Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ABR Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | Real Estate | 9.09% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | Consumer Cyclical | 9.09% |
CMA Comerica Incorporated | Financial Services | 9.09% |
CVS CVS Health Corporation | Healthcare | 9.09% |
DVN Devon Energy Corporation | Energy | 9.09% |
MPT Medical Properties Trust, Inc | Real Estate | 9.09% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 9.09% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | Leveraged Equities | 9.09% |
PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | Energy | 9.09% |
PYPL PayPal Holdings, Inc. | Financial Services | 9.09% |
VALE Vale S.A. | Basic Materials | 9.09% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Case 3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 13, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of NVDL
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.80% | 4.83% | 2.59% | 5.27% | 30.14% | 19.29% | 10.91% | 12.94% |
Portfolio Case 3 | 0.25% | 9.34% | 15.77% | 16.89% | 55.40% | 37.15% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | -2.24% | 7.15% | 73.33% | 80.16% | 95.79% | 33.52% | 45.00% | 23.60% |
VALE Vale S.A. | -0.34% | 17.08% | 35.23% | 60.56% | 103.11% | 11.97% | 7.67% | 20.73% |
CVS CVS Health Corporation | -3.39% | -1.12% | -4.73% | -5.51% | 12.96% | 4.07% | 3.08% | -0.08% |
CMA Comerica Incorporated | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
MPT Medical Properties Trust, Inc | -0.20% | 4.60% | 1.86% | -1.57% | -1.37% | -7.72% | -19.30% | -2.55% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | -0.21% | 17.36% | 7.66% | 15.28% | 38.37% | 34.33% | 7.89% | 23.02% |
DVN Devon Energy Corporation | -0.04% | -3.04% | 24.12% | 40.32% | 62.64% | -3.78% | 21.54% | 7.47% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 2.41% | 15.60% | 6.51% | 8.82% | 148.71% | 141.77% | — | — |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 1.20% | 8.54% | 6.64% | 10.60% | 77.29% | 95.21% | 65.80% | 71.40% |
ABR Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | 1.54% | 2.86% | 5.80% | -28.53% | -17.37% | 3.66% | -3.55% | 12.70% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 14, 2022, Case 3's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.70%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.2 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +16.3%, while the worst month was Dec 2024 at -7.2%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Case 3 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.1%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -7.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.40% | 0.43% | 1.08% | 8.20% | 15.77% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.51% | 1.54% | -2.20% | -6.79% | 5.72% | 11.18% | 4.13% | 4.35% | 3.08% | 3.25% | -1.84% | -0.54% | 28.35% |
| 2024 | -0.65% | 13.54% | 10.23% | -2.58% | 6.77% | 1.83% | 0.10% | 0.73% | 6.46% | -1.58% | 4.40% | -7.23% | 34.77% |
| 2023 | 16.28% | -1.66% | -0.08% | 1.00% | 5.06% | 12.64% | 11.64% | -6.57% | -6.86% | -5.31% | 7.95% | 9.29% | 48.21% |
| 2022 | -6.29% | -6.29% |
Benchmark Metrics
Case 3 has an annualized alpha of 10.41%, beta of 1.33, and R² of 0.70 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 14, 2022.
- This portfolio captured 179.73% of S&P 500 Index gains and 116.49% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 10.41% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 10.41%
- Beta
- 1.33
- R²
- 0.70
- Upside Capture
- 179.73%
- Downside Capture
- 116.49%
Expense Ratio
Case 3 has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Case 3 ranks 82 for risk / return — in the top 82% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 3.13 | 2.30 | +0.83 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.90 | 3.18 | +0.72 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.52 | 1.43 | +0.09 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 8.07 | 3.40 | +4.67 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 25.77 | 15.35 | +10.41 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 91 | 3.22 | 3.86 | 1.52 | 6.47 | 14.83 |
VALE Vale S.A. | 92 | 3.43 | 3.93 | 1.52 | 5.09 | 19.84 |
CVS CVS Health Corporation | 44 | 0.43 | 0.72 | 1.11 | 0.73 | 1.75 |
CMA Comerica Incorporated | — | — | — | — | — | — |
MPT Medical Properties Trust, Inc | 30 | -0.04 | 0.23 | 1.03 | 0.06 | 0.11 |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 63 | 1.23 | 1.85 | 1.23 | 1.58 | 3.82 |
DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 80 | 1.94 | 2.65 | 1.31 | 4.54 | 11.20 |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 45 | 2.16 | 2.53 | 1.31 | 3.67 | 8.63 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 2.24 | 2.80 | 1.35 | 3.92 | 9.80 |
ABR Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | 18 | -0.46 | -0.42 | 0.95 | -0.37 | -0.66 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Case 3 provided a 3.45% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.45% | 4.33% | 5.93% | 6.52% | 9.21% | 5.57% | 2.67% | 2.28% | 2.74% | 2.18% | 1.96% | 2.80% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 4.09% | 7.10% | 14.73% | 10.91% | 55.64% | 18.95% | 0.84% | 1.59% | 1.03% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VALE Vale S.A. | 3.26% | 7.29% | 11.41% | 7.75% | 8.63% | 19.70% | 2.72% | 2.63% | 4.16% | 3.77% | 1.06% | 7.48% |
CVS CVS Health Corporation | 3.55% | 3.35% | 5.93% | 3.06% | 2.36% | 1.94% | 2.93% | 2.69% | 3.05% | 2.76% | 2.15% | 1.43% |
CMA Comerica Incorporated | 2.40% | 3.27% | 4.59% | 5.09% | 4.07% | 3.13% | 4.87% | 3.74% | 2.68% | 1.26% | 1.31% | 1.98% |
MPT Medical Properties Trust, Inc | 6.80% | 6.60% | 11.65% | 17.92% | 10.41% | 4.74% | 4.96% | 4.83% | 6.22% | 6.97% | 7.40% | 7.65% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DVN Devon Energy Corporation | 2.12% | 2.62% | 4.43% | 4.55% | 8.41% | 5.24% | 4.30% | 1.35% | 1.33% | 0.58% | 0.92% | 3.00% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
ABR Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | 15.15% | 17.14% | 12.42% | 11.07% | 11.68% | 7.53% | 8.67% | 7.94% | 11.22% | 8.33% | 8.31% | 8.11% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Case 3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Case 3 was 21.17%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 54 trading sessions.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -21.17% | Feb 21, 2025 | 33 | Apr 8, 2025 | 54 | Jun 26, 2025 | 87 |
| -18.52% | Aug 1, 2023 | 63 | Oct 27, 2023 | 67 | Feb 5, 2024 | 130 |
| -12.67% | Feb 3, 2023 | 26 | Mar 13, 2023 | 52 | May 25, 2023 | 78 |
| -12.43% | Jul 11, 2024 | 18 | Aug 5, 2024 | 29 | Sep 16, 2024 | 47 |
| -11.52% | Nov 11, 2024 | 28 | Dec 19, 2024 | 38 | Feb 18, 2025 | 66 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 11.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | CVS | PBR | DVN | MPT | VALE | ABR | AMZN | PYPL | CMA | NVDL | NVDA | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.47 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.79 |
| CVS | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.22 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 0.21 |
| PBR | 0.17 | 0.08 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.12 | 0.39 | 0.17 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.36 |
| DVN | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.05 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.38 |
| MPT | 0.29 | 0.16 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.39 | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.45 |
| VALE | 0.37 | 0.13 | 0.39 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.46 |
| ABR | 0.42 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.49 |
| AMZN | 0.66 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.14 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.23 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| PYPL | 0.55 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.52 |
| CMA | 0.47 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.23 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.53 |
| NVDL | 0.64 | -0.02 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.50 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.73 |
| NVDA | 0.65 | -0.02 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.14 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.74 |
| Portfolio | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 1.00 |