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10 years Out
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


QQQY 33.33%SCHD 33.33%SVOL 33.33%AlternativesAlternativesEquityEquityVolatilityVolatility

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 10 years Out, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Sep 14, 2023, corresponding to the inception date of QQQY

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
10 years Out
0.29%-2.85%0.35%1.72%10.80%
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
0.16%-2.44%12.35%13.88%13.89%11.70%8.35%12.30%
SVOL
Simplify Volatility Premium ETF
0.58%-4.44%-7.08%-4.93%2.46%6.15%
QQQY
Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF
0.12%-2.21%-4.70%-4.27%14.17%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 15, 2023, 10 years Out's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.71%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 8.2 years.

Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was May 2025 with a return of +5.8%, while the worst month was Apr 2025 at -5.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 5 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, 10 years Out closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20263.44%0.60%-4.16%0.62%0.35%
20251.89%-0.26%-5.42%-5.90%5.78%4.84%-1.13%3.11%3.13%-0.03%0.66%1.26%7.45%
20240.53%1.99%2.07%-3.06%3.42%1.84%1.68%1.48%0.39%-1.61%4.53%-4.35%8.88%
2023-2.62%-1.94%5.71%4.15%5.13%

Benchmark Metrics

10 years Out has an annualized alpha of -5.31%, beta of 0.93, and R² of 0.85 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 15, 2023.

  • This portfolio participated in 96.77% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 69.34% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
  • This portfolio had an annualized alpha of -5.31% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering less than market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.93 and R² of 0.85, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
-5.31%
Beta
0.93
0.85
Upside Capture
69.34%
Downside Capture
96.77%

Expense Ratio

10 years Out has an expense ratio of 0.52%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

10 years Out ranks 11 for risk / return — in the bottom 11% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


10 years Out Risk / Return Rank: 1111
Overall Rank
10 years Out Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1010
Sharpe Ratio Rank
10 years Out Sortino Ratio Rank: 1010
Sortino Ratio Rank
10 years Out Omega Ratio Rank: 1212
Omega Ratio Rank
10 years Out Calmar Ratio Rank: 1212
Calmar Ratio Rank
10 years Out Martin Ratio Rank: 1414
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.52

0.88

-0.36

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.85

1.37

-0.52

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.13

1.21

-0.07

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.73

1.39

-0.66

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

3.05

6.43

-3.38


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
400.891.341.191.093.69
SVOL
Simplify Volatility Premium ETF
140.060.401.060.160.51
QQQY
Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF
400.871.111.181.334.39

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

10 years Out Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.52
  • All Time: 0.56

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.98 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 10 years Out compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

10 years Out provided a 24.04% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio24.04%22.99%34.59%13.50%7.24%2.48%1.05%0.99%1.02%0.88%0.96%0.99%
SCHD
Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF
3.45%3.82%3.64%3.49%3.39%2.78%3.16%2.98%3.06%2.63%2.89%2.97%
SVOL
Simplify Volatility Premium ETF
22.93%19.82%16.79%16.36%18.32%4.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
QQQY
Defiance Nasdaq 100 Enhanced Options Income ETF
45.72%45.34%83.34%20.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 10 years Out. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 10 years Out was 21.79%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 112 trading sessions.

The current 10 years Out drawdown is 4.43%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-21.79%Dec 4, 202485Apr 8, 2025112Sep 18, 2025197
-7.74%Jul 17, 202414Aug 5, 202416Aug 27, 202430
-6.74%Feb 10, 202634Mar 30, 2026
-6.14%Sep 15, 202331Oct 27, 202316Nov 20, 202347
-4.6%Oct 28, 202518Nov 20, 20258Dec 3, 202526

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 3 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkSCHDQQQYSVOLPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.550.870.790.91
SCHD0.551.000.340.450.71
QQQY0.870.341.000.710.81
SVOL0.790.450.711.000.88
Portfolio0.910.710.810.881.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Sep 15, 2023