Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ALLW State Street Bridgewater All Weather ETF | Tactical Allocation | 80% |
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | Inverse Equities | 20% |
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Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Test, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio Test | 0.04% | -2.46% | 4.30% | 4.58% | 13.00% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ALLW State Street Bridgewater All Weather ETF | 0.10% | -2.98% | 6.69% | 6.94% | 20.60% | — | — | — |
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | -0.24% | 0.12% | -6.16% | -5.85% | -15.27% | -12.34% | -8.75% | -12.72% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 7, 2025, Test's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.81%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.2 years.
Historically, 63% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was Feb 2026 with a return of +4.0%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -2.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 4 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Test closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +1.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -2.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.63% | 3.95% | -2.37% | 1.29% | -0.26% | -1.83% | 4.30% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.02% | 0.12% | -0.87% | 1.65% | -0.55% | 2.00% | 2.92% | 1.81% | 1.09% | -0.61% | 8.84% |
Benchmark Metrics
Test has an annualized alpha of 6.70%, beta of 0.18, and R2 of 0.15 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 07, 2025.
- This portfolio captured 29.06% of S&P 500 Index gains and tended to rise during its downturns (downside capture of -1.42%) - a profile typical of hedging or uncorrelated assets.
- Beta of 0.18 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.15 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.15 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 6.70%
- Beta
- 0.18
- R²
- 0.15
- Upside Capture
- 29.06%
- Downside Capture
- -1.42%
Expense Ratio
Test has an expense ratio of 0.86%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Test ranks 33 for risk / return — below 33% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Test and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.73 | 1.94 | -0.21 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.33 | 2.63 | -0.29 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.32 | 1.35 | -0.03 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.80 | 2.59 | +0.21 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.09 | 11.84 | -1.76 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALLW State Street Bridgewater All Weather ETF | 65 | 1.93 | 2.56 | 1.35 | 2.86 | 11.98 |
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | 1 | -1.27 | -1.84 | 0.80 | -0.84 | -1.54 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Test provided a 4.39% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 4.39% | 4.64% | 1.24% | 1.07% | 0.22% | 0.00% | 0.03% | 0.35% | 0.20% | 0.01% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||
ALLW State Street Bridgewater All Weather ETF | 4.38% | 4.67% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SH ProShares Short S&P500 | 4.42% | 4.49% | 6.20% | 5.37% | 1.08% | 0.00% | 0.16% | 1.76% | 1.01% | 0.06% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Test. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Test was 5.08%, occurring on Apr 10, 2025. Recovery took 68 trading sessions.
The current Test drawdown is 3.18%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -5.08%Apr 2025 | 6d | 3mo 12d | 3mo 18dApr 2025 - Jul 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -4.67%Mar 2026 | 24d | — | 3mo 9dMar 2026 - now |
2026 pullback2026 | -2.99%Feb 2026 | 3d | 17d | 20dJan 2026 - Feb 2026 |
2025 pullback2025 | -2.10%Nov 2025 | 1mo | 1mo 16d | 2mo 16dOct 2025 - Jan 2026 |
2025 pullback2025 | -1.23%Jul 2025 | 8d | 7d | 15dJul 2025 - Aug 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 2 assets, with an effective number of assets of 1.47, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.49 | 1.66 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.66, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Test correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.37 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 7, 2025 | 0.29 |
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Test is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Test is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification