Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Short-Term Bond | 46% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 20% |
LTPZ PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS Index ETF | Inflation-Protected Bonds | 10% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds, Long-Term Bond | 10% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | Dividend | 10% |
FUND Sprott Focus Trust, Inc. | Financial Services | 4% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
As of Jun 13, 2026, the NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 returned 2.64% Year-To-Date and 5.25% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.93% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 | 0.11% | -1.30% | 2.64% | 2.78% | 11.14% | 9.56% | 4.41% | 5.25% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
FUND Sprott Focus Trust, Inc. | 0.52% | -0.93% | 19.89% | 21.14% | 45.55% | 16.40% | 10.39% | 13.14% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.08% | -9.54% | -2.44% | -2.22% | 22.32% | 29.07% | 17.23% | 12.31% |
LTPZ PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS Index ETF | 0.11% | 1.30% | 0.53% | 0.57% | 4.30% | -0.67% | -5.50% | 0.75% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 0.89% | 3.21% | 20.66% | 19.57% | 26.72% | 14.90% | 8.75% | 12.91% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.02% | 0.19% | 0.55% | 0.80% | 3.29% | 4.15% | 1.74% | 1.65% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | -0.24% | 1.40% | 0.27% | 0.45% | 3.88% | -1.38% | -6.53% | -1.75% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Oct 20, 2011, NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4's average daily return is +0.02%, while the average monthly return is +0.36%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 16.1 years.
Historically, 59% of months were positive and 41% were negative. The best month was Nov 2022 with a return of +4.3%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -4.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 8 months.
On a daily basis, NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Nov 10, 2022 with a return of +2.3%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -2.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.73% | 3.88% | -4.01% | 0.51% | 0.05% | -1.31% | 2.64% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.13% | 1.92% | 1.84% | 0.15% | -0.49% | 1.25% | -0.27% | 2.30% | 3.18% | 0.95% | 1.65% | 0.37% | 15.97% |
| 2024 | -0.52% | -0.35% | 2.72% | -1.42% | 1.68% | 0.33% | 3.27% | 1.33% | 1.93% | -0.39% | 0.43% | -2.36% | 6.70% |
| 2023 | 3.33% | -2.58% | 2.90% | 0.20% | -1.64% | 0.26% | 0.79% | -0.99% | -3.07% | 0.01% | 3.56% | 3.18% | 5.79% |
| 2022 | -2.13% | 0.92% | -0.63% | -2.96% | -0.75% | -2.61% | 1.52% | -2.34% | -4.64% | 0.85% | 4.31% | -0.47% | -8.86% |
| 2021 | -0.93% | -1.70% | 0.29% | 1.60% | 2.37% | -0.88% | 1.31% | 0.24% | -1.59% | 1.30% | 0.25% | 1.25% | 3.47% |
Benchmark Metrics
NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 has an annualized alpha of 3.03%, beta of 0.10, and R2 of 0.08 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since October 20, 2011.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (19.35%) than losses (14.93%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- Beta of 0.10 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.08 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.08 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index - capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 3.03%
- Beta
- 0.10
- R²
- 0.08
- Upside Capture
- 19.35%
- Downside Capture
- 14.93%
Expense Ratio
NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 has an expense ratio of 0.16%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 ranks 24 for risk / return — below 24% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.56 | 1.86 | -0.30 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.10 | 2.53 | -0.44 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.29 | 1.34 | -0.05 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.90 | 2.53 | -0.63 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 5.05 | 11.37 | -6.32 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FUND Sprott Focus Trust, Inc. | 94 | 2.88 | 3.64 | 1.48 | 4.41 | 20.19 |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 26 | 0.89 | 1.25 | 1.19 | 0.99 | 2.83 |
LTPZ PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS Index ETF | 15 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 1.07 | 0.52 | 1.11 |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 86 | 2.41 | 3.72 | 1.43 | 5.70 | 13.97 |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 85 | 2.43 | 3.97 | 1.50 | 3.64 | 14.45 |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 13 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 0.38 | 0.92 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 provided a 3.23% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.23% | 3.31% | 3.30% | 2.68% | 2.31% | 1.26% | 1.36% | 1.92% | 2.14% | 1.45% | 1.34% | 1.18% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
FUND Sprott Focus Trust, Inc. | 5.87% | 6.65% | 8.27% | 6.22% | 6.72% | 8.79% | 7.93% | 6.30% | 11.92% | 6.59% | 5.76% | 7.59% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
LTPZ PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS Index ETF | 5.22% | 4.64% | 3.71% | 3.71% | 8.38% | 3.56% | 1.42% | 1.74% | 3.05% | 2.25% | 2.32% | 0.71% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | 3.22% | 3.82% | 3.64% | 3.49% | 3.39% | 2.78% | 3.16% | 2.98% | 3.06% | 2.63% | 2.89% | 2.97% |
SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.68% | 3.81% | 3.92% | 2.99% | 1.30% | 0.26% | 0.94% | 2.12% | 1.72% | 0.98% | 0.71% | 0.54% |
TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF | 4.56% | 4.43% | 4.30% | 3.38% | 2.67% | 1.50% | 1.50% | 2.27% | 2.63% | 2.43% | 2.60% | 2.61% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 was 13.97%, occurring on Oct 20, 2022. Recovery took 431 trading sessions.
The current NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 drawdown is 4.87%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -13.97%Oct 2022 | 11mo 14d | 1y 8mo | 2y 8moNov 2021 - Jul 2024 |
COVID crash2020 | -8.86%Mar 2020 | 9d | 27d | 1mo 6dMar 2020 - Apr 2020 |
2013 pullback2013 | -7.84%Jul 2013 | 9mo 3d | 1y 6mo | 2y 3moOct 2012 - Jan 2015 |
2015 pullback2015 | -6.72%Dec 2015 | 10mo 18d | 4mo 14d | 1y 2moFeb 2015 - Apr 2016 |
2016 pullback2016 | -6.00%Dec 2016 | 5mo 8d | 8mo 18d | 1y 1moJul 2016 - Aug 2017 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.53, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.40 | 1.49 | 1.51 | 1.60 | 1.64 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.64, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.38 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.36 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.34 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.28 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 20, 2011 | 0.23 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SCHD has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.82, while TLT has the lowest at -0.20.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where NEW DESERT BUTTERFLY 4 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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