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Modified all weather
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Modified all weather, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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The earliest data available for this chart is May 8, 2019, corresponding to the inception date of DBMF

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Modified all weather
-0.08%-2.94%2.33%5.92%19.78%13.28%7.76%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.11%-2.64%-4.65%-3.18%23.45%22.97%13.18%19.05%
VIOV
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
0.30%-2.49%4.91%7.32%22.22%10.40%5.03%9.69%
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
0.49%-2.51%0.35%-0.58%0.18%-1.61%-4.79%-0.82%
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
-1.96%-8.34%8.35%21.12%49.31%32.79%21.78%14.16%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
0.02%0.31%0.90%1.85%4.01%4.71%3.28%2.13%
DBMF
iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
0.33%0.36%8.44%15.46%27.06%10.31%8.74%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 9, 2019, Modified all weather's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.84%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 6.9 years.

Historically, 68% of months were positive and 32% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +6.9%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -5.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Modified all weather closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +4.4%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -4.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20263.87%2.95%-4.75%0.46%2.33%
20252.12%-0.28%-1.49%-0.05%1.66%2.98%0.43%2.88%4.83%2.34%1.48%0.16%18.26%
2024-1.10%1.44%3.10%-2.53%2.92%1.55%3.04%0.49%2.18%-1.33%3.18%-2.78%10.34%
20236.92%-2.28%2.22%0.05%0.26%3.11%1.93%-2.09%-4.41%-1.74%6.26%5.80%16.43%
2022-3.76%0.49%0.74%-5.08%-0.92%-3.44%3.32%-2.82%-5.22%2.16%3.01%-2.85%-13.93%
2021-0.04%0.42%0.69%2.82%2.02%0.82%0.70%1.04%-2.68%3.41%0.08%1.30%10.97%

Benchmark Metrics

Modified all weather has an annualized alpha of 4.89%, beta of 0.39, and R² of 0.61 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 09, 2019.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (52.65%) than losses (48.82%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 4.89% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • Beta of 0.39 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.

Alpha
4.89%
Beta
0.39
0.61
Upside Capture
52.65%
Downside Capture
48.82%

Expense Ratio

Modified all weather has an expense ratio of 0.19%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Modified all weather ranks 82 for risk / return — in the top 82% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


Modified all weather Risk / Return Rank: 8282
Overall Rank
Modified all weather Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8484
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Modified all weather Sortino Ratio Rank: 8787
Sortino Ratio Rank
Modified all weather Omega Ratio Rank: 8383
Omega Ratio Rank
Modified all weather Calmar Ratio Rank: 8181
Calmar Ratio Rank
Modified all weather Martin Ratio Rank: 7878
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

1.79

0.88

+0.91

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.53

1.37

+1.17

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.35

1.21

+0.15

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.93

1.39

+1.54

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

11.06

6.43

+4.62


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
591.041.621.231.937.00
VIOV
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
500.951.461.191.555.76
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
110.020.091.010.010.02
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
811.802.231.332.599.38
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
10019.57254.91180.89367.864,130.10
DBMF
iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
942.253.051.484.3818.76

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Modified all weather Sharpe ratios as of Apr 2, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 1.79
  • 5-Year: 0.80
  • All Time: 1.02

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.01 to 1.70, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Modified all weather compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Modified all weather provided a 2.50% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio2.50%2.54%2.63%2.18%2.14%1.90%1.05%2.22%1.38%1.16%1.12%1.26%
QQQ
Invesco QQQ ETF
0.48%0.45%0.56%0.62%0.80%0.43%0.55%0.74%0.91%0.84%1.06%0.99%
VIOV
Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF
1.75%1.69%1.78%2.18%1.81%1.59%1.42%1.60%1.76%1.43%1.17%1.32%
VGLT
Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF
4.52%4.44%4.33%3.33%2.84%1.82%2.15%2.46%2.71%2.55%2.69%3.21%
SGOL
abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BIL
SPDR Barclays 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
3.96%4.13%5.03%4.92%1.35%0.00%0.30%2.05%1.66%0.68%0.07%0.00%
DBMF
iM DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
5.28%5.91%5.75%2.91%7.72%10.38%0.86%9.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Modified all weather. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Modified all weather was 17.35%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 348 trading sessions.

The current Modified all weather drawdown is 4.34%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-17.35%Nov 10, 2021234Oct 14, 2022348Mar 6, 2024582
-15.17%Feb 21, 202019Mar 18, 202056Jun 8, 202075
-9.39%Dec 12, 202479Apr 8, 202545Jun 12, 2025124
-6.48%Mar 3, 202619Mar 27, 2026
-5.93%Sep 3, 202014Sep 23, 202046Nov 27, 202060

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 6 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.41, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBILVGLTSGOLDBMFVIOVQQQPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.00-0.060.080.180.730.920.78
BIL-0.001.00-0.000.04-0.02-0.01-0.000.01
VGLT-0.06-0.001.000.27-0.20-0.10-0.020.31
SGOL0.080.040.271.000.150.060.080.45
DBMF0.18-0.02-0.200.151.000.140.160.28
VIOV0.73-0.01-0.100.060.141.000.550.71
QQQ0.92-0.00-0.020.080.160.551.000.74
Portfolio0.780.010.310.450.280.710.741.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from May 9, 2019