Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
GC=F Gold | 20% | |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 40% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 40% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced when any position deviates by more than 15.0% from its target allocation.
Loading graphics...
The earliest data available for this chart is Jul 26, 2002, corresponding to the inception date of TLT
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold returned 1.26% Year-To-Date and 9.20% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold | -0.32% | -4.61% | 1.26% | 5.15% | 19.19% | 14.79% | 8.33% | 9.20% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0.09% | -3.34% | -3.56% | -1.44% | 17.51% | 18.37% | 11.88% | 14.11% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.61% | -2.56% | 0.69% | -0.91% | -0.77% | -2.76% | -5.75% | -1.34% |
GC=F Gold | -1.68% | -7.92% | 8.72% | 22.48% | 49.77% | 33.33% | 22.19% | 14.46% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 28, 2002, 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.80%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.2 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Dec 2008 with a return of +8.4%, while the worst month was Oct 2008 at -12.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 18, 2020 at -4.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.22% | 4.33% | -6.77% | 0.86% | 1.26% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 2.87% | 1.56% | -0.51% | 0.64% | 1.27% | 3.05% | 0.60% | 2.26% | 5.37% | 2.43% | 0.92% | 0.82% | 23.31% |
| 2024 | -0.45% | 1.13% | 3.25% | -3.51% | 3.46% | 2.20% | 2.73% | 2.34% | 2.81% | -1.57% | 2.53% | -3.53% | 11.61% |
| 2023 | 6.63% | -3.87% | 4.99% | 1.09% | -1.00% | 2.55% | 1.47% | -2.04% | -5.58% | -0.76% | 8.09% | 5.56% | 17.38% |
| 2022 | -4.10% | -0.71% | 0.32% | -7.50% | -1.44% | -4.61% | 4.27% | -3.96% | -7.51% | 1.35% | 6.30% | -2.54% | -19.22% |
| 2021 | -2.37% | -2.61% | -0.32% | 3.82% | 1.90% | 0.96% | 2.89% | 1.18% | -3.75% | 4.26% | 0.52% | 1.90% | 8.31% |
Benchmark Metrics
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold has an annualized alpha of 6.63%, beta of 0.29, and R² of 0.36 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 28, 2002.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (48.32%) than losses (29.20%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.29 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.36 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R² of 0.36 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.63%
- Beta
- 0.29
- R²
- 0.36
- Upside Capture
- 48.32%
- Downside Capture
- 29.20%
Expense Ratio
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold ranks 70 for risk / return — better than 70% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.49 | 0.88 | +0.61 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.08 | 1.37 | +0.71 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.30 | 1.21 | +0.09 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.48 | 1.39 | +1.09 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.08 | 6.43 | +4.65 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 53 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.51 | 7.11 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 10 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 1.00 | -0.09 | -0.19 |
GC=F Gold | 82 | 1.72 | 2.13 | 1.32 | 2.64 | 9.67 |
Loading graphics...
Dividends
Dividend yield
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold provided a 2.25% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.25% | 2.20% | 2.20% | 1.91% | 1.73% | 1.08% | 1.21% | 1.61% | 1.87% | 1.69% | 1.85% | 1.87% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.13% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.51% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
GC=F Gold | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading graphics...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold was 24.50%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 408 trading sessions.
The current 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold drawdown is 6.10%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.5% | Dec 28, 2021 | 206 | Oct 20, 2022 | 408 | Jun 5, 2024 | 614 |
| -20.88% | Mar 19, 2008 | 199 | Nov 12, 2008 | 249 | Sep 28, 2009 | 448 |
| -14.96% | Mar 9, 2020 | 8 | Mar 18, 2020 | 25 | Apr 23, 2020 | 33 |
| -9.12% | Mar 3, 2026 | 19 | Mar 27, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -8.12% | Jun 17, 2003 | 43 | Aug 5, 2003 | 83 | Nov 13, 2003 | 126 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading graphics...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.78, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | GC=F | TLT | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | -0.25 | 0.99 | 0.57 |
| GC=F | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.51 |
| TLT | -0.25 | 0.14 | 1.00 | -0.25 | 0.42 |
| SPY | 0.99 | 0.01 | -0.25 | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| Portfolio | 0.57 | 0.51 | 0.42 | 0.57 | 1.00 |