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long term accumulation
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in long term accumulation, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 2, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of KMLM

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-0.11%0.61%-0.42%4.03%29.40%18.38%10.55%12.70%
Portfolio
long term accumulation
-0.08%1.36%2.34%8.33%41.58%25.35%15.76%
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
-0.32%0.29%-4.75%5.82%91.42%43.24%17.71%27.03%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
0.43%-0.20%-6.58%1.63%114.62%55.97%13.93%37.44%
KBWP
Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF
0.03%0.98%-3.46%-0.28%6.31%15.03%12.25%12.14%
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
0.14%1.04%8.36%9.42%11.36%0.14%5.47%
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
-0.63%6.24%12.79%21.28%49.58%17.69%11.29%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
-0.07%0.73%-0.09%4.64%31.12%19.99%12.14%14.61%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
-0.12%0.86%0.25%4.74%31.69%19.61%10.91%14.16%
GLDM
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust
-0.18%-8.17%10.35%18.59%50.02%33.29%22.11%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 3, 2020, long term accumulation's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.52%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.8 years.

Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +10.0%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -10.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, long term accumulation closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +10.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -7.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.43%0.76%-6.14%5.66%2.34%
20252.23%-1.38%-4.19%-2.62%7.97%5.29%1.02%3.50%5.41%1.48%1.47%0.67%22.16%
20242.33%5.83%4.98%-4.77%5.39%2.67%3.01%2.07%2.34%-1.42%7.85%-3.98%28.67%
20239.11%-2.33%3.33%1.40%0.84%7.40%4.75%-2.57%-4.54%-1.31%10.02%5.46%34.90%
2022-5.62%-1.30%5.45%-9.81%0.34%-8.84%8.77%-4.49%-10.65%9.75%5.84%-7.30%-19.00%
2021-1.26%4.45%4.83%7.16%1.11%2.00%1.93%4.36%-5.82%8.46%-1.86%5.03%33.83%

Benchmark Metrics

long term accumulation has an annualized alpha of 3.96%, beta of 1.15, and R² of 0.95 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 03, 2020.

  • This portfolio captured 130.04% of S&P 500 Index gains and 105.77% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.96% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
3.96%
Beta
1.15
0.95
Upside Capture
130.04%
Downside Capture
105.77%

Expense Ratio

long term accumulation has an expense ratio of 0.39%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

long term accumulation ranks 56 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


long term accumulation Risk / Return Rank: 5656
Overall Rank
long term accumulation Sharpe Ratio Rank: 4747
Sharpe Ratio Rank
long term accumulation Sortino Ratio Rank: 4343
Sortino Ratio Rank
long term accumulation Omega Ratio Rank: 4141
Omega Ratio Rank
long term accumulation Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
long term accumulation Martin Ratio Rank: 7878
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.70

2.23

+0.47

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.69

3.12

+0.57

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.48

1.42

+0.06

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

4.90

4.05

+0.85

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

21.13

17.91

+3.22


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
642.332.821.384.4518.10
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
572.282.651.354.1813.52
KBWP
Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF
140.380.631.081.442.97
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
231.151.611.211.755.22
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
802.673.751.466.9219.82
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
702.373.291.444.3119.24
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
702.363.281.444.3819.06
GLDM
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust
441.862.281.343.1010.70

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

long term accumulation Sharpe ratios as of Apr 10, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.70
  • 5-Year: 0.80
  • All Time: 0.93

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.87 to 2.87, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of long term accumulation compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

long term accumulation provided a 1.48% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.48%1.46%1.17%1.14%2.51%1.80%0.96%1.03%1.11%0.90%1.03%0.92%
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
0.92%0.84%0.93%0.74%0.52%0.06%0.11%0.41%0.63%0.00%0.12%0.34%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
0.64%0.65%1.27%1.26%0.57%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.01%
KBWP
Invesco KBW Property & Casualty Insurance ETF
1.92%1.58%1.64%1.68%1.99%3.02%1.93%1.99%2.11%1.90%2.14%1.35%
KMLM
KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF
4.64%5.02%0.82%0.00%13.22%6.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AVUV
Avantis US Small Cap Value ETF
1.35%1.58%1.61%1.65%1.74%1.28%1.21%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VOO
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
1.14%1.13%1.24%1.46%1.69%1.25%1.54%1.88%2.06%1.78%2.02%2.10%
VTI
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF
1.13%1.12%1.27%1.44%1.66%1.21%1.42%1.78%2.04%1.71%1.92%1.98%
GLDM
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the long term accumulation. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the long term accumulation was 25.31%, occurring on Sep 30, 2022. Recovery took 198 trading sessions.

The current long term accumulation drawdown is 1.94%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-25.31%Dec 30, 2021190Sep 30, 2022198Jul 18, 2023388
-20.92%Dec 5, 202484Apr 8, 202554Jun 26, 2025138
-10.46%Jul 17, 202416Aug 7, 202430Sep 19, 202446
-10.25%Jan 30, 202640Mar 27, 2026
-10.05%Aug 1, 202363Oct 27, 202316Nov 20, 202379

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 8 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.41, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkKMLMGLDMKBWPAVUVTQQQUPROVOOVTIPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.090.120.410.720.931.001.000.990.97
KMLM-0.091.00-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.11-0.09-0.09-0.090.00
GLDM0.12-0.011.000.010.130.100.120.120.130.20
KBWP0.41-0.010.011.000.530.220.420.420.420.53
AVUV0.72-0.010.130.531.000.550.720.720.760.78
TQQQ0.93-0.110.100.220.551.000.930.930.920.89
UPRO1.00-0.090.120.420.720.931.001.000.990.97
VOO1.00-0.090.120.420.720.931.001.000.990.97
VTI0.99-0.090.130.420.760.920.990.991.000.97
Portfolio0.970.000.200.530.780.890.970.970.971.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Dec 3, 2020