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Forever Balanced Middle Ground
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Forever Balanced Middle Ground, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-2.64%-0.21%7.86%7.85%23.05%19.90%11.79%13.33%
Portfolio
Forever Balanced Middle Ground
-5.01%-2.24%15.47%16.87%39.92%34.14%22.04%
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
-0.05%-3.66%13.02%8.93%-3.70%25.13%21.49%22.40%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
-2.18%-3.53%30.72%29.51%39.56%13.78%11.98%8.48%
DIVI
Franklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF
-2.52%-1.68%8.85%11.27%23.60%17.43%13.02%10.75%
FDVV
Fidelity High Dividend ETF
-1.01%1.90%7.82%8.02%22.59%19.99%13.24%
FNGO
MicroSectors FANG+ Index 2X Leveraged ETN
-10.65%-4.00%10.80%-0.23%29.89%53.03%26.41%
GLDM
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust
-3.67%-8.63%0.06%2.68%30.23%29.91%17.81%
IDMO
Invesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF
-3.29%-4.43%4.63%8.48%18.48%24.30%14.86%11.56%
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
2.02%5.78%13.72%16.55%53.90%17.11%10.05%10.21%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
0.48%3.40%-2.12%0.11%19.84%33.89%16.32%20.14%
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
0.55%19.50%5.64%12.37%48.00%37.66%42.48%33.36%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 3, 2018, Forever Balanced Middle Ground's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +1.66%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.5 years.

Historically, 73% of months were positive and 27% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +11.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -9.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Forever Balanced Middle Ground closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.3%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -9.8%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20264.04%1.75%-5.25%11.86%7.88%-4.61%15.47%
20253.50%0.55%-3.05%1.37%7.26%6.63%2.03%1.96%5.46%2.74%1.37%1.66%35.90%
20243.10%7.35%4.75%-2.42%6.72%3.98%-0.13%2.45%1.56%0.66%2.97%-0.96%33.89%
20235.55%-2.41%5.52%1.46%0.93%4.92%3.69%-0.30%-3.42%-1.05%8.14%4.83%30.79%
2022-4.55%-0.39%3.49%-7.09%0.41%-6.75%6.01%-4.57%-7.03%6.10%7.77%-3.43%-11.10%
20210.75%1.03%0.42%3.61%2.01%3.03%1.10%2.29%-3.63%6.21%-0.22%2.36%20.36%

Benchmark Metrics

Forever Balanced Middle Ground has an annualized alpha of 9.51%, beta of 0.79, and R2 of 0.86 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 03, 2018.

  • This portfolio captured 100.71% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 71.00% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 9.51% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
9.51%
Beta
0.79
0.86
Upside Capture
100.71%
Downside Capture
71.00%

Expense Ratio

Forever Balanced Middle Ground has an expense ratio of 0.26%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Forever Balanced Middle Ground ranks 71 for risk / return — better than 71% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


Forever Balanced Middle Ground Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
Forever Balanced Middle Ground Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7272
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Forever Balanced Middle Ground Sortino Ratio Rank: 5656
Sortino Ratio Rank
Forever Balanced Middle Ground Omega Ratio Rank: 7878
Omega Ratio Rank
Forever Balanced Middle Ground Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
Forever Balanced Middle Ground Martin Ratio Rank: 7575
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Forever Balanced Middle Ground and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

2.67

2.01

+0.66

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

3.32

2.71

+0.60

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.51

1.36

+0.14

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.92

2.69

+1.24

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

16.51

12.34

+4.17


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
32-0.18-0.120.99-0.21-0.47
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
752.172.811.385.2612.12
DIVI
Franklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF
511.592.231.282.288.75
FDVV
Fidelity High Dividend ETF
732.363.281.442.5610.62
FNGO
MicroSectors FANG+ Index 2X Leveraged ETN
220.751.231.150.731.91
GLDM
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust
321.071.451.221.433.63
IDMO
Invesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF
361.101.651.211.546.37
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
953.304.771.595.0715.08
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
681.001.421.181.403.33
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
761.291.861.252.075.16

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Forever Balanced Middle Ground Sharpe ratios as of Jun 6, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.67
  • 5-Year: 1.42
  • All Time: 1.24

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.64 to 2.53, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Forever Balanced Middle Ground compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Forever Balanced Middle Ground provided a 1.76% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.76%1.87%2.01%2.37%1.82%0.97%1.68%1.66%1.73%1.27%1.58%0.52%
COST
Costco Wholesale Corporation
0.55%0.59%0.49%2.87%0.76%0.54%3.38%0.86%1.08%4.81%1.09%4.06%
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
2.55%3.33%5.22%4.94%0.59%0.00%0.00%1.59%1.30%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DIVI
Franklin International Core Dividend Tilt Index ETF
3.60%3.76%4.39%3.17%6.03%2.77%8.04%1.61%5.67%5.22%11.56%0.00%
FDVV
Fidelity High Dividend ETF
2.73%2.89%2.94%3.77%3.44%2.70%3.19%3.93%4.05%3.66%1.04%0.00%
FNGO
MicroSectors FANG+ Index 2X Leveraged ETN
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GLDM
SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IDMO
Invesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF
3.64%3.71%2.24%2.89%3.66%1.81%1.63%2.78%3.27%3.08%2.18%2.52%
JNJ
Johnson & Johnson
2.25%2.48%3.40%3.00%2.52%2.45%2.53%2.57%2.74%2.38%2.73%2.87%
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
1.89%1.72%1.92%2.38%2.98%2.34%2.83%2.37%2.54%1.91%2.13%2.54%
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
0.57%0.56%0.67%0.78%1.07%1.23%1.75%1.96%1.94%2.46%2.77%2.37%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Forever Balanced Middle Ground. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Forever Balanced Middle Ground was 27.01%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 76 trading sessions.

The current Forever Balanced Middle Ground drawdown is 6.26%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

COVID crash2020
-27.01%Mar 2020
1mo 2d3mo 19d
4mo 21dFeb 2020 - Jul 2020
Bear market2022
-20.46%Oct 2022
11mo 3d7mo 25d
1y 6moNov 2021 - Jun 2023
2025 selloff2025
-15.38%Apr 2025
1mo 17d1mo 5d
2mo 22dFeb 2025 - May 2025
Rate-hike selloffLate 2018
-15.01%Dec 2018
2mo 21d2mo 27d
5mo 18dOct 2018 - Mar 2019
2026 correction2026
-10.38%Mar 2026
1mo 29d15d
2mo 14dJan 2026 - Apr 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.19, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
5Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.52

1.42

1.40

1.37

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.37, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

Forever Balanced Middle Ground correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Forever Balanced Middle Ground has a 0.83 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.83

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.88

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.90

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 3, 2018

0.90


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. FDVV has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.88, while GLDM has the lowest at 0.08.

GLDM
0.08
PULS
0.10
SIVR
0.21
DBC
0.24
JNJ
0.30
LLY
0.35
WMT
0.35
COST
0.52
JPM
0.61
IDMO
0.70
DIVI
0.74
FNGO
0.77
USD
0.77
SPMO
0.86
FDVV
0.88

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Forever Balanced Middle Ground. SPMO has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.89, while PULS has the lowest at 0.12.

PULS
0.12
JNJ
0.23
GLDM
0.29
WMT
0.32
LLY
0.34
DBC
0.35
SIVR
0.42
COST
0.49
JPM
0.51
DIVI
0.73
IDMO
0.76
FDVV
0.80
FNGO
0.81
USD
0.84
SPMO
0.89

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Aug 3, 2018
Diversification Analysis

Find what Forever Balanced Middle Ground is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Forever Balanced Middle Ground is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification