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40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


TLT 40.00%GC=F 20.00%SPY 40.00%BondBondCommodityCommodityEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced when any position deviates by more than 15.0% from its target allocation.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
1.65%1.97%10.35%10.82%26.39%19.66%12.33%13.81%
Portfolio
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold
0.68%2.01%4.47%4.72%12.28%7.66%
GC=F
Gold Futures
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.76%2.12%10.99%11.52%27.89%21.15%13.87%15.65%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
-0.06%2.87%0.21%0.32%3.82%-1.84%-6.36%-1.78%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 31, 2022, 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.30%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 19.3 years.

Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +7.6%, while the worst month was Apr 2022 at -7.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 10, 2025 at -2.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20260.59%1.50%-3.65%3.75%2.30%0.07%4.47%
20251.29%1.75%-2.68%-0.63%1.18%3.13%0.47%0.84%2.87%1.54%0.21%-1.03%9.14%
2024-0.25%1.17%1.63%-4.19%3.18%2.15%1.96%1.85%1.67%-2.54%3.21%-3.52%6.13%
20235.59%-2.94%3.51%0.81%-0.98%2.66%0.27%-1.87%-5.09%-3.01%7.59%5.29%11.55%
20220.50%-0.59%-0.22%-7.65%-0.66%-3.76%4.66%-3.40%-6.96%0.78%5.14%-3.30%-15.18%

Benchmark Metrics

40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold has an annualized alpha of -2.40%, beta of 0.44, and R2 of 0.58 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 31, 2022.

  • This portfolio participated in 77.00% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 47.42% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -2.40% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.44 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
-2.40%
Beta
0.44
0.58
Upside Capture
47.42%
Downside Capture
77.00%

Expense Ratio

40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold ranks 30 for risk / return — below 30% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.


40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold Risk / Return Rank: 3030
Overall Rank
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold Sharpe Ratio Rank: 3030
Sharpe Ratio Rank
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold Sortino Ratio Rank: 3131
Sortino Ratio Rank
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold Omega Ratio Rank: 3131
Omega Ratio Rank
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold Calmar Ratio Rank: 2929
Calmar Ratio Rank
40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold Martin Ratio Rank: 3131
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.83

2.14

-0.31

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.60

2.89

-0.28

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.34

1.39

-0.05

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

2.41

2.91

-0.50

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

9.20

13.08

-3.88


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
GC=F
Gold Futures
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
77
2.273.051.413.1514.24
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
15
0.400.651.070.511.22

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold Sharpe ratio is 1.83 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.56 to 2.44, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold provided a 2.22% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.22%2.20%2.20%1.91%1.73%1.08%1.21%1.61%1.87%1.69%1.85%1.87%
GC=F
Gold Futures
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.98%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
4.57%4.43%4.30%3.38%2.67%1.50%1.50%2.27%2.63%2.43%2.60%2.61%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold was 19.87%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 457 trading sessions.

The current 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold drawdown is 0.99%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Bear market2022
-19.87%Oct 2022
8mo 19d1y 10mo
2y 6moFeb 2022 - Aug 2024
2025 selloff2025
-9.21%Apr 2025
4mo3mo 18d
7mo 18dDec 2024 - Jul 2025
2026 pullback2026
-5.11%Mar 2026
29d21d
1mo 20dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026
2024 pullback2024
-3.30%Nov 2024
1mo 15d28d
2mo 13dSep 2024 - Nov 2024
2025 pullback2025
-3.08%Nov 2025
22d3mo 7d
3mo 29dOct 2025 - Feb 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 2.78, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.29

1.32

1.42

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.42, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold correlation to the S&P 500 Index

40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold has a 0.80 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.80

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.73

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 31, 2022

0.72


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GC=F has the lowest at -0.05.

GC=F
-0.05
TLT
0.12
SPY
1.00

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold. SPY has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.72, while GC=F has the lowest at 0.05.

GC=F
0.05
TLT
0.72
SPY
0.72

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

GC=FTLTSPY
GC=F1.000.05-0.05
TLT0.051.000.13
SPY-0.050.131.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 31, 2022
Diversification Analysis

Find what 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold is missing

See which holdings overlap, where 40 Stocks 40 Long bonds 20 Gold is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

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