Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ABBV AbbVie Inc. | Healthcare | 6.67% |
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | Financial Services | 6.67% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.67% |
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.67% |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | Industrials | 6.67% |
ESLT Elbit Systems Ltd | Industrials | 6.67% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 6.67% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 6.67% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | Financial Services | 6.67% |
SNEX StoneX Group Inc. | Financial Services | 6.67% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | Communication Services | 6.67% |
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | Energy | 6.67% |
WMT Walmart Inc. | Consumer Defensive | 6.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Future Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 2, 2013, corresponding to the inception date of ABBV
Returns By Period
As of Apr 4, 2026, the Future Portfolio returned 8.97% Year-To-Date and 33.46% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Future Portfolio | -0.01% | -6.17% | 8.97% | 5.96% | 25.63% | 41.02% | 34.33% | 33.46% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 1.15% | -17.14% | 54.85% | 41.32% | 9.83% | 32.06% | 21.56% | 40.32% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | -0.74% | -3.02% | 0.23% | -12.76% | -4.90% | 16.47% | 21.98% | 17.55% |
CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 0.85% | 8.70% | 34.63% | 31.27% | 66.21% | 51.49% | 28.72% | 21.80% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 1.03% | -7.59% | -8.77% | -15.44% | -27.55% | 13.80% | 18.00% | 22.03% |
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | -3.14% | -6.11% | 27.21% | 61.95% | 41.05% | 55.04% | 47.76% | 28.99% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | -1.40% | -8.33% | -0.33% | -11.68% | -23.54% | 12.59% | 10.41% | 18.11% |
SNEX StoneX Group Inc. | 4.46% | 2.56% | 33.02% | 25.23% | 70.49% | 40.78% | 34.04% | 26.65% |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | 1.34% | -12.88% | -7.09% | -13.55% | -14.16% | 15.81% | 15.96% | 24.15% |
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 0.59% | -3.24% | -15.66% | -29.51% | -36.19% | 5.01% | 12.61% | 19.17% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -3.08% | -4.88% | -5.44% | 74.29% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 3, 2013, Future Portfolio's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.71%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.2 years.
Historically, 78% of months were positive and 22% were negative. The best month was May 2013 with a return of +37.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -13.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 13 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Future Portfolio closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was May 1, 2013 with a return of +24.0%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -11.6%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3.92% | 9.75% | -4.56% | 0.12% | 8.97% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 7.10% | 4.48% | -1.20% | 3.14% | 3.29% | 3.99% | 0.49% | 1.82% | 3.41% | -4.50% | 1.85% | 0.02% | 26.07% |
| 2024 | 2.34% | 9.00% | 4.42% | -2.57% | 4.79% | 6.81% | 5.04% | 7.01% | 1.82% | 4.62% | 12.99% | -5.90% | 61.72% |
| 2023 | 2.89% | 2.16% | 4.65% | 0.35% | 2.07% | 4.28% | 2.91% | 4.39% | -1.92% | 1.16% | 5.04% | 6.58% | 40.21% |
| 2022 | -6.11% | 3.38% | 6.94% | -7.98% | 3.58% | -3.20% | 8.47% | -1.54% | -6.28% | 13.84% | 8.19% | -5.04% | 12.11% |
| 2021 | 0.60% | 3.69% | 8.36% | 3.77% | 3.17% | 3.19% | 1.23% | 2.39% | -4.42% | 6.53% | 1.73% | 6.63% | 42.95% |
Benchmark Metrics
Future Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 23.79%, beta of 0.88, and R² of 0.67 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 03, 2013.
- This portfolio captured 151.14% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 37.28% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 23.79% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.88 and R² of 0.67, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 23.79%
- Beta
- 0.88
- R²
- 0.67
- Upside Capture
- 151.14%
- Downside Capture
- 37.28%
Expense Ratio
Future Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Future Portfolio ranks 63 for risk / return — better than 63% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.36 | 0.88 | +0.48 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.98 | 1.37 | +0.62 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.29 | 1.21 | +0.08 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.40 | 1.39 | +1.01 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 9.06 | 6.43 | +2.63 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 36 | -0.07 | 0.24 | 1.03 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 30 | -0.15 | -0.06 | 0.99 | -0.22 | -0.47 |
CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 95 | 2.55 | 3.58 | 1.47 | 7.33 | 21.50 |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 6 | -1.04 | -1.35 | 0.83 | -0.91 | -1.47 |
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 71 | 1.24 | 1.68 | 1.23 | 1.64 | 3.05 |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | 10 | -0.84 | -1.01 | 0.87 | -0.77 | -1.41 |
SNEX StoneX Group Inc. | 80 | 1.48 | 1.90 | 1.27 | 3.13 | 7.62 |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | 14 | -0.74 | -0.92 | 0.88 | -0.58 | -1.24 |
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 4 | -1.27 | -1.73 | 0.77 | -0.88 | -1.62 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Future Portfolio provided a 1.17% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.17% | 0.84% | 0.86% | 0.82% | 0.93% | 1.24% | 1.25% | 1.30% | 1.23% | 0.97% | 1.20% | 1.26% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 0.50% | 0.74% | 1.37% | 0.83% | 1.37% | 0.88% | 2.20% | 0.22% | 0.55% | 0.30% | 0.10% | 0.22% |
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CASY Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 0.30% | 0.39% | 0.47% | 0.59% | 0.65% | 0.69% | 0.72% | 0.77% | 0.86% | 0.89% | 0.77% | 0.70% |
PGR The Progressive Corporation | 7.12% | 2.15% | 0.48% | 0.25% | 0.31% | 6.23% | 2.68% | 3.89% | 1.86% | 1.21% | 2.50% | 2.16% |
COKE Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc. | 0.51% | 0.65% | 1.59% | 0.54% | 0.20% | 0.16% | 0.38% | 0.35% | 0.56% | 0.46% | 0.56% | 0.55% |
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. | 1.89% | 1.80% | 1.28% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SNEX StoneX Group Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CTAS Cintas Corporation | 1.00% | 0.89% | 0.80% | 0.83% | 0.93% | 0.77% | 0.99% | 0.95% | 1.22% | 1.04% | 1.15% | 1.15% |
AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | 1.22% | 1.00% | 0.85% | 0.98% | 1.08% | 1.13% | 1.46% | 1.81% | 2.23% | 2.47% | 2.93% | 3.62% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Future Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Future Portfolio was 31.93%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 52 trading sessions.
The current Future Portfolio drawdown is 6.17%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -31.93% | Feb 20, 2020 | 23 | Mar 23, 2020 | 52 | Jun 5, 2020 | 75 |
| -19.62% | Sep 17, 2018 | 69 | Dec 24, 2018 | 38 | Feb 20, 2019 | 107 |
| -14.43% | Apr 8, 2022 | 49 | Jun 17, 2022 | 36 | Aug 10, 2022 | 85 |
| -12.31% | Aug 19, 2022 | 26 | Sep 26, 2022 | 24 | Oct 28, 2022 | 50 |
| -11.84% | Dec 7, 2015 | 46 | Feb 11, 2016 | 24 | Mar 17, 2016 | 70 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | TPL | ESLT | COKE | ABBV | WMT | AXON | TMUS | SNEX | CASY | PGR | ORLY | NVDA | AVGO | AJG | CTAS | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.66 | 0.81 |
| TPL | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.27 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.44 |
| ESLT | 0.34 | 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| COKE | 0.34 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| ABBV | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| WMT | 0.38 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.12 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| AXON | 0.44 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.56 |
| TMUS | 0.41 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.48 |
| SNEX | 0.45 | 0.27 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.51 |
| CASY | 0.40 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| PGR | 0.43 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.52 | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| ORLY | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.49 |
| NVDA | 0.61 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.38 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.60 |
| AVGO | 0.64 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.62 |
| AJG | 0.53 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 0.37 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| CTAS | 0.66 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.66 |
| Portfolio | 0.81 | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.56 | 0.66 | 1.00 |