43 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.92%
- Beta
- 0.35
- R²
- 0.43
- Upside Capture
- 52.26%
- Downside Capture
- 29.83%
Expense Ratio
40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds has an expense ratio of 0.07%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds ranks 81 for risk / return — in the top 81% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.84 | 0.88 | +0.96 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.42 | 1.37 | +1.06 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.36 | 1.21 | +0.16 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.76 | 1.39 | +1.38 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.68 | 6.43 | +5.25 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GC=F Gold | 82 | 1.72 | 2.13 | 1.32 | 2.64 | 9.67 |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 32 | 0.72 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 2.87 |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds provided a 1.22% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.22% | 1.18% | 1.21% | 1.14% | 1.05% | 0.65% | 0.82% | 1.11% | 1.26% | 1.08% | 1.17% | 1.21% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
GC=F Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.84% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds was 25.14%, occurring on Nov 20, 2008. Recovery took 256 trading sessions.
The current 40% Gold 40% stocks 20 bonds drawdown is 7.08%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -25.14% | Mar 19, 2008 | 205 | Nov 20, 2008 | 256 | Oct 13, 2009 | 461 |
| -16.97% | Jan 3, 2022 | 198 | Oct 14, 2022 | 188 | Jul 18, 2023 | 386 |
| -15.34% | Feb 24, 2020 | 20 | Mar 20, 2020 | 48 | May 29, 2020 | 68 |
| -12.46% | May 12, 2006 | 28 | Jun 13, 2006 | 179 | Jan 24, 2007 | 207 |
| -10.6% | Jan 30, 2026 | 40 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.78, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IEF | GC=F | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.27 | 0.01 | 0.99 | 0.62 |
| IEF | -0.27 | 1.00 | 0.18 | -0.26 | 0.06 |
| GC=F | 0.01 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.72 |
| SPY | 0.99 | -0.26 | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.61 |
| Portfolio | 0.62 | 0.06 | 0.72 | 0.61 | 1.00 |